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Author Topic: Golf Betting 2012  (Read 129517 times)
Horneris
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« Reply #60 on: January 25, 2012, 10:45:04 PM »

Only betting in majors this year in the golf were I can follow every shot closely and were there is loads of liquidity for trading in running. Managed to get all green books in every major last year but lost way too much on other events where I couldn't dedicate enough time 4 days a week every week to play in running.

I couldn't help myself having a browse tho and wouldn't put anyone off Haas, Rollins or Leishman at prices in the US.

No-one for Abu Dhabi.
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Karabiner
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« Reply #61 on: January 25, 2012, 11:16:34 PM »

Added Danny Willett to my Euro portfolio @ 220 which is a little lower than I was hoping for but rounds things off nicely.
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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« Reply #62 on: January 26, 2012, 11:14:21 AM »

added Dustin Johnson in the US @ 40.0. W/d because of injury last week, but apparently wasnt becasue of the knee he had surgery on and was just back pain/stiffness through the lack of walking since surgery. Hope hes good to go now.
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bobby1
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« Reply #63 on: January 26, 2012, 01:48:01 PM »

some good starts there guys from Bobby K and Lawrie
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« Reply #64 on: January 26, 2012, 10:05:48 PM »

Agree, nice analysis, Phil, this grass & that grass, wind speed, tee-times, the lot.

It might all be tosh, but it impressed me.

The temptation to resume punting, after a decade or so of abstinence, with, in particular, golf in mind, is temporarily held at bay, as I am working asll weekend in Luton, so no TV for me - & the fun of the punting would be almost exclusively in the watching.

I'm also being subtly nagged by a very good friend, not to be so daft as to ever bet again.

For now, he holds sway. Next week, who knows?

lol, grass and wind, i sound  like a farmer.

I've laid a few in the Euro golf, mainly players teeing off in the afternoon. Of the big 5 in the market, Mcilroy, Woods and Donald all play in the same group in the morning. Kaymer and Westwood are out with Garcia in the afternoon. It night just make the difference.

You will like this Tony, Martin Kaymer's last 4 tourneys around this track he has won 3 times and was 2nd in the other event.

In the US most of the main contenders love the grass( which is probably why they are here) and are priced accordingly

A few darts have been thrown at
 
D A Points, 12th and 6th in two events this season but his last 4 events on poa anna 5th,1st MC, 9th

Bryce Molder, his form here is poor, two MC and a disq but his last 8 events on PA grass have 4 finishes of 1st,6th,10th and 32nd amongst them. It could be that the course is just too long for him but at 160 ish I don't mind paying to find out.

Spencer Levins last 4 events on PA have produced finishes of 20th,4th,12th and 7th, he doesn't really look good in a finish but if we can get him in contention then we can play with it.


Jimmy Walkers last 3 PA events were 29,9,4

Marc Leishman's last 7 events on PA were 9th,21st mc,36th 2nd,15th mc but the two best results were at this course.

A guy that Leknave backed last week too Tom Gillis, his PA  results are 17th,3rd,MC,27th,8th, so had to add him in at around 470+ on BF

Backed them small and will just play the event as a whole in running each day


gl with big Phil Ralph,he must kinow every blade of grass around here.






How is -10 after 1 round for starters?
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ChipRich
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« Reply #65 on: January 26, 2012, 10:49:35 PM »

nice call on Levin so far. Guessing you'll be doing a little trading though.

Glad i added Dustin this morn, a solid -6. Although it seems like the North course played ridic easy today and everyone shot well there.

Rollins and D.A Points shot -2 on the South Course so hoping they can put in a solid round on the North 2moro before going into the wknd.


Not holding too much hope at the Abu Dhabi event, best performer for me was Lawrie -2. Its going to need 3 special days from him to win it but you never know.

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bobby1
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« Reply #66 on: January 27, 2012, 12:20:16 AM »

nice call on Levin so far. Guessing you'll be doing a little trading though.

Glad i added Dustin this morn, a solid -6. Although it seems like the North course played ridic easy today and everyone shot well there.

Rollins and D.A Points shot -2 on the South Course so hoping they can put in a solid round on the North 2moro before going into the wknd.


Not holding too much hope at the Abu Dhabi event, best performer for me was Lawrie -2. Its going to need 3 special days from him to win it but you never know.



Yes, I will probably play most of it back now,  tho I'm going to see what the weather fcast is in the morning before I do anything. It seems to have changed a little and looks to be windy in the afternoon, which might give those playing the South course in the afternoon some trouble.

I've laid Bill Haas as I am not even sure he should be fav, some good players between 3 and 5 under that played he South today and the North in the morning tomorrow might turn out to be the perfect draw for them. There will prob be some 8 unders + on that course again 2morrow so anyone down to 1 or 2 under that played the South today can still get bang into it. Which is good coz we have a few of those between us too.


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« Reply #67 on: January 27, 2012, 09:12:47 AM »

Over 3.6 shots difference between the two courses on day 1 and the forecast is for a little wind this afternoon but nothing too bad. Still the difference between the good scores on the North on day one and the 2 to 5 unders on the tough course isn't all that much.
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« Reply #68 on: January 27, 2012, 10:03:16 AM »

I've greened out in Abu Dhabi, couldn't resist laying 4/1 Karlsson who still wins me £1K.

BIG £7K freeroll on Ollie Fisher, and decent ones on Aiken and Manassero.
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« Reply #69 on: January 27, 2012, 10:05:30 AM »

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uCEB9GgKoJ0&feature=relmfu
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« Reply #70 on: January 27, 2012, 10:14:46 AM »


Fantastic!
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« Reply #71 on: January 27, 2012, 10:26:25 AM »

Serious donk move from Rory there brushing sand off the fringe.
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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« Reply #72 on: January 27, 2012, 01:20:32 PM »

oioiii, what a round from Manassero, -7 today. Now lying tied 2nd 1 behind the leader on -6.

Lawrie with a deece -3 round too to go -5 overall and tied 5th 2 behind.


long way to go though...
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bobby1
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« Reply #73 on: January 27, 2012, 01:26:26 PM »

great stuff there mate, got a few nice shouts for the weekend in the Euro. Lets hope we can get a few in the US too.

Ralph, that was the perfect spot for laying back the Bobby K bet.
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« Reply #74 on: January 27, 2012, 03:28:28 PM »

Tiger all over this abu dhabi event. he's back!
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