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redarmi
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« Reply #15 on: October 08, 2011, 04:13:04 PM » |
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£30 Mumbai Indians @ 1.76 to beat Somerset in Champions League (in running)
I would be about 4/7 here. Mumbai on target for about 160-170 and that would be the best score on this track so far in the CLT20 and the Indians bat quite deep. Will trade this game in running though so may be a fair few more bets.
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redarmi
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« Reply #16 on: October 08, 2011, 04:28:58 PM » |
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added another £10 on the Indians here @ Evens. Could go horribly wrong but still favourites for me and Pollard etc can all hit it out of the ground.
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redarmi
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« Reply #17 on: October 08, 2011, 04:54:00 PM » |
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£15 Perennial @ 4/1 500 Nmkt
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Dubai
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« Reply #18 on: October 08, 2011, 04:56:44 PM » |
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160 should be enough- 4-6 prob a bet rather than lay but want Somerset to win personally
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redarmi
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« Reply #19 on: October 08, 2011, 04:59:33 PM » |
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Had another £10 Perennial @ 6.4 Betfair. I thought 10/3 was a fair price so got to bet the drift.
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redarmi
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« Reply #20 on: October 08, 2011, 05:07:34 PM » |
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The last race at Newmarket is a great example of why you always have to remain alert in betting markets. I had decided this morning that Perennial might be a decent bet and it was (despite coming second) but because of my focus on Perennial I missed the fact that the favourite Astrology had been backed into 11/8 and i had it in my market at 11/4 so the best bet rather than a press up on Perennial would have been a lay of the favourite but I totally missed the gamble.
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« Last Edit: October 08, 2011, 05:18:15 PM by redarmi »
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redarmi
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« Reply #21 on: October 08, 2011, 05:16:25 PM » |
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160 should be enough- 4-6 prob a bet rather than lay but want Somerset to win personally
Yeah at the turaround I was 1.60 Mumbai......think the market has probably overeacted to the wicket of Trego though but seems about right now. Irrespective i am pretty sure the winner of this will be 6/4+ in the final and value at it. |
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redarmi
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« Reply #22 on: October 08, 2011, 05:31:01 PM » |
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535 Nmkt
£10 e/w Questioning @ Sp
£10 e/w Sri Putra @ sp
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redarmi
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« Reply #23 on: October 08, 2011, 05:38:00 PM » |
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£25 under 38 points in RL grand final @ 5/6 Hills
It is absolutely hammering it down there and conditions should be tough in a fairly close game anyway. 34 each of two would seem fair
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redarmi
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« Reply #24 on: October 08, 2011, 05:44:27 PM » |
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I am fairly close to a maximum bet on Mumbai already but the price at the moment just seems a gift so I have to press up and make it a maximum. i think they should be 2/9 now so £10 Mumbai @ 1.39.
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outragous76
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« Reply #25 on: October 08, 2011, 05:47:20 PM » |
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keith the camel often refers to betting value (took arsenal at 5/1 vs man U for eg)
is this something you practice or is it solely looking for bets to win
how often do you lay you bets in game to partially get out rather then lose the lot
(excue my ignorance if these questions arent very good, but im really not a gambler - im an occasional punter on grand national and gold cup type)
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".....and then I spent 2 hours talking with Stu which blew my mind.........."
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outragous76
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« Reply #26 on: October 08, 2011, 05:47:56 PM » |
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I am fairly close to a maximum bet on Mumbai already but the price at the moment just seems a gift so I have to press up and make it a maximum. i think they should be 2/9 now so £10 Mumbai @ 1.39.
ha and i posted the above question before this comment - |
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".....and then I spent 2 hours talking with Stu which blew my mind.........."
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redarmi
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« Reply #27 on: October 08, 2011, 05:53:26 PM » |
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keith the camel often refers to betting value (took arsenal at 5/1 vs man U for eg)
is this something you practice or is it solely looking for bets to win
how often do you lay you bets in game to partially get out rather then lose the lot
(excue my ignorance if these questions arent very good, but im really not a gambler - im an occasional punter on grand national and gold cup type)
I am purely a value punter. It is all about what price I think something should be in relation to the price available and to be honest i think pretty much every successful punter is the same with the possible exception of some racing punters with exceptional inside info. It is also vital to know the price something should be and the value you have to be able to decide on correct bet sizing. |
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redarmi
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« Reply #28 on: October 08, 2011, 05:55:16 PM » |
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I do lay sometimes to close out positions but only if I think the price I am laying at is either value or the correct price and I want to reduce my variance.
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sovietsong
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« Reply #29 on: October 08, 2011, 06:11:21 PM » |
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is it more difficult to find value with the likes of betfair creating almost "perfect markets" on premier league football etc?
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In the category of Funniest Poster I nominate sovietsong. - mantis 21/12/2012
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