Golf Betting 2012

[bobby1]

Well done guys, a few sweats and some nice winners. we witnessed two shots that will be shown for years to come too in Oosty's albatross and Bubba's second on ten in the play off.I'm chuffed he won, he looks a different guy this year, maybe fatherhood has inspired him.

[Karabiner]

Nice work Phil and everyone else who was on Bubba.

I can get back to my life now after being totally absorbed this week, but I wouldn't have missed it for anything.

[mondatoo]

My stable....

McIlroy 13/2
Rose EW 33s
Bubba EW 50s
Immelman EW 150s

Come on Bubba

Oioiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii, congrats those that got paid.

[sweet potata!]

I dont normally back golfers at single digit prices but I'm going to take a stab at Rory to do the job

Rory @ 7.6

BuhBuh @ 55

Henrik @ 250

Rickie @ 130

Keegan @ 38

And that completes my line up.....

Added Scott late due to this apparent draw bias, with Rory and Bubba being out late tomorrow.

Oh Hi der!

Lovin it, backed the winner, had a few other nice sweats, the drama was amazing on the back 9

BuhhhhhhhhhBuhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh You the man! He makes that golf ball dance to his tune, class.

[sweet potata!]

And on we go.................The Heritage

Bill Haas @ 60 (Market dosent seem to rate this kid, Fowler is priced at 55 and he has no wins, never mind the fact Haas has won already this season and he aint shy about getting the job done.)

Aaron Baddeley @ 44 

Ernie Els @ 32

[bobby1]

I'm away this week but had a quick look last night and thought the same as you re Haas Sweet, Brian Davis is shorter in the market than big Bill, abs insane, just because Davis finished 4th in his last two events, once again showing he doesnt get it done at the business end.

[bobby1]

Nice work Phil and everyone else who was on Bubba.

I can get back to my life now after being totally absorbed this week, but I wouldn't have missed it for anything.

I know that feeling Raplh, after a hectic weekend I still couldnt wind down on Monday night as I dreamt of golfers most of the night, a particularly irritating dream about playing Graeme McDowell at tennis just wouldnt go away.

[sweet potata!]

Well last week my 3 pre tourney picks missed the cut, wtf Ernie was doing I do not know and thats twice in 3 outings I have backed badds that he's missed the cut.

I wont bore y'all with the aftertime but the event wasnt a complete write off for me 

Onto this week, I'm wondering if all the top pro golfers in the world are having a private get together somewhere, it has to be one of the weakest fields I've seen on the U.S tour unless all the big boys are playing a WGC or major, Kuchar,Choi,Na,Jacobsen head the betting! I checked the Euro event to see if there was a glut of big boys playing that and I see Hanson and Poulter were heading the betting in that! Pretty weak!

Bobby or anyone have any theories why nobody seems to be playing this week, I can understand a week off after a major but 2 seems lazy!

[bobby1]

Yes , its pretty poor this week isnt it. Westwood is playing in Indonesia again and should win. The Texas event got a lot of flak last year from the players coz its long, hard, narrow, with lots of bunkers, sandy and windy.....ahh poor things.

The smash it a find it brigade clearly don't fancy having their games shown up on a  proper course. This is the place Kevin Na took a 16 on one hole last year and plenty of credit to him for turning out this year coz you know he will be asked about that hole all week . It produced one of my fav quips tho when he finally got it out of the tree's via a few rocks, more trees and bushes he then turned to his caddie shaking his head and laughed  'How we going to count all those shots'. The course reporter said it was a 14 and to be fair to Na he could have said nowt but confirmed it was actually a 16 when they finally worked it out.

[bobby1]

The course report I am reading says the US course looks like an Australian course. It's only been held here 2 years , Adam Scott won the first year and Brendan Steele , who is a good hard course player won last year. Tho it doesn't look to be as windy as it usually is in Texas until the weekend.

[T_Mar]

Agree, looks weak in the US ! Difficult to assses with the market with so many players trading less than they normally do - Diffcult to know regarding the price, but Tringale is kind of obvious being in decent nick this year, and a 5th here last year, cant see a reason he shouldn't play well... I've also  backed Chris Stroud @ 66/1, hasn't got a great record in Texas despite living here, but has been consistent this year, and scrambles really well, which I think might be an advantage on this course - also thinking of backing Chalmers who you mentioned few weeks ago bobby saying he played tough courses well, and is Australian obviously, living in Texas, any thoughts on him @ 50/1 ?

[Karabiner]

Caroline Hedwall looks overpriced to me @ 50/1 in this week's LPGA event with laddies, I'm on EW.

[bobby1]

Agree, looks weak in the US ! Difficult to assses with the market with so many players trading less than they normally do - Diffcult to know regarding the price, but Tringale is kind of obvious being in decent nick this year, and a 5th here last year, cant see a reason he shouldn't play well... I've also  backed Chris Stroud @ 66/1, hasn't got a great record in Texas despite living here, but has been consistent this year, and scrambles really well, which I think might be an advantage on this course - also thinking of backing Chalmers who you mentioned few weeks ago bobby saying he played tough courses well, and is Australian obviously, living in Texas, any thoughts on him @ 50/1 ?

I'm glad you said that T Mar as I was waiting to get matched on Chalmers at 60 and I am now on. Only v small tho as with so little course form to go on and a poorish field it was hard to get excited really. I took a small bet on Jimmy Walker too as he has put up a good finish on the new track and has played well this year, tho he has tailed off a little since they went thru the Florida swing.

John Rollins did strike me as a player that is priced up bigger than he should be in relation to some of the players around him in the market and has played ok this year but two MC at the new venue looks poor so I will prob just keep him and one or two others on my side in running and see how it plays.

Perhaps a small question mark for the players out late on Friday, as we saw at the Masters you can get lucky by 60-90 minutes or unlucky.


Thursday 27c Sunny Winds SSE around 8moh but gust up to 15mph
Friday 24c cloudy with a chance of thunderstorm near the end of the day. Winds from West 12mph and gust up to 25mph

There is a low pressure system moving through the San Antonio area Friday night, this will lead to a lot stronger winds on Saturday and late Friday
But the later players out on Friday should complete their rounds before the winds really pick up

Saturday 25c Sunny winds from NNE winds around 20mph and gust up to 35mph, looks the trickiest day for scoring

Sunday 25c Sunny Winds still northerly but dropping to 12mph.







 

[bobby1]

China Open, another new course that is a links style course in the middle of China with what look to be very unlikely yardages on some of the holes. I don't know if the par 3's listed as 260 and 280 yards have had a bit added in translation but that's about the driving distance of some of these players so It seems unlikely they would play it that long.

I do think Poulter is ready for a win again and he does have good form in Asia and of course a 2nd place in an Open Championship so won't mind the course other than his lack of length v some of these might hinder him if it does indeed play really long. The greens are massive and have some huge slopes on them so the greens might play quite soft if it does stay dry as there might be balls blowing around in  some of the bigger gusts, tho the forecast isn't too bad it looks to be pretty exposed.

Total guess work re the course and how long it actually plays, the usual thunderstorm threats in the afternoon as is the norm this time of year and I am happy to leave it well alone and see how it goes when it comes on TV 2morrow.

A strange week with an Aussie style course being used in Texas and  a UK style links course being used in deepest China.

I printed off the field for the Indonesian Masters on Monday night and tried to find any alternatives to Westwood in a field where about 60% of them would only just win a Blondepoker Open, my exact thought was 7/4 Westwood would be value here, he ended up 9/4 in a few spots so I have had a small bet , but again the weather in that region is likely to be thundery so it ended up being less than I anticipated having on if the forecast had been good.

[T_Mar]

Agree, looks weak in the US ! Difficult to assses with the market with so many players trading less than they normally do - Diffcult to know regarding the price, but Tringale is kind of obvious being in decent nick this year, and a 5th here last year, cant see a reason he shouldn't play well... I've also  backed Chris Stroud @ 66/1, hasn't got a great record in Texas despite living here, but has been consistent this year, and scrambles really well, which I think might be an advantage on this course - also thinking of backing Chalmers who you mentioned few weeks ago bobby saying he played tough courses well, and is Australian obviously, living in Texas, any thoughts on him @ 50/1 ?

I'm glad you said that T Mar as I was waiting to get matched on Chalmers at 60 and I am now on. Only v small tho as with so little course form to go on and a poorish field it was hard to get excited really. I took a small bet on Jimmy Walker too as he has put up a good finish on the new track and has played well this year, tho he has tailed off a little since they went thru the Florida swing.

John Rollins did strike me as a player that is priced up bigger than he should be in relation to some of the players around him in the market and has played ok this year but two MC at the new venue looks poor so I will prob just keep him and one or two others on my side in running and see how it plays.

Perhaps a small question mark for the players out late on Friday, as we saw at the Masters you can get lucky by 60-90 minutes or unlucky.


Thursday 27c Sunny Winds SSE around 8moh but gust up to 15mph
Friday 24c cloudy with a chance of thunderstorm near the end of the day. Winds from West 12mph and gust up to 25mph

There is a low pressure system moving through the San Antonio area Friday night, this will lead to a lot stronger winds on Saturday and late Friday
But the later players out on Friday should complete their rounds before the winds really pick up

Saturday 25c Sunny winds from NNE winds around 20mph and gust up to 35mph, looks the trickiest day for scoring

Sunday 25c Sunny Winds still northerly but dropping to 12mph.

Nice one.. I'm on also