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Author Topic: NFL Betting blog  (Read 208333 times)
adnmdv
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« Reply #1290 on: February 05, 2012, 06:35:16 PM »

Think you have misunderstood slightly.  He scores 31% of all of the td's they score so if he is a starter then he is slightly more likely to score their first TD because some of the players that makeup the anytime stats don't neccesarily start.

In response to your question adn I was slightly surprised to see him so big and think it is because he will probably play slightly less snaps due to doubt about his fitness but also TE's block as well as receive and in this game Belichek figures to have a slightly different gameplan to the one he has had all year which has involved his TE's receiving.  Also at 31% he has wayyyy overperformed for a TE so it is slightly to revert towards mean at some point.  All that said it isn't an awful price just it is more mrginal than it appears at first.

Cheers. Will probably wait to see if he's a confirmed starter than have a muggish nibble at it!
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bobby1
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« Reply #1291 on: February 05, 2012, 06:38:02 PM »

The good thing you got running for you and is the guy is a freak. Both he and Hernandez might be used a little more to protect Brady tonight as the Giants pass rush can cause some big problems but he should still catch plenty of passes in the game if he is fully fit.

good luck
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Sheriff Fatman
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« Reply #1292 on: February 05, 2012, 07:36:18 PM »

Think you have misunderstood slightly.  He scores 31% of all of the td's they score so if he is a starter then he is slightly more likely to score their first TD because some of the players that makeup the anytime stats don't neccesarily start.

In response to your question adn I was slightly surprised to see him so big and think it is because he will probably play slightly less snaps due to doubt about his fitness but also TE's block as well as receive and in this game Belichek figures to have a slightly different gameplan to the one he has had all year which has involved his TE's receiving.  Also at 31% he has wayyyy overperformed for a TE so it is slightly to revert towards mean at some point.  All that said it isn't an awful price just it is more mrginal than it appears at first.

Cheers. Will probably wait to see if he's a confirmed starter than have a muggish nibble at it!

News that he'll start doesn't necessarily mean he'll play his usual role.  I suspect that if he does start he may well end up in a decoy / blocking role as I'm not convinced how quickly you can get over a high ankle sprain like this, particularly in a position where he'll have to cut and put huge pressure on it at some point.

Roethlisberger had a similar injury a few weeks ago and struggled.  In comparison to Gronk's role, he only had to drop back, rather than run the routes that Gronk would have to at full speed (not to mention possibly landing on it).
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Sheriff Fatman
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« Reply #1293 on: February 05, 2012, 07:41:00 PM »

Forgot to mention too, Belichek is the master of mis-information regarding injuries, so may well choose to announce Gronk as a starter even if not capable of carrying out his full role.
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Sighmuns
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« Reply #1294 on: February 05, 2012, 07:42:42 PM »

With regard to the Gronkowski talk, anyone noticed he's 28 to back for MVP?

I'm new to American Football, but have had a small amount on this; I've read some articles and it seems like he is certainly not 100% with his ankle problems, and this is why his price is so high.

However, I understand the MVP award is decided by a Fan Vote as well as a panel of experts after the game, so if Gronk battles through the game when everyone knows he's injured and scores the winning touchdown he would have a fair chance of the award? Wishful thinking I'm sure, maybe the injury is pretty bad with the way the price has been pushing up, but I'm not saying it's gonna happen, just that it could happen more than one in 28 times?


Edit: Interesting points above by Sheriff, both things I wouldn't have taken into account
« Last Edit: February 05, 2012, 07:54:25 PM by Sighmuns » Logged
bobby1
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« Reply #1295 on: February 05, 2012, 08:56:31 PM »

Taking the Camels angle re MVP I couldn't resist throwing a tiny bet at Dieon Branch at 170. As Keith said there is a good chance that big Bill will throw in a few surprises. The TE might be blocking that pass rush a little more, the Pats Rb's are pretty solid but not special and Branch was MVP for them in a previous Superbowl although he was higher up the pecking order that year.

He is, like Ocho Cinco a little down the pecking order now but at 170 I don't mind having a interest

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« Reply #1296 on: February 05, 2012, 09:00:29 PM »

Brady for MVP have to go for my namesake Smiley come on Patriots crush the giants.
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Sighmuns
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« Reply #1297 on: February 05, 2012, 11:19:01 PM »

Thread's not that lively yet I see, but if anyone has a good link to a US channel so we can watch the adverts, please let me know!


CMON GIANTS!
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Dubai
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« Reply #1298 on: February 05, 2012, 11:20:16 PM »

I was on overs, timed it at 1.34.6 anyone else?
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The Camel
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« Reply #1299 on: February 05, 2012, 11:20:45 PM »

I got 95 seconds for the national anthem.

If you include the drumroll at the start, it's way over.
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« Reply #1300 on: February 05, 2012, 11:21:26 PM »

I made it 1.34.2 but I am a sausage fingers
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« Reply #1301 on: February 05, 2012, 11:22:54 PM »

I made it 1.34.2 but I am a sausage fingers

Was it from when she started, or when the music started?
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« Reply #1302 on: February 05, 2012, 11:23:20 PM »

Her voice was mine
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Laxie
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« Reply #1303 on: February 05, 2012, 11:23:45 PM »

I got 1:35 from when she started singing to when she stopped.  Drums not included.
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« Reply #1304 on: February 05, 2012, 11:24:37 PM »

I made it 1.34.2 but I am a sausage fingers

Was it from when she started, or when the music started?

When she started singing, I did it again there and got about the same.
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