Premier League Match Betting Selections

[sweet potata!]

 

[FUN4FRASER]

Given the team news...and the fact they have the passionate home crowd behind them I think that ..

Liverpool to win  @ 10-11  (draw no bet ) is decent value today

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/liverpool-v-manchester-city/draw-no-bet

[mulhuzz]

Given the team news...and the fact they have the passionate home crowd behind them I think that ..

Liverpool to win  @ 10-11  (draw no bet ) is decent value today

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/liverpool-v-manchester-city/draw-no-bet

they've been crap at home though, right?

[FUN4FRASER]

I like two bets this weekend...

In form Newcastle with their great home support are home to Chelsea and their indifferent defence.... Selection.....Newcastle to win  2-1 draw no bet   LOST

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/newcastle-v-chelsea/draw-no-bet

Go with Wolves and their home support against Managerless ,No Strikers and out of form Sunderland ...Selection   Wolves to win  8 - 11  draw no bet WON

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/wolverhampton-v-sunderland/draw-no-bet

[mulhuzz]

why do you make the draw no bets? do you do it as a rule?

[FUN4FRASER]

why do you make the draw no bets? do you do it as a rule?

Hi

I dont always back on draw no bet , I just look for value (subjective)...but over the years Ive learned this is a much more profitable way of staking/betting on football

Liverpool V Man City was an example....you could of backed both teams at 6-4 with the draw at 9 -4 ... or 10-11/evens on either with money back for the draw..granted not as bigger odds but you are betting on a more favourable percentage book

The draw generally is the ideal result  for the bookmakers and its quite amazing how many times it occurs especially in closely contested matches ...In my opinion its better for the draw not to be a loser for the punter...

Happy to try and answer more if needed

[adnmdv]

Why not just back the Asian Handicap at one of the Asians where the over round is relatively small?

[FUN4FRASER]

Why not just back the Asian Handicap at one of the Asians where the over round is relatively small?

I do play the Asian handicap but Im just trying to simplify it for this forum as some people dont  really dont understand either market...Sometimes the % or over round can be better on the draw no bet market ...you just have to hunt for the best price

[Horneris]

Why do you place such a huge emphasis on the home crowd (featured heavily in all 3 selections)?

[mulhuzz]

why do you make the draw no bets? do you do it as a rule?

Hi

I dont always back on draw no bet , I just look for value (subjective)...but over the years Ive learned this is a much more profitable way of staking/betting on football

Liverpool V Man City was an example....you could of backed both teams at 6-4 with the draw at 9 -4 ... or 10-11/evens on either with money back for the draw..granted not as bigger odds but you are betting on a more favourable percentage book

The draw generally is the ideal result  for the bookmakers and its quite amazing how many times it occurs especially in closely contested matches ...In my opinion its better for the draw not to be a loser for the punter...

Happy to try and answer more if needed

makes sense. but if it happens a lot in crucial matches, why not bet on it?

[FUN4FRASER]

Why do you place such a huge emphasis on the home crowd (featured heavily in all 3 selections)?

A Vehement home crowd that gets behind the side can really make a big difference to the players.Some examples of these grounds (in my opinion ) are Stoke,Liverpool,Newcastle,Wolves,Spurs,Chelsea, Norwich,Sunderland (not recently ) who normally  get behind their team.

Quiet home grounds include Villa, Wigan,Fulham,Bolton,Blackburn, even Man Utd and Arsenal can be a graveyard.. especially when things are not going well

Supporters of some the above teams may agree or disagree..I can only base it on what Ive seen over the years

[FUN4FRASER]

why do you make the draw no bets? do you do it as a rule?

Hi

I dont always back on draw no bet , I just look for value (subjective)...but over the years Ive learned this is a much more profitable way of staking/betting on football

Liverpool V Man City was an example....you could of backed both teams at 6-4 with the draw at 9 -4 ... or 10-11/evens on either with money back for the draw..granted not as bigger odds but you are betting on a more favourable percentage book

The draw generally is the ideal result  for the bookmakers and its quite amazing how many times it occurs especially in closely contested matches ...In my opinion its better for the draw not to be a loser for the punter...

Happy to try and answer more if needed

makes sense. but if it happens a lot in crucial matches, why not bet on it?

Why bet on Anything ?     Value is my main reason  (subjective)

If f I fancy a team and the odds are favourable...then I will bet draw no bet sometimes knowing I have the draw as a "safety net"

[FUN4FRASER]

Why do you place such a huge emphasis on the home crowd (featured heavily in all 3 selections)?

A Vehement home crowd that gets behind the side can really make a big difference to the players.Some examples of these grounds (in my opinion ) are Stoke,Liverpool,Newcastle,Wolves,Spurs,Chelsea, Norwich,Sunderland (not recently ) who normally  get behind their team.

Quiet home grounds include Villa, Wigan,Fulham,Bolton,Blackburn, even Man Utd and Arsenal can be a graveyard.. especially when things are not going well

Supporters of some the above teams may agree or disagree..I can only base it on what Ive seen over the years

[/b]Do you have any actual facts to back this up or are you just making stuff up?

Better to read a post and understand what has been written before replying ,that way it will contribute to a more constructive site

[Eso Kral]

I have had a big bet on Blackburn to receive the most bookings points vs Swansea today at 29/20 with Hills  Rovers have had 31 yellows and 2 reds against Swans 19 yellows

[FUN4FRASER]

I have had a big bet on Blackburn to receive the most bookings points vs Swansea today at 29/20 with Hills  Rovers have had 31 yellows and 2 reds against Swans 19 yellows

Sounded decent logic  although statistics normally favour the away side to make more bookings

Hope it came in ?