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Author Topic: Diary of a professional punter  (Read 139935 times)
redarmi
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« Reply #525 on: October 28, 2011, 12:44:04 AM »

£5 e/w Soren Kjeldsen @ 66/1 1/4 first four Andalucia Masters Golf

Was really tempted to back Kjeldsen pre tourney but he has been out of form recently despite an amazing record around here.  He is 7 shots off the lead but T16 at the moment and whilst Richie Ramsay could just run away with this I fancy he is marginally more likely to fold under the pressure and a 2 or 3 under tomorrow will have Kjeldsen in the hunt.
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redarmi
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« Reply #526 on: October 28, 2011, 01:55:51 AM »

£20 Watford @ 13/8
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Chompy
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« Reply #527 on: October 28, 2011, 09:28:19 AM »

^^^ gg
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
redarmi
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« Reply #528 on: October 28, 2011, 09:33:40 AM »

£20 Kathleen Frances @ 16/1 335 Nmkt
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Sheriff Fatman
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« Reply #529 on: October 28, 2011, 10:34:08 AM »

£20 Barnsley @ 2.15 Hills

Might also do some kind of multiple because I am certain that Brum, Barnsley (any view Sheriff?) and Palace are value. 

Hard to argue against at that price.  Bristol City at home is a game we "should" win and our injury situation is clearing up.  We've been playing pretty well at home in recent games and there's no reason to expect any change tomorrow.  You also benefit from the "Sheriff not going" factor, which usually guarantees an improved performance.

Odds against looks huge value to me.
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"...And If You Flash Him A Smile He'll Take Your Teeth As Deposit..."
"Sheriff Fatman" - Carter the Unstoppable Sex Machine

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redarmi
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« Reply #530 on: October 28, 2011, 12:43:04 PM »

Have had another £10 on Watford @ 13/8.   I really like the addition of Nyron Nosworthy to Watford on loan today.  He is decent at this level.
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EvilPie
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« Reply #531 on: October 28, 2011, 01:16:17 PM »

thoughts on todays distances? looking for any bet to keep mind occupied this afternoon cos got load of house work to do

I need to find a new hero Sad
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"Because thats what living is, the 6 inches in front of your face......" - Patrick Leonard - 10th May 2015
redarmi
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« Reply #532 on: October 28, 2011, 01:19:36 PM »

£10 Vita Lika @ 10/1 330 Nmkt.  11/1 is available if you can get on with the minor firms.
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ripple11
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« Reply #533 on: October 28, 2011, 01:33:40 PM »

£20 Kathleen Frances @ 16/1 335 Nmkt
£10 Vita Lika @ 10/1 330 Nmkt.  11/1 is available if you can get on with the minor firms.

worth a RFC ? Smiley
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typhoon13
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« Reply #534 on: October 28, 2011, 01:35:08 PM »

£20 Kathleen Frances @ 16/1 335 Nmkt
£10 Vita Lika @ 10/1 330 Nmkt.  11/1 is available if you can get on with the minor firms.

worth a RFC ? Smiley

Greedy
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doubleup
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« Reply #535 on: October 28, 2011, 01:38:19 PM »

£10 Vita Lika @ 10/1 330 Nmkt.  11/1 is available if you can get on with the minor firms.
16.5 on bf
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typhoon13
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« Reply #536 on: October 28, 2011, 01:39:42 PM »


I have e/w them
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redarmi
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« Reply #537 on: October 28, 2011, 01:45:46 PM »

£50 Dean Byrne @ just under 8/13 overall

Byrne is a late replacement for Frankie Gavin in this fight after Funtime Frankie went AWOL from his training camp.  The bookies priced that fight 1/33 Gavin 16/1 Horta.  Coming up with prices for fights involving tough journeymen like Horta isn't easy but Byrne is unbeaten in 15 fights and looks a decent prospect.  The big unknown is that Byrne fought an eight rounder last week on the undercard of the Norton fight and was taken all the way.  I am pretty confident he wouldn't be taking this fight if he didn't think he could win and even allowing for the fight last week i thought he would have been about 1/6.  He used to be trained by Freddie Roach and is considered a good tough sparring partner for the likes of Michael Katsidis and Kevin Mitchell so he is clearly rated.  I don't see how he can possibly be 8/13 against the third best fighter at this weight in France.  I wouldn't be much bigger than 2/1 against Gavin.  Couple of decent judges I spoke to this morning were largely in agreement althought they were not as short as me but all told i have to have a maximum.
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redarmi
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« Reply #538 on: October 28, 2011, 01:47:09 PM »

£10 Vita Lika @ 10/1 330 Nmkt.  11/1 is available if you can get on with the minor firms.
16.5 on bf

FML - am on a train with with patchy internet and trying to get my business done as I am travelling.  Bit annoying to have rtaken such a short price.
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kukushkin88
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« Reply #539 on: October 28, 2011, 02:09:22 PM »

£20 Kathleen Frances @ 16/1 335 Nmkt
£10 Vita Lika @ 10/1 330 Nmkt.  11/1 is available if you can get on with the minor firms.

worth a RFC ? Smiley

Must be Friday the afternoon excitement, I haven´t had a RFC on the horses for something like 10 years. As soon as I saw the second post I straight away thought landing a sneaky tenner RFC would be a great way to start the weekend.
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