Diary of a professional punter

[Dubai]

ha she pregnant and at work, not to be messed with at the moment!

[ACE2M]

I'm informed the fav in the 2.50 stratford should be evens not 2/1. Any thoughts?

[boldie]

I'm informed the fav in the 2.50 stratford should be evens not 2/1. Any thoughts?

Just my two pence, whoever told you that needs to have a LOT of info on the horse and having seen him work tremendously well. Erdeli could obv well win and is taking a big drop in class and steps back up in distance, but even money is a ridic price, I would argue that 2-1/15-8 is fairly skinny on a horse that hasn't been finishing it's races terribly well TBH.

Edit; though the race itsself is also full of frustrating types.

[boldie]

I'm informed the fav in the 2.50 stratford should be evens not 2/1. Any thoughts?

Just my two pence, whoever told you that needs to have a LOT of info on the horse and having seen him work tremendously well. Erdeli could obv well win and is taking a big drop in class and steps back up in distance, but even money is a ridic price, I would argue that 2-1/15-8 is fairly skinny on a horse that hasn't been finishing it's races terribly well TBH.

Edit; though the race itsself is also full of frustrating types.

Obv it wins at around 6-4

[Marky147]

I'm informed the fav in the 2.50 stratford should be evens not 2/1. Any thoughts?

Top man

[Marky147]

I'm informed the fav in the 2.50 stratford should be evens not 2/1. Any thoughts?

Just my two pence, whoever told you that needs to have a LOT of info on the horse and having seen him work tremendously well. Erdeli could obv well win and is taking a big drop in class and steps back up in distance, but even money is a ridic price, I would argue that 2-1/15-8 is fairly skinny on a horse that hasn't been finishing it's races terribly well TBH.

Edit; though the race itsself is also full of frustrating types.

Obv it wins at around 6-4

Was it a comfortable winner?

I missed the race because of work so just had the login to Ladbrokes sweat when I finished the skype call

[boldie]

I'm informed the fav in the 2.50 stratford should be evens not 2/1. Any thoughts?

Just my two pence, whoever told you that needs to have a LOT of info on the horse and having seen him work tremendously well. Erdeli could obv well win and is taking a big drop in class and steps back up in distance, but even money is a ridic price, I would argue that 2-1/15-8 is fairly skinny on a horse that hasn't been finishing it's races terribly well TBH.

Edit; though the race itsself is also full of frustrating types.

Obv it wins at around 6-4

Was it a comfortable winner?

I missed the race because of work so just had the login to Ladbrokes sweat when I finished the skype call

I was only reading the RP betting site commentary..they stated "It looks like Erdeli just got up".

16-1 shot Flowerbud finished second.

Didn't sound to me like it was comfortable.

[ACE2M]

I'm informed the fav in the 2.50 stratford should be evens not 2/1. Any thoughts?

Just my two pence, whoever told you that needs to have a LOT of info on the horse and having seen him work tremendously well. Erdeli could obv well win and is taking a big drop in class and steps back up in distance, but even money is a ridic price, I would argue that 2-1/15-8 is fairly skinny on a horse that hasn't been finishing it's races terribly well TBH.

Edit; though the race itsself is also full of frustrating types.

Obv it wins at around 6-4

Was it a comfortable winner?

I missed the race because of work so just had the login to Ladbrokes sweat when I finished the skype call

I was only reading the RP betting site commentary..they stated "It looks like Erdeli just got up".

16-1 shot Flowerbud finished second.

Didn't sound to me like it was comfortable.

not comfy at all. I thought it was a great ride to be honest, it was on and off the bridle a fair bit. You can see why its disappointed before, its not a keen runner.

[Marky147]

I'm informed the fav in the 2.50 stratford should be evens not 2/1. Any thoughts?

Just my two pence, whoever told you that needs to have a LOT of info on the horse and having seen him work tremendously well. Erdeli could obv well win and is taking a big drop in class and steps back up in distance, but even money is a ridic price, I would argue that 2-1/15-8 is fairly skinny on a horse that hasn't been finishing it's races terribly well TBH.

Edit; though the race itsself is also full of frustrating types.

Obv it wins at around 6-4

Was it a comfortable winner?

I missed the race because of work so just had the login to Ladbrokes sweat when I finished the skype call

I was only reading the RP betting site commentary..they stated "It looks like Erdeli just got up".

16-1 shot Flowerbud finished second.

Didn't sound to me like it was comfortable.

Sounds like I missed a chance to shout at the monitor....

[redarmi]

It definitely ran in snatches. Not betting it but am told grams and ounces in 330 font is schooling well which is half the battle

[ACE2M]

Udinese +0.5 v napoli tonight looks excellent value, have had a little on Full time at 4/1 to.

This didn't win obvioulsy but a side point for people who like to back the double chance market, always check the asian line. Udinese +0.5 was 2.05, udinese or draw was 1.85 ish.  Every little helps

[redarmi]

TBH everyone that bets on football should bet Asian lines as a default because you are betting against the lowest margins and they also have the lowest variance.  Obviously if you understand how markets are prices you should pick and choose wherever you get the best price but for the average man in the street the best thing they could do is bet Asian lines and if you can master that and figure out the conversions then the easiest way to make money gambling is betting the big Asian moves with the UK bookies before they change their prices.

[redarmi]

It is probably going to be a bit of a hassle to post this weekend as I am heading down to London for the weekend and to the South Coast to win the Championship title decider so i am going to be travelling a lot but I have done a couple of bits and pieces that I can post now.

£25 Birmingham @ 6/5 Coral
£10 Boro @ 7/2 Coral
£20 Barnsley @ 2.15 Hills
£15 Palace @ 2.70 Hills

In Prem I am tempted by Stoke @ 6/5 and also think 2/5 Spurs seems fair but haven't played yet.  Might also do some kind of multiple because I am certain that Brum, Barnsley (any view Sheriff?) and Palace are value.  I think when you do multis you have to be very sure of your prices because one wrong step can screw up the value of the whole bet but I am fairly sure this week.

[kukushkin88]

^^ This is perfect, I´ve got a big boozing weekend planned so I was keen to get a few bets on early, cheers :-). Have a good weekend, big wins for the Swans and Boro please.

[redarmi]

I can't get on with baldy but if anyone can then Lee Jennings is a spot of value for Prizefighter Saturday night @ 14/1.  Every other firm is about half the price and I was 10/1 to 100% so it is pretty good value.  I like Rhys Roberts a bit too and would be surprised if he goes off at 4/1.  As mentioned before the draw is a massive random factor in these.