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redarmi
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« Reply #495 on: October 26, 2011, 01:23:19 PM » |
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I spent a bit of time looking at results from sprints there this year last night. Really struggling to see any bias. Of course that doesn't mean there isn't any and you are a better judge of the draw than me. You have a view at all? what assumption would you go with?
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redarmi
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« Reply #496 on: October 26, 2011, 01:27:07 PM » |
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Ah okay - I get you. Yes it is certainly possible. I think it had the benefit of a clever ride and decent draw last time out which isn't as likely this time. Could obviously win though.
£10e/w Above the Stars @ 7/1
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Chompy
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« Reply #497 on: October 26, 2011, 01:30:19 PM » |
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I spent a bit of time looking at results from sprints there this year last night. Really struggling to see any bias. Of course that doesn't mean there isn't any and you are a better judge of the draw than me. You have a view at all? what assumption would you go with?
Never have a clue there these days. There's not much in it most of the time on the summer course coz of watering but it's guesswork on this course. It's been random for a few years and there can be as much as ten lengths in it on occasions. Near side I'll be watching Ridley Didley, who'll prolly tow them for half a mile, then hang left and leave a gap for something. Sounds like a plan anyway. |
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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redarmi
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« Reply #498 on: October 26, 2011, 01:39:29 PM » |
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Not really sure what to make of that. All barring my initial selection drawn in single figures but none in bottom three.
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Chompy
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« Reply #499 on: October 26, 2011, 02:00:58 PM » |
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No more sprints! Ridic! They'll come centre to far side I reckon the rest of the card. Frontrunners day for me.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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ACE2M
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« Reply #500 on: October 26, 2011, 05:15:24 PM » |
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Udinese +0.5 v napoli tonight looks excellent value, have had a little on Full time at 4/1 to.
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redarmi
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« Reply #501 on: October 26, 2011, 05:47:42 PM » |
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£20 Everton 11/5 Ladbrokes (shops only)
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redarmi
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« Reply #502 on: October 26, 2011, 06:34:11 PM » |
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£10 Dzeko to score first @ 4/1 (moneyback if game goes to extra time) Ladbrokes shops.
Not totally sure on the maths but pretty sure this is better than 5/1 with no concession. I had to think on my feet as I only noticed it when I was in the shop.
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redarmi
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« Reply #503 on: October 26, 2011, 06:48:28 PM » |
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£15 Cavani @ 5/1 FGS Napoli/Udinese with thanks to adn
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redarmi
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« Reply #504 on: October 26, 2011, 07:14:41 PM » |
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£15 Wolves 7/1 Spreadex
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redarmi
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« Reply #505 on: October 27, 2011, 11:51:47 AM » |
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Is it just me or is the racing today as difficult as i have ever seen. Looks like at least half the horses running at Lingfield and Kempton are making their debuts on the surface which makes it a bit of a lottery. Studying pedigrees and understanding which horses were likely to act in certain crcumstances used to be one of my strong points but I haven't looked at breeding stats for ages.
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typhoon13
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« Reply #506 on: October 27, 2011, 12:03:31 PM » |
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Is it just me or is the racing today as difficult as i have ever seen. Looks like at least half the horses running at Lingfield and Kempton are making their debuts on the surface which makes it a bit of a lottery. Studying pedigrees and understanding which horses were likely to act in certain crcumstances used to be one of my strong points but I haven't looked at breeding stats for ages.
Time of the year, another week or two and it should be more clearer on the jumpers. |
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Dubai
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« Reply #507 on: October 27, 2011, 12:50:21 PM » |
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any bets today mate?
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Dubai
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« Reply #508 on: October 27, 2011, 01:14:07 PM » |
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thoughts on todays distances? looking for any bet to keep mind occupied this afternoon cos got load of house work to do
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redarmi
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« Reply #509 on: October 27, 2011, 01:21:49 PM » |
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No real view to be honest. Only horses I have potentially a bit of interest in backing are Grams and Ounces at Fontwell in the 330. Think the favourites at Stratford all look very solid if you have a spread account a buy there would give you some interest but beyond that I think I may take rest of day off. Frankly, it is ridiculous that a man of your stature and means doesn't have a nubile young lady doing the housework ;-)
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