PLENO1's footy thoughts

[tikay]

Congrats, pleno.

http://www.skybet.com/cms/breaking-transfer-news.shtm?name=pleno

[Dubai]

haha my mate setme up couple years ago when Ryder Cup was on

http://europeansportsnews.paddypower.com/video.php?gf=Dave%20&gs=Shallow&gc=Royal%20Birkdale&ght=Essex&gh=18

Still comes up when u google me which is funny- was some Paddy Power thing they were doing

[The Camel]

haha my mate setme up couple years ago when Ryder Cup was on

http://europeansportsnews.paddypower.com/video.php?gf=Dave%20&gs=Shallow&gc=Royal%20Birkdale&ght=Essex&gh=18

Still comes up when u google me which is funny- was some Paddy Power thing they were doing

Who is this Shallow clown?

[bobby1]

Congrats, pleno.

http://www.skybet.com/cms/breaking-transfer-news.shtm?name=pleno

Love it

[Sighmuns]

Opinions on my initial thoughts on tonights games?

Everton v Man City 20:00- 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, City to win narrowly, Everton have been brave but without much quality at home in last few games.

Man Utd v Stoke 20:00- Both teams to score, De Gea looks to be in goal for Utd, think Stoke will put a lot of pressure on him- could also lay Utd at the 1.38, Nani/Rooney/Jones likely out.

Swansea v Chelsea 19:45- Low scoring game, Swansea excellent at home, interesting to see how Chelsea cope without Terry/Lampard/Ramires. I don't know what their team is going to be like. Think laying Chelsea at just over evens is a good bet.

Tottenham v Wigan 19:45- Usually I dont underestimate Wigan's ability to contest games in which they are underdogs, but I'm going for a comfortable Spurs win with lots of goals here. Planning on IP betting goals even after a quiet start.

Wolves v Liverpool 19:45- I generally stay away from betting on Liverpool as they are my team, but /FT Liv/Liv @ seems a decent bet to me. Scoring goals has been our problem even before the Suarez ban, but 4 goals scored in last two games might give us some confidence.


I'd welcome people disagreeing with me to give me another perspective and hope this is the right thread to be discussing bets

[pleno1]

Opinions on my initial thoughts on tonights games?

Everton v Man City 20:00- 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, City to win narrowly, Everton have been brave but without much quality at home in last few games.

Man Utd v Stoke 20:00- Both teams to score, De Gea looks to be in goal for Utd, think Stoke will put a lot of pressure on him- could also lay Utd at the 1.38, Nani/Rooney/Jones likely out.

Swansea v Chelsea 19:45- Low scoring game, Swansea excellent at home, interesting to see how Chelsea cope without Terry/Lampard/Ramires. I don't know what their team is going to be like. Think laying Chelsea at just over evens is a good bet.

Tottenham v Wigan 19:45- Usually I dont underestimate Wigan's ability to contest games in which they are underdogs, but I'm going for a comfortable Spurs win with lots of goals here. Planning on IP betting goals even after a quiet start.

Wolves v Liverpool 19:45- I generally stay away from betting on Liverpool as they are my team, but /FT Liv/Liv @ seems a decent bet to me. Scoring goals has been our problem even before the Suarez ban, but 4 goals scored in last two games might give us some confidence.


I'd welcome people disagreeing with me to give me another perspective and hope this is the right thread to be discussing bets

Just saw this, apologies.

I agree with Everton/City although City have not been in as amazing form as earlier in season but expected them to keep a clean sheet vs a shotshy Everton team.

I disagree with Stoke scoring at United, I had United to win to nil. The only threat was set pieces but after the performances from Manchester UNited vs Newcastle and Blackburn in the air I expected Ferguson to sort this out, especially as Stoke are reknowned  for their physical presence.

Agree with Swansea/Chelsea, Torres just can't get going and Sturridge being wide restricts their attacking presence imo. Ramires is so so so important for Chelsea he has so much dirve and very underrated player.

Liverpool - I believe in Carroll so much, as soon as the kop got on his side he will start delivering, I had Bellamy in my dream team and always thought the Bellamy/Carroll combo will work as well as any strikeforce currently in premiership, apart from Ba/Cisse OBV

[pleno1]

Congrats, pleno.

http://www.skybet.com/cms/breaking-transfer-news.shtm?name=pleno

rofl, <333333333333

[Sighmuns]

Betting wise I put a small amount on all the likely headers-of-goals for Stoke, which obviously lost, and lumped on over 4.5's in the Spurs game, had faith in a late goal so only traded my stake back at 3-1, goes down as a near miss.

So my Stoke thinking was wrong, Ferguson often plays a bit more solidly after a defeat I notice. Something I should remember.

Do I take it from your faith in Carroll/love for Ba/Cisse that you're a Newcastle fan? Hope you see this before the game, cos I'm sure you'll be thinking opposite to me... I've gone in heavily backing Blackburn tonight...!

I was impressed with them beating Fulham after getting the Yak sent off, this is a must-win game for them in light of their upcoming fixtures, and while i've backed Newcastle many times this season due to them often being overpriced, I really don't see them being impressive without Ba, Cabaye AND Tiote, although Coloccini is back. These four for me have been the heart of Newcastle this year, and though they've managed OK without one or two of them at any one time, I think they will struggle with 3 out.


Other than that:

Sunderland vs Norwich- I like Norwich as a team this year, performed excellently away from home at times this season, coupling that with that I think the recent results have been flattering to Sunderland, I think Laying Sunderland is a decent bet.

Fulham vs West Brom- Fulham look good for a win here, but West Brom are unpredictable imo, so I personally am staying away from this.

Bolton vs Arsenal- Haven't looked much at the game, but Arsenal not-winning would certainly not shock me.

Villa vs QPR- Think QPR are a litte overpriced; they've definately improved their squad in the transfer window... again I'm staying away from it as Villa have been in good form.


(Let me know if you don't want me writing essays in your thread mate!)

[Sighmuns]

Sigh, 0-1 Blackburn Newcastle... one of those days so far... 

[pleno1]

Yeh I'm a Newcastle fan.

I actually really rate Blackburn though, at start of season I had them down as certainties to get relegated, but I'm really impressed with them since, they play good football. The forward they have just signed is absolutely awful though, missed so many chances tonight, if Samba was playing he would have had a field day from set pieces, luckily we saved a penalty, if we hadn't it could have ended up like Fulham where we conceded one, really need the guys back from Africa.

[pleno1]

Said it most of season and Solaris et al all mocked me but Krul must be best keeper in prem atm. Got us 3 points today, about 10 great saves and ofc a penalty save, he came and punched almost any corner/freekick that Pederson wizzed in.

[pleno1]

Lol, it really does show how much important a good manager is.

At the moment we have:

Simpson - Championship quality
Ryan Taylor - Not a quality midfielder, decent backup
Guthrie - No form for couple years
Jonas - Playing centre mid for the first time ever
Best - Back up at best
Shola - League 1 quality
Perch - Championship quality
Obertan - Championship quality
Lovenkrankds - Championship quality

And we've missed Ba, Cisse, Tiote, Steven Taylor, the backbone of our team for the whole of January and some even longer and Pardew has managed to put us in a position ahead of Arsenal and Liverpool, every or at least the vast majority of players on the bench of Arsenal and Liverpool would be starting for Newcastle atm.

From February we have Tiote, Cisse, Ba, Cabaye coming back, we are really close to being full strength and having this team line up for the rest of the season and hopefully push us on into Europe

                         Krul

Taylor Colocini Williamson Santon

                Tiote
          Guthrie  Cabaye

Ben Arfa                      Ba
                 Cisse

Jonas can play on either wing or in the middle and Best/Simpson/Obertan is OK backup for a few months.

If Pardew can keep this team together, add a quality right back next season and perhaps another 10-15m player then we can really push on and cement ourselves as part of the top 6.

#5yearplansftw

[pleno1]

Wow, so so sad

[pleno1]

mug!

[pleno1]

Lol, it really does show how much important a good manager is.