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Author Topic: Golf Betting 2012  (Read 128496 times)
sweet potata!
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« Reply #225 on: February 15, 2012, 02:01:44 AM »

Interesting site that bobby cheers for the link, have you subscribed to it yourself? Do/would you say It would be worth the money? I'm not thinking of paying for it or anything just curious to see what you make of it.


Had a few bets in the U.S this week.


Adam Scott @ 30
Bill Haas @ 65
Justin Rose @ 75/80
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bobby1
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« Reply #226 on: February 15, 2012, 01:10:09 PM »

Interesting site that bobby cheers for the link, have you subscribed to it yourself? Do/would you say It would be worth the money? I'm not thinking of paying for it or anything just curious to see what you make of it.


Had a few bets in the U.S this week.


Adam Scott @ 30
Bill Haas @ 65
Justin Rose @ 75/80

I have used it in the past, it's pretty basic and a skilled techie would probably shake their heads at the functionality but it is a good source for figs and back form. I think it is actually free until Feb 19th if you wanted to try it out.

good luck with your guys mate

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bobby1
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« Reply #227 on: February 15, 2012, 01:22:47 PM »

The weather forecast for the US event has changed and its almost the opposite forecast from earlier.

Thursday 22c Sunny and Breezy Wind increasing from 12-20mph.Wind picks up from 6am onwards and peaks around 5pm. The strongest winds look to be very late in the day, so 12 mph in the morning and 20 mph late in the first round.

It might be better not to factor it in too much/ or keep an eye on the conditions in running as that's the third change to Thursday's forecast so far this week.  You would normally expect a course to play a shot harder in the afternoon anyway given the wind normally gets up then a little and the spike marks and general wear and tear are a little more pronounced on poa anna greens

Saturday looks to be the second strongest day wind wise. Other two days look fine.

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T_Mar
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« Reply #228 on: February 15, 2012, 02:06:29 PM »

Cheers for response bobby, I've backed Na along KJ who seems to have equally strong course form (if not stronger), and looking back through through recent years has had some decent results after a short break, so think overall 40/1 is pretty generous for proven winner with conditions to suit... also gone for couple of less obvious ones, Keegan Bradley and John Senden - neither of which have any course form of note, bradley only played 1 year obv, but seems to be simmering along without hitting top form yet this season, and only a matter of time before he has another big result, price seems fair.  Senden is a bit of a flyer, but is very good tee to green, and was 6th last time out, so hopefully he can build on that.

GL
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« Reply #229 on: February 15, 2012, 09:25:50 PM »

Cheers for response bobby, I've backed Na along KJ who seems to have equally strong course form (if not stronger), and looking back through through recent years has had some decent results after a short break, so think overall 40/1 is pretty generous for proven winner with conditions to suit... also gone for couple of less obvious ones, Keegan Bradley and John Senden - neither of which have any course form of note, bradley only played 1 year obv, but seems to be simmering along without hitting top form yet this season, and only a matter of time before he has another big result, price seems fair.  Senden is a bit of a flyer, but is very good tee to green, and was 6th last time out, so hopefully he can build on that.

GL

good luck mate,

There really are a lot of players with good back form, some not so good recent form. So I took 2 very small bets on BV Pelt and Ryan Moore as they fell into the good course form and good recent and were bigger prices than some of the others with the same claims. Moore is the same price as boom boom which is crazy for me, obv Couples loves it here but for all the good golf he played here last year he still didn't place.

In the Euro, the intrigue got the better of me and I took some small bets on Sterne( who would carry most of these if he was fully fit and has been ok at times in the last few weeks), Gagli, who will prob win somewhere soon, so why not here.

Then at big prices Anthony Kang who shot 4 progressively better rounds in this last year and started with two good finishes on the Asian tour this year. Marc Warren, who knows how to win if he gets into contention but is a bit erratic and Prom Meesawat who came back to form on the Asian tour last year and played well in a good field when 11th at the end of last year.

All small bets tho.

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sweet potata!
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« Reply #230 on: February 15, 2012, 09:27:46 PM »

Interesting site that bobby cheers for the link, have you subscribed to it yourself? Do/would you say It would be worth the money? I'm not thinking of paying for it or anything just curious to see what you make of it.


Had a few bets in the U.S this week.


Adam Scott @ 30
Bill Haas @ 65
Justin Rose @ 75/80

Andres Romero welcome aboard son!
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bobby1
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« Reply #231 on: February 15, 2012, 09:31:25 PM »

I almost took a shot on him too, two top tens here which is a good record for a guy that is a bit wayward at times.

gl
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sweet potata!
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« Reply #232 on: February 15, 2012, 09:40:00 PM »

I may have posted before but my thinking with Romero is to back him on tougher courses than the birdie fest types, hes capable of getting very hot and surging through the field more so on a course offering up fewer birdies, when its a birdie blitz he will throw in to many fook ups to be in contention.

Note ; The above has no factual or statistical proof its just something I thought of!
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bobby1
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« Reply #233 on: February 15, 2012, 09:46:07 PM »

I may have posted before but my thinking with Romero is to back him on tougher courses than the birdie fest types, hes capable of getting very hot and surging through the field more so on a course offering up fewer birdies, when its a birdie blitz he will throw in to many fook ups to be in contention.

Note ; The above has no factual or statistical proof its just something I thought of!

good enough for me mate, I thought Sabbatini was similar too, and has the form here so added two small bets there too
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Alverton
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« Reply #234 on: February 15, 2012, 10:45:47 PM »


Gagli, who will prob win somewhere soon, so why not here.


My thinking aswell.  He will win eventually and it will most likely be in a weak small event so meh.

Also really enjoying reading ur posts on this thread, 
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bobby1
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« Reply #235 on: February 15, 2012, 10:55:08 PM »


Gagli, who will prob win somewhere soon, so why not here.


My thinking aswell.  He will win eventually and it will most likely be in a weak small event so meh.

Also really enjoying reading ur posts on this thread, 

tx mate.

good luck us!
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« Reply #236 on: February 15, 2012, 11:02:10 PM »

I'm a big Sterne fan too, didn't realise he was playing here until you mentioned it.

Surely just a matter of time before he's back in the winner's enclosure, on @ 48.
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« Reply #237 on: February 15, 2012, 11:15:17 PM »

I'm a big Sterne fan too, didn't realise he was playing here until you mentioned it.

Surely just a matter of time before he's back in the winner's enclosure, on @ 48.

On this guy with you Ralph for random interest. Managed to get £2.22ew on @ 45 with bet365. Let's do this!!!!
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« Reply #238 on: February 15, 2012, 11:43:53 PM »

'Elliott, Chapman et al put up those very selections again this week and will probably do the same next week. The Northern Trust favours a particular shot shape as a lot of the holes turn the same way, Mckelson, Kevin Na, Baddely, Couples all have brill form there. Mick, Na and Badds are in good form at the moment too so they will be shorter coz of the good form and then shorter again because of the great course form.'

Chapman did actually put up those 4 this week Ace2M from the 6 he selected.
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« Reply #239 on: February 15, 2012, 11:44:40 PM »

I'm a big Sterne fan too, didn't realise he was playing here until you mentioned it.

Surely just a matter of time before he's back in the winner's enclosure, on @ 48.

yes hopefully his back and head can stay fresh this week.
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