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Author Topic: Golf Betting 2012  (Read 128787 times)
bobby1
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« Reply #270 on: February 20, 2012, 03:35:01 PM »

Why isn't Phil playing?

It is half term in the States I think, he is taking his family on vacation.
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« Reply #271 on: February 20, 2012, 03:43:22 PM »

Dove Mountain? Is this tourmnament always played there?

I thought it was played at firestone? I must be mixing it up with a different comp.
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bobby1
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« Reply #272 on: February 20, 2012, 06:06:30 PM »

Dove Mountain? Is this tourmnament always played there?

I thought it was played at firestone? I must be mixing it up with a different comp.

Hi mate, Yes, its been here for the last 4 years.

Firestone is the course they play one of the later WGC events on, The Bridgestone Invitational.
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Junior Senior
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« Reply #273 on: February 20, 2012, 07:37:52 PM »

I'm on Garcia at 22's. He is back!

Good luck all
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T_Mar
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« Reply #274 on: February 20, 2012, 09:04:14 PM »

complete minefield but great event.. 2 that caught me eye early were Oosty and Bjorn....

going to be doing a perm of the bracket winners also with a couple of mates

gl
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bobby1
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« Reply #275 on: February 20, 2012, 09:07:16 PM »

First three days the weather looks fine, the weekend looks a right mess, very windy on Saturday, very very windy ( as in they might not play in it) on Sunday. Will post the exacts later when I can.
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bobby1
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« Reply #276 on: February 21, 2012, 12:58:34 AM »


The current weather forecast for the week, Saturday looks tricky but Sunday looks almost unplayable if it does reach 45kmh. I remember Casey and Villegas playing a par three a few years ago when the wind was blowing so hard they took them off the course str8 after that hole. Casey conceded the hole to Villegas in 5 after both of them had failed to reach the green and gone in a pond. So if it blows as hard as forecast on Sunday it might be a Monday finish,as the semi's, 3rd place play off and final all take place on Sunday.



Wednesday 22c Wunny Winds around 10kmh
Thursday 23c Sunny Winds around 12-18kmh
Friday 23c Sunny Light winds 6-10kmh   
Saturday 24cSunny  Windy 20-30kmh   
Sunday 23c Sunny Windy 35-45kmh   


Dove Mountain is deffo a course that favours power, esp on the back nine, tho interestingly the last two winners, Donald and Poulter have both been the shortest hitters in the final yet produced immaculate short games to win.
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« Reply #277 on: February 21, 2012, 12:52:51 PM »

That weather forecast is still the same,other than the wind is now slightly stronger on Saturday too.

Just one outright bet for me so far on Webb Simpson, tho I have bet Kyung Tae Kim at 6/5 to beat Anders Hansen in their first round match. I'm not even sure he is second fav in that.

If you are taking a bet in the outright and want to play each way then you are probably better off splitting your bets into a win bet and a top 4 bet on Betfair as most firms are 1/4 the first four which is pretty rigid for the place part.

Just for example, Mcilroy is top price 12/1 with the books, at a quarter the odds the first four it makes him 3/1 to be in the top 4 fixed odds, yet you can bet bigger for the win on BF and there is plenty of almost 4/1 for him to finish in the top 4 on BF too. Some of the others will be the same.
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« Reply #278 on: February 21, 2012, 02:42:41 PM »

Like watching the matchplay so I've done Day, Simpson and Rock for micro stakes.
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bobby1
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« Reply #279 on: February 21, 2012, 02:44:40 PM »

Like watching the matchplay so I've done Day, Simpson and Rock for micro stakes.

good luck mate
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« Reply #280 on: February 21, 2012, 04:07:40 PM »

4 matched so far, more to come...


Charl Schwartzel @42
Justin Rose @75
Nick Watney @75
Steve Stricker @46

Good luck y'all.
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« Reply #281 on: February 22, 2012, 12:28:05 AM »

Adam Scott @36
Ben Crane @80
KT Kim @180
Anders Hansen @170
Kyle Stanley @ 55


Should be interesting to see how I run in this crapshoot!
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ChipRich
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« Reply #282 on: February 22, 2012, 01:08:25 AM »

Dustin @ 36
Bradley @ 50
Mcdowell @ 60
Crane @ 80
Quiros @ 85
Dyson 130

Hopefully get some sort of sweat, rly enjoyed this last year even though i did tez. Expecting the same to happen again, ha.
« Last Edit: February 22, 2012, 01:11:55 AM by ChipRich » Logged

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« Reply #283 on: February 22, 2012, 10:04:28 AM »

Rickie Fowler @ 75 is my sole selection so far this week.

It's Go Time as the great man would say.
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« Reply #284 on: February 22, 2012, 11:12:20 AM »

You could put a line through a lot of the field this week without much thought and most of them are at the top end of the betting. I think there are some great bets in the bigger prices this week.

Big hitters and natural draw are out. If the wind gets up as Bobby predicts then thats going to offer more lines through.

Tiger has the right shot shape now but i can't back him because of his flat stick woes and his tendency to play a bit too safe at the moment.

Donald fits all the requirements perfectly

Longer price picks -
Manassero
Lawrie
Molinari
Jimenez (i can't understand his price against garcia in the opening match so have punted that to)
McDowell (don't really want to but his game fits, his heads not right imo)
Laird

My top 3 picks -
Donald
Manasarro
Lawrie (great match play and wind player)
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