Diary of a professional punter

[bigtadger]

just like to say redarmi brilliant read , really gonna enjoy this one, quick question for you , are you basically telling us every bet you strike on here  or are you betting on more sports, horses ect but keeping them to yourslef as your betting / punting more heavily on these bets  or are people paying you to join a service ?

I have posted every bet I have had since I started.  As I said at the start the stakes aren't correct in terms of actual cash.  My bankroll obviously isn't a grand but it works to show in principle what I am doing.  I also don't really want a bookie being able to read this and shut accounts I am using by being able to trace exact bets to me.  I am not offering a service and I have intention of doing so.  I dipped my toe in that once and, frankly, it wasn't very enjoyable at all and certainly not worth the hassle.  I am, however, getting paid to provide my views on certain football leagues so I might have to be a bit circumspect about exactly what I post on that front.

yeah i completely understand , but thanks for any views on horses and especially on sports events i love punting on these and hate watching them when i aint got a bet on lol, thanks also for cunning clarets i got £20 at 9/2  so what a great start gonna try use my small bankroll now to try follow your bets , who knows you may be the man to get me to my goal of 2k to take the kids to disneyland florida

[Horneris]

who knows you may be the man to get me to my goal of 2k to take the kids to disneyland florida

com. No pressure Stu, just some little kiddies hopes and dreams resting on your shoulders.

[redarmi]

£15 Tranmere -FT @ 3/1 Lads JP Trophy tonight.

On Monday morning I was all set to hit the shops and have as much as I could get on Tranmere as possible because the Accrington manager had talked in the press about allowing Tranmere to score first because this is a replayed game because the first game was abandoned with Tranmere winning 2-1 when Tom Bender got injured.  But the layers aren't quite as naive as they used to be and nobody priced it up until yesterday by which time Jimmy Bell (Stanleys asst mgr)  had said it wasn't happening and had never been seriously considered.  Despite all that I think the fact that they have come out and even mentioned it will make Accrington at the very least reluctant to put it all in tonight.  If they do gift Tranmere a goal then the right way to bet it is -FT because it will come early.  I think the likelier scenario is that they maybe rest a couple of players and obviously it is nothing like a big bet and it could range anywhere from being one of the best bets I have ever had to being negative expectation but I think on balance it is worth a small interest.

[Chompy]

£10 Cunning Clarets @ 11/2 lads 325 Wetherby

Niiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiice

Nothing worse than binking and then the race being declared void.

[Horneris]

£10 Cunning Clarets @ 11/2 lads 325 Wetherby

Niiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiice

Nothing worse than binking and then the race being declared void.

wow, fyl Red

[bigtadger]

£10 Cunning Clarets @ 11/2 lads 325 Wetherby

Niiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiice

Nothing worse than binking and then the race being declared void.

does that mean we will lose our winning cash cause ive still got mine in my willy hills account and ive quickly transfered it to poker hope not !

[redarmi]

Didn't see the race but apparently the right decision.  Meh!

yeah i completely understand , but thanks for any views on horses and especially on sports events i love punting on these and hate watching them when i aint got a bet on lol, thanks also for cunning clarets i got £20 at 9/2  so what a great start gonna try use my small bankroll now to try follow your bets , who knows you may be the man to get me to my goal of 2k to take the kids to disneyland florida

It is obviously up to you what you do with your money and if you decide to go for it then obviously good luck and I am a tryer ;-)  That said a couple of points.  This genuinely isn't a tipping thread.  My motives are part selfish, in that I want to record what I do, and partly because I have taken a lot from Blonde and not given much back especially with regards to my poker game.  A lot of the bets that I post will be done after the price has gone because I obviously have to get on first and I also swap info/bets with others.  Betting something I have bet at 11/2 at 9/2 is at best marginal.  If you can get the prices then they are normally a decent bet but the fact of the matter is that the market is a very good judge so the ones you miss may well be the best bets.  On the whole beating the market is a big part of this game.  I would imagine that my horse bets in particular would be a losing proposition at SP.  Occasionally i will post what price I think something is and anything 5%+ bigger than that should be profitable but it is sometimes very small margins we are dealing with.

[redarmi]

Ladbrokes are paying out apparently......wiiiiiiiiiiiii

[jizzemm]

Ladbrokes are paying out apparently......wiiiiiiiiiiiii

VC Have paid out as well  weeee

[redarmi]

£15 Tranmere -FT @ 3/1 Lads JP Trophy tonight.

On Monday morning I was all set to hit the shops and have as much as I could get on Tranmere as possible because the Accrington manager had talked in the press about allowing Tranmere to score first because this is a replayed game because the first game was abandoned with Tranmere winning 2-1 when Tom Bender got injured.  But the layers aren't quite as naive as they used to be and nobody priced it up until yesterday by which time Jimmy Bell (Stanleys asst mgr)  had said it wasn't happening and had never been seriously considered.  Despite all that I think the fact that they have come out and even mentioned it will make Accrington at the very least reluctant to put it all in tonight.  If they do gift Tranmere a goal then the right way to bet it is -FT because it will come early.  I think the likelier scenario is that they maybe rest a couple of players and obviously it is nothing like a big bet and it could range anywhere from being one of the best bets I have ever had to being negative expectation but I think on balance it is worth a small interest.

John Coleman just interviewed on SSN and i think this might just happen.  Have had another £15 @ 3/1.

[Chompy]

^^^ This sort of stuff is golden, gl, will keep an eye out for the result

[Bongo]

just like to say redarmi brilliant read , really gonna enjoy this one, quick question for you , are you basically telling us every bet you strike on here  or are you betting on more sports, horses ect but keeping them to yourslef as your betting / punting more heavily on these bets  or are people paying you to join a service ?

I have posted every bet I have had since I started.  As I said at the start the stakes aren't correct in terms of actual cash.  My bankroll obviously isn't a grand but it works to show in principle what I am doing.  I also don't really want a bookie being able to read this and shut accounts I am using by being able to trace exact bets to me.  I am not offering a service and I have intention of doing so.  I dipped my toe in that once and, frankly, it wasn't very enjoyable at all and certainly not worth the hassle.  I am, however, getting paid to provide my views on certain football leagues so I might have to be a bit circumspect about exactly what I post on that front.

Are you worried that the bets themselves might give you away? (e.g. if every bet an account made had been posted in this thread it might be suspicious) Do you take any steps to limit that? (e.g. a mug bet every so often)

[redarmi]

I certainly have it on my mind and if something happens which suggests I am losing outs quicker than normal then I will have to think about it a bit more but I literally have two accounts in my own name (with Uk bookies) these days and use a combination of commission agents, friends and shops so I would be surprised if it was that easy to trace and most of those accounts are also used for bets for others.

[redarmi]

Cracking draw for Broadhurst.  I make him about a 4/1 shot now......actually even that is too big maybe 3/1.

[typhoon13]

Cracking goal for tranmere as well