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redarmi
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« Reply #315 on: October 17, 2011, 04:45:13 PM » |
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£22 Dolphins +7 1.95
I really hate all the trends nonesense that the US punters seem to like but one I saw a few years ago that made a lot of sense to me was that teams with a 0-5 record had a ridiculously good record against the spread coming off a bye week. It makes some sense to me in terms of freshening up and also working on the areas where they are worst. In this game the fins are 0-4, coming off a bye but I am willing to take a chance on as it also has given Matt Moore a lot more snaps in practise with his O-line and receivers than a normal backup QB would get. I might have a bit more later but i am not totally confident on the price and it might get bigger. Quiite like this one.
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redarmi
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« Reply #316 on: October 17, 2011, 04:58:54 PM » |
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£15 Rio Rossanna 540 Ponte @ 13/2
This is 9/2 now and I am going to add a drifter to the portfolio for the race. £10 Ullswater @ 9.00 Betfair Comes from the Mark Johnson stable who are always trying or at least that is what it says on their horseboxes so not too worried about the drift. |
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Chompy
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« Reply #317 on: October 17, 2011, 06:50:35 PM » |
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I would never back a Johnston drifter. Never ever. Johnston 6/1 > 4/1, yes please, 6/1 > 8/1, no thanks.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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redarmi
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« Reply #318 on: October 17, 2011, 06:56:39 PM » |
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I was being slightly facetious with the "always trying" comments but I know where you are coming from. It was actually fairly well backed after i punted it but drifted again a bit on the shows. Think it went off 7/1ish on BF but I wasn't paying much attention.
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redarmi
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« Reply #319 on: October 17, 2011, 11:46:37 PM » |
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£15 Southampton @ 5/4 general
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redarmi
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« Reply #320 on: October 18, 2011, 12:17:24 AM » |
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Managed to get another £15 Dolphins +8.5 1.83 on Betfair.
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redarmi
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« Reply #321 on: October 18, 2011, 02:22:36 AM » |
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This is just horrible on so many levels from the Dolphins.
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Girgy85
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« Reply #322 on: October 18, 2011, 03:26:58 AM » |
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Cracking read gl with this.
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Best poster Girgy IMO - Mantis
Girgy is my new hero! - Evilpie
Think Girgy has shown the best leopard instincts in this thread and would prob survive best in the wild. Eye of the tiger that fella - Mantis
Girgy is a m'fkn machine - Daveshoelace
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Marky147
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« Reply #323 on: October 18, 2011, 03:33:50 AM » |
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This is just horrible on so many levels from the Dolphins.
I've just been finishing up with work now so missed most of the last 2 quarters, my friend who I sweat the games with is a Fins fan and is not best pleased..... |
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redarmi
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« Reply #324 on: October 18, 2011, 04:03:35 AM » |
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They literally should have been 14-0 after 5 or 6 minutes. I honestly think it is one of the most incompetent displays i have ever seen from an NFL team especially the horrible play calling from Sparano. Oh well on the plus side I will be able to get cheap tickets when i get back to Florida I suppose.
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redarmi
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« Reply #325 on: October 18, 2011, 04:11:04 AM » |
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Towards the end of the game they mentioned that they have just brought in a new rule whereby during a bye week teams have to give 4 consecutive days off during the bye period. That will definitely affect that angle and is something I didn't know about. Not sure it really effected this bet tbh because Matt Moore has played fine for a backup but it may be worth opposing teams coming off a bye now and I certainly won't be backing them for now. Bit sloppy of me to have only just found out about this.
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Redbull
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« Reply #326 on: October 18, 2011, 05:30:51 AM » |
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Interesting read. I know nothing about sports betting (except that I'm tez at it).
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redarmi
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« Reply #327 on: October 19, 2011, 12:25:58 PM » |
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handful of racing bets placed so far today:
505 Font £15 Freefalling @ 10.5 bf
620 Kempton £20 Francis Albert @ 6/1 Coral
430 Font £20 Saddlers Star @ 3.80 BF
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TheChipPrince
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« Reply #328 on: October 19, 2011, 12:38:00 PM » |
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Do you any/many ante-post football bets in place?
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The harder the conflict, the more glorious the triumph.
RIP- TheChipPrince - $17,165
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redarmi
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« Reply #329 on: October 19, 2011, 02:05:37 PM » |
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No - I don't do that much ante post at all. Logisitically it is quite difficult managin my bankroll and keeping enough money in all the various different places it needs to be without tying up lumps of it in ante post bets. Also time value of money tends to negate the advantage that you have from that kind of bet. The best way to place bets like that is on credit and I don't have access to massive amounts of credit because most of my credit accounts have been shut down and it isn't really fair to ask others to open credit accounts for me. The only position I have open this year is an ante post bet on Ipswich at 33/1 and I still really like them at 14/1 now. Think they should be 7/1 shots.
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