Flop spot - less equity than it seems?

[cambridgealex]

Preflop: Hero is MP with    
1 fold, Hero raises to $6.00, Lucius_CSM calls $6.00, 3 folds
 
Flop: ($15.00)       (2 players)
Hero bets $9.00, Lucius_CSM raises to $30.00

We both start the hand with $200.

At first glance we've flopped huge, two overs, gutshot, 2nd nfd. But vs the range he'll get it in with, we're fairly crushed - sets, flushes, nut flush draws...

fold to the 30$? or just raise/get it in?

Villain is playing 20/16/0 over 50 hands and we're playing 38/27/23 over 46 hands (must've been being hit in the face lol)

[pleno1]

pretty trivial fold I think Btw do we ever have a c/calling range on this board texture?

[cambridgealex]

pretty trivial fold I think Btw do we ever have a c/calling range on this board texture?

interesting point. i guess im not the only one who's unbalanced on these boards?

if i have the 67green im always check folding, any value hands i'm always betting. hmmmm.

[jakally]

interesting point. i guess im not the only one who's unbalanced on these boards?

But it's not easy to have a balanced check calling range, unless we are check calling sets / flushes.

As long as we always bet nut hands on these boards (which we obv do), it's hard for us to get owned on them.
When we bet, opponents often play reasonably straightforward............calling marginals to see if we give up, raising smaller flushes and sets for protection/value etc...

Without history, I think this is a fold.

[cambridgealex]

interesting point. i guess im not the only one who's unbalanced on these boards?

But it's not easy to have a balanced check calling range, unless we are check calling sets / flushes.

As long as we always bet nut hands on these boards (which we obv do), it's hard for us to get owned on them.
When we bet, opponents often play reasonably straightforward............calling marginals to see if we give up, raising smaller flushes and sets for protection/value etc...

Without history, I think this is a fold.

i guess its the times we have very thin showdown value, like underpairs, bottom pair, ak high hands - anyone can own us and always bluff us off these once checked to.