Diary of a professional punter

[MahoganyVic]

Got sorted with this:

£100 e/w Royal Delta @ 7/2 Corals Breeders Cup Ladies Classic 1130 Churchill Downs

Can't really see this one being out of the frame and plenty of excuses both times it has been beat and has beaten the two favourites here in similar circumstances.  i think it might go off favourite here and 7/2 seems too big.  I was 11/4.

Is this a typo or really £100EW so £200 in total? Big bet if it is!     Trying to decide how much i should lump on

[ACE2M]

Got sorted with this:

£100 e/w Royal Delta @ 7/2 Corals Breeders Cup Ladies Classic 1130 Churchill Downs

Can't really see this one being out of the frame and plenty of excuses both times it has been beat and has beaten the two favourites here in similar circumstances.  i think it might go off favourite here and 7/2 seems too big.  I was 11/4.

on, for a bit more than is good for me.....

[redarmi]

Sorry it should have read £10 e/w but I actually wrote the actual bet I got returned....so much for the mystery bet amounts!!

Been looking at the wsop main event and had:

£10 e/w Eoghan O'dea @ 5/1

He has 16% of the chips yet he is only taking 16% out of the betting market and the e/w at 1/4 odds 1-3 is particularly good.  I am not massively up on the relative talents but Surely he isn't worse than the fourth or fifth best player at the table is he?  It is one of those bets where I am pretty sure it isn't -EV but not totally sure how much +EV it is.

[Dubai]

Eoghan is pretty tight so the ew is excellent value

[Dubai]

Id be a layer of Lamb, people vastly overestimating his ability and skilledge- he has to be too short. Probably would be a backer of chip leader, being a "spewer/fish" aint the worse thing ever for a final table anyway

[Dubai]

Assuming u backed Eoghan with Paddy- probably worth doing because if he took a real bad beat or something along them lines, its not inconceivable that they would refund all bets given he is sponsored by them.

[Chompy]

Had a chuckaway £70 on Giannetti, although will probably get grimmed if he binks it

[redarmi]

Assuming u backed Eoghan with Paddy- probably worth doing because if he took a real bad beat or something along them lines, its not inconceivable that they would refund all bets given he is sponsored by them.

Yeah I did.  Hawkins was eschewing that exact same view last night.  I had never considered it but has to be a possibility.  I think it is value with a lot of potential other positives.

[ACE2M]

Got sorted with this:

£100 e/w Royal Delta @ 7/2 Corals Breeders Cup Ladies Classic 1130 Churchill Downs

Can't really see this one being out of the frame and plenty of excuses both times it has been beat and has beaten the two favourites here in similar circumstances.  i think it might go off favourite here and 7/2 seems too big.  I was 11/4.

thanks.

[Josedinho]

Got sorted with this:

£100 e/w Royal Delta @ 7/2 Corals Breeders Cup Ladies Classic 1130 Churchill Downs

Can't really see this one being out of the frame and plenty of excuses both times it has been beat and has beaten the two favourites here in similar circumstances.  i think it might go off favourite here and 7/2 seems too big.  I was 11/4.

Lovely win. Watched the race on betfair. Wasn't watching the market but when I glanced at an update it was 6.8. Was never really out of contention any reason for that?

[claypole]

Got sorted with this:

£100 e/w Royal Delta @ 7/2 Corals Breeders Cup Ladies Classic 1130 Churchill Downs

Can't really see this one being out of the frame and plenty of excuses both times it has been beat and has beaten the two favourites here in similar circumstances.  i think it might go off favourite here and 7/2 seems too big.  I was 11/4.

thanks.

This - I know not a tipping thread, but had a punt as liked your line - ty red

[redarmi]

Got sorted with this:

£100 e/w Royal Delta @ 7/2 Corals Breeders Cup Ladies Classic 1130 Churchill Downs

Can't really see this one being out of the frame and plenty of excuses both times it has been beat and has beaten the two favourites here in similar circumstances.  i think it might go off favourite here and 7/2 seems too big.  I was 11/4.

Lovely win. Watched the race on betfair. Wasn't watching the market but when I glanced at an update it was 6.8. Was never really out of contention any reason for that?

Looked for a split second coming around the bend as though it wasn't going to pick up but even then 6.8 seems a bit much.

[Horneris]

Got sorted with this:

£100 e/w Royal Delta @ 7/2 Corals Breeders Cup Ladies Classic 1130 Churchill Downs

Can't really see this one being out of the frame and plenty of excuses both times it has been beat and has beaten the two favourites here in similar circumstances.  i think it might go off favourite here and 7/2 seems too big.  I was 11/4.

Lovely win. Watched the race on betfair. Wasn't watching the market but when I glanced at an update it was 6.8. Was never really out of contention any reason for that?

Just as they were coming round the bend it was a couple of lengths behind the front 3 and the jockey was starting to get to work, expected it to have traded slightly higher really but guess I know nothing of the horses action.

Absolutely stormed home in the end, well timed ride and the horse is a machine.

Had 3 winners tonight, this might end up being my first winning Breeders Cup meeting of all time, although tomorrow night will probably have something to say about that.

[redarmi]

Really?  Breeders Cup has always been one of my favourite events although I have had some bloodbaths over the years too.  Bit like Cheltenham really.  I find some of the American favourites get really, really overbet.

[action man]

always go pub for breeders cup night, 8pm meet till 1am tommorow oi oi