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Author Topic: NFL Betting blog  (Read 154829 times)
action man
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« Reply #240 on: October 11, 2011, 12:04:14 AM »

ill take the unders for £100 if anyone wants a to sweat the overs
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ChipRich
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« Reply #241 on: October 11, 2011, 12:04:25 AM »

gone for:

Pettigrew over 55.5 rcving yards (Staffords 2nd favourite target behind Megatron)
Lions to win by 7-12 points 9/2 (prob muggy but w/e)
Titus Young 1st TD 20/1 (decent price and is starting to play a key role in the offense after being targetted 20 times in the last 3 weeks - catching 12)

All fairly small for interest and i want the Lions to win for SB bet, lets goooooo Lions, lets go!
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redarmi
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« Reply #242 on: October 11, 2011, 12:32:23 AM »

ill take the unders for £100 if anyone wants a to sweat the overs

I'll play if nobody else wants to.  You have under 47 at Evens for a ton.  Just reply with booked to confirm.
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action man
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« Reply #243 on: October 11, 2011, 12:45:04 AM »

cool booked
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redarmi
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« Reply #244 on: October 11, 2011, 02:27:27 AM »

Pretty awful decision making from the Bears there.
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Horneris
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« Reply #245 on: October 11, 2011, 04:53:15 AM »

Laid over 37.5 pts @ 1.28.

Won by the skin of my teeth  Smiley
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ChipRich
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« Reply #246 on: October 11, 2011, 04:56:24 AM »

Meh, not too bad. Won a bit on the game with the lions win by 7-12 points @9/2.  Shame Pettigrew didn't see it a bit more though.
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action man
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« Reply #247 on: October 11, 2011, 05:05:24 AM »

shame they didnt score that meaningless TD at the end Wink
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ChipRich
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« Reply #248 on: October 11, 2011, 05:27:26 AM »

shame they didnt score that meaningless TD at the end Wink

lolol, yeah i thought they would obv. Justice.
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cooler
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« Reply #249 on: October 11, 2011, 09:15:00 AM »

Laid over 37.5 pts @ 1.28.

Won by the skin of my teeth  Smiley

lucky boy :-)
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kukushkin88
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« Reply #250 on: October 12, 2011, 06:10:55 PM »

Interesting opportunities on the NFL this week, the total points line has made an adjustment, quite appropriately to the freescoring start to the season. It is looking highly likely that there will be a major storm system centred right over the North East USA this weekend. The total points lines in the NYG (51 ladbrokes), NE (55 everyone), Baltimore (45 general) and Pittsburgh (40.5 general) games are all looking slightly on the high side to me but if the weather delivers as expected they look like absolute gifts.

I´ve spent a large part of the last 16 months sailing in/across the North Atlantic so my reading of it´s weather has become pretty good. It´s still a long way out to call it with high accuracy but I´ll be pretty surprised if the weather isn´t a big factor in these games.
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redarmi
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« Reply #251 on: October 12, 2011, 06:19:23 PM »

Great spot.  I think the best way to bet these tends to be in multiples because if the weather hits one it should hit all so they are correlated but obviously that isn't taken into consideration in the prices which multiply as normal.  I also think that the trend in the overs can't continue without the teams making adjustments and it could be just about a (excuse the pun) perfect storm if that starts to hit this week too.  Will the bad weather hit by Saturday?  Obv college games represent an even better opportunity because they are closer geographically........
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kukushkin88
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« Reply #252 on: October 12, 2011, 06:29:46 PM »

I don´t see it being there by Saturday. I should mention that the British Met Office who are actually quite good at assessing the weather over that side of the Atlantic don´t agree with my assessment at the moment. I´m pretty confident though. I´ll be going with the multiples. I guess I should have mentioned Green Bay and NYJ as well, might be a good weekend.

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Simon Galloway
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« Reply #253 on: October 13, 2011, 03:58:32 AM »

This week I like:

Saints -4
Pats -6.5
Raiders -6.5

If anyone wants the other side of any of that, let me know.

Also, Jax +12 is tempting me against Steelers.  Whilst Rams look horrible and Packers look good, +16 with ladbrokes is tough to pass up on.....

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redarmi
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« Reply #254 on: October 13, 2011, 07:48:56 AM »

I definitely prefer Oakland.  No real view on Saints game so happy to offer you a bet there.  I do like Dallas but there is a bit of a seven available.  If you are want to do something where I bet 1.86 or so on Dallas +7 then happy to play there otherwise happy to leave it.  re:stakes nothing bigger than £100 on Saints.  Dallas happy to do more if you want @ 7.
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