Golf Betting 2012

[ACE2M]

weather is going to be very windy all week( I seem to say that every week and it never materialised last week but does look certain this week), the course is going to play tough again. I really think it's a good week for throwing a few darts at good prices but going to hold fire until I know if there is likely to be a draw bias over the first few days.

We are on to the Florida swing now so the green type changes from poa anna to bermuda greens which will probably be a negative for some of those poa anna specialist that have been in decent form on that strain over the last month or so.

GIR and hitting fairways is a must really, holing putts won't be the deciding factor it is most weeks on the US tour, a need to hit the fairways and greens will be important. If you are playing in running the 'bear trap' ending to the back nine will catch out a lot of players. Put it this way, if two players are tied at -8 towards the end of the event, with one in the clubhouse and one having four to play I reckon the guy in the house would be around 1/5, even shorter if it is very windy.

Woods is still short of top form and Rory is not at his best in strong winds so Westy might enjoy the track more than those two tho both he and Rory played a lot of golf last week.

do you not think westys shit chipping puts a line through him?

[sweet potata!]

Westy stiffed every chip when he played my man Watney last week

[bobby1]

Yes its deffo one of his weak spots Ace. Tho his short game cannot be worse than
Mahan's and he got there last week.

Im not sure i fancy any of the front three at the prices but if i was going to bet westy it would be on a course the others arent going to go birdietastic on.

[Karabiner]

Added "One Hit Wonder" Oosthuizen to my portfolio @65.

[tikay]

Added "One Hit Wonder" Oosthuizen to my portfolio @65.

[Hawk]

Not great with golf tips although i did get Mahan last week Have just looked at winning margins, and the winner to win by 1 shot is 5/2 and 11/4 with some might be worth a Quid or 2

[tikay]

Not great with golf tips although i did get Mahan last week Have just looked at winning margins, and the winner to win by 1 shot is 5/2 and 11/4 with some might be worth a Quid or 2

Evening Squawky!

Hope you are enjoying the Thread, Dave. Well done on Mahan.

[T_Mar]

I read that this was the 2nd toughest course on tour last year!! Much prefer it when they play a course that is a proper test!  Had 2 bets so far.. Justin Rose @ 40/1 and Ben Crane @ 33/1, Crane price is border line I think, but got 6 places which swayed it and think he will go well.  Wanted to back Sean O Hair aswell, but missed the 80/1, whilst making up my mind.. Having a look on BF though

Added Sean O'Hair@ 95

[Hawk]

Not great with golf tips although i did get Mahan last week Have just looked at winning margins, and the winner to win by 1 shot is 5/2 and 11/4 with some might be worth a Quid or 2

Evening Squawky!

Hope you are enjoying the Thread, Dave. Well done on Mahan.

The thread is very enjoyable, always lurking around this one.

[bobby1]

good stuff with Mahan Hawk.

I'm going to get stuck into the in running this week as it looks the prefect course to lay as many as possible and see how it goes.There might be a small advantage to going out early on day one and late on day two, as the wind might subside a little late on Friday.

Taken a few bits on 4 I thought might go ok at the prices Oosthuizen, O Hair who won on a similar tough course in Canada last year when -4 won, Marc Leishman who plays tough courses well and likes a bit of wind. At a big price Greg Chalmers who is another tidy golfer that is good in the wind. He seems to have gone a little under the radar for a guy that won twice in Australia just before Christmas, the Aussie open and the Aussie PGA and has improved enough to get himself into the matchplay last week, 270 was enough to tempt me.

One or two others that looked to have a nice chance but the prices looked about right were Bradley, G Mac, and Rose,who has a brill record in Florida and at this course and Ryan Palmer. I toyed with another bet on Ricky Barnes who loves playing tough courses( was -10 at one stage in the US open that Glover won but I really feel his game falls away when he has a chance to win, so it would be a bet to trade later really.

The pressure is on too as I've put Leishman to have top ten finish up on the tips for Tikay thread at 10/1and I have backed that too.

* As a side note, and I know this sounds a bit anal but Greg Chalmers actually put one of the best ever winning performances  I have seen when winning the Aussie Open in 1998 on a brutal course at I think Royal Adelaide. It played so tough that some of the par 4's played to an average of 5 at times and Chalmers was over par and in the pack after two rounds but shot under par for the weekend in a gale when the average rounds on those two days were about +4 or +5 each day. He got up to win at level par from Faldo and Appleby who had also played great weekend golf at around +1 or +2 for the weekend.

(edit, i just checked it was  Adelaide and the scores were slightly different, but it was still an amazing performance ;o)  )

good luck everyone.

[Linux]

3 so far

Y.E Yang Winner     @ 48    
Stephen Ames Winner @ 300    
Ryan Palmer Winner    @ 180    

[bobby1]

3 so far

Y.E Yang Winner     @ 48    
Stephen Ames Winner @ 300    
Ryan Palmer Winner    @ 180    

good luck mate, I took a little Palmer too now, tho at shorter than you.

* just to be even more anal, that last round that Stephen Ames put up in the Benson and Hedges in 1996 in brutal winds was abs incredible too. I think it was so bad that Monty put up 80 odd that day.

[sweet potata!]

Ok, I'll knock this one out of the park........

Bobby, you do like anal dont you?

[bobby1]

Ok, I'll knock this one out of the park........

Bobby, you do like anal dont you?

lol, maybe I should have used the word anorak just to avoid confusion!

[bobby1]

Someone please tell em they are on Tom Gillis this week