Ok I'm plotted up in hospital for the week, all accounts are loaded after last weeks run good and ready to get knocked in
Happy to help with this ;-)
I am currently working on a small experiment the now for very small stakes but might look at increasing the stakes if things continue to go well, basically all I am doing is betting the morning line 2nd best according to the ATR tissue price. So far its went quite well.
To quantify this, I am not just betting every 2nd best, but selecting horses on price only. I know very little about American racing and have often just left it alone. However with the coverage of the racing on sky I have noticed that there are some decent opportunities to make money from betfair.
An example of what I am looking to do is try and get a bet matched at around 1.6 x the expected SP. So in the 8:24 at Finger Lakes I am looking to back Brazen Kat @ 5.0, if I get matched then great if not I am not overly bothered as its only small stakes I am playing for. At the same time as doing this I am using it as a learning experience to increase my own knowledge of American racing.
If the horse I am looking to back opens a bigger price than what was initially expected even with my 1.6 factor I am happy to lower the stake again and take the biggest price possible. Some might say I am giving up an edge by making smaller bets, but this will help with the variance I think.
This one I have a selection in is very interesting they are backing the favourite off the board and the other market principles are on the drift. I managed to get matched @ 5.3.
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