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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16427342 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #118335 on: June 11, 2016, 10:18:30 AM »

Valtteri Bottas (Wil) Canadian Grand Prix Winner
150/1 Each Way (3 Places at 1/5 Odds)
Total Stake: £30.00
Potential Returns: £2,730.00
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Peter-27
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« Reply #118336 on: June 11, 2016, 11:46:49 AM »

Hi Tighty

Can we do a tenner each way on Bottas at 150/1 with hills (fifth first 3).  He seems competitive here, as the circuit suits the car better.  Hills have ducked the mclarens after last time and we have already taken the prices on place only in the Force Indias. A bit of rain is possible.  Don't want to go crazy and back 15 and alert Hills.






Not convinced that's the best bet personally. Due to the microclimate and typical air pressures above the St. Lawrence Seaway (where the track is), rain in Montreal means extremely low temperatures on this circuit. Williams always struggle to a much greater degree than their rivals under these conditions and therefore if it does rain, I would expect them to go backwards - as we saw in Monaco during the wet.

Nevertheless, anything can happen in F1, especially in the wet, so fingers crossed Smiley

EDIT: I'll be reviewing the markets in the next few hours and will put up some suggestions.
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arbboy
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« Reply #118337 on: June 11, 2016, 12:18:48 PM »

All wides at Crayford dogs this morning.  They are literally flying out of the traps to the first bend.

http://www.gbgb.org.uk/resultsMeeting.aspx?id=139936
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Peter-27
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« Reply #118338 on: June 11, 2016, 01:08:29 PM »

Okay, a few bets to suggest, despite the market being surprisingly well priced.

Points Finish - Carlos Sainz @ 11/10 with many. The Toro Rosso is a strong package, which becomes comparatively stronger in the wet conditions. Current forecast suggests 40% chance of precipitation in qualifying, and 80% chance during the race. Although, I would say Carlos scoring points is likely in the dry also. Suggest £25.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/canadian-grand-prix/points-finish

To Reach Q3 - Carlos Sainz @ 7/5 with the exchange. The Toro Rosso won't be as strong over one lap, but this should be closer to EVS than 7/5. Suggest £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/canadian-grand-prix/to-reach-qualifying-session-three

Practice Three, Winning Driver - Lewis Hamilton @ 4/5 with hills and betfayre. It's rare that I put up prices under EVS, however Lewis is much quicker than the field this weekend, these odds are considerably over-priced. Suggest £50.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/canadian-grand-prix/practice-3-winning-driver

Q1, Winning Driver - Lewis Hamilton @ 8/5 with beewin.

Over priced to the point where I am wondering if this will be palped. There is a danger that Mercedes will try sneak through Q1 on the super-softs, rather than the ultra-softs (which would mean others jump ahead on the quicker tyres), but at 8/5, it's still an insta-bet. Suggest £50.

NOTE: I was limited to £22.56.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/canadian-grand-prix/qualifying-session-1
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cish n fhips
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« Reply #118339 on: June 11, 2016, 01:47:47 PM »

As a little football comp has kicked off.
I recommend £ 40 muller top scorer.
I recommend £10 muller top assist.
Sorry no links .
Happy Euros.
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« Reply #118340 on: June 11, 2016, 02:03:05 PM »

NOTE: I was limited to £22.56.

Thanks for the bets, Peter. You know you can get the rest on by combining it with something else? I did a double with something very low odds that (I think/hope) is likely to happen, but the lower the second bet's odds, the lower their max will be.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #118341 on: June 11, 2016, 02:12:00 PM »

As a little football comp has kicked off.
I recommend £ 40 muller top scorer.
I recommend £10 muller top assist.
Sorry no links .
Happy Euros.

i'll need a bit more effort than that please

he's favourite, so why aren't his prospects priced in?

is he even going to start up front?

what is his assist record?

what about his recent form?
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« Reply #118342 on: June 11, 2016, 02:14:58 PM »

Happy to oppose Yorkshire away from home at odds on in the RL cup tomorrow. They have struggled to find the right formula/tempo in white-ball cricket this season. Williamson looks likely to play which is a positive for them, but not enough that they should be 4/6 shots. Derbyshire are rightly targeting white-ball cricket as their route to success this year and seem to know what it takes to get games won.

Recc £15 @ 13/10 with Choral/bettysp as I assume no-one has sportingbet

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/royal-london-one-day-cup/derbyshire-v-yorkshire/winner

full write up : http://www.bettingkingdom.co.uk/betting-tips/cricket/Royal-London-one-day-cup/RLODC-Derbyshire-v-Yorkshire/70479

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TightEnd
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« Reply #118343 on: June 11, 2016, 02:15:56 PM »

the Montreal stuff

Carlos Sainz (Tor) Canadian Grand Prix Points Finish
11/10
Total Stake: £25.00
Potential Returns: £52.50

sainz is 4/6 to reach Q3, betfair only, so i left it

Lewis Hamilton (Mer) Canadian Grand Prix Practice 3 Winning Driver
4/5
Total Stake: £50.00
Potential Returns: £90.00

Q1 is bwin only and we're closed there


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TightEnd
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« Reply #118344 on: June 11, 2016, 02:18:27 PM »

did anyone watch the rugby this morning

wales were brilliant for an hour

england struggled in defence but won 39-28 in an absolute classic

england led 32-25 with 4 mins to go and aus had a penalty. kick it into the corner, go for the converted try, draw the match

instead they kicked it to go 32-28 down, backing themselves to get another chance, and then to win it

they didn't get out of their half, turned it over and conceded another try

easy to be results orientated, but what did you think of the call to kick the penalty?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #118345 on: June 11, 2016, 02:20:13 PM »

Happy to oppose Yorkshire away from home at odds on in the RL cup tomorrow. They have struggled to find the right formula/tempo in white-ball cricket this season. Williamson looks likely to play which is a positive for them, but not enough that they should be 4/6 shots. Derbyshire are rightly targeting white-ball cricket as their route to success this year and seem to know what it takes to get games won.

Recc £15 @ 13/10 with Choral/bettysp as I assume no-one has sportingbet

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/royal-london-one-day-cup/derbyshire-v-yorkshire/winner

full write up : http://www.bettingkingdom.co.uk/betting-tips/cricket/Royal-London-one-day-cup/RLODC-Derbyshire-v-Yorkshire/70479



we have sportingbet and very good they are too

        Bet Type: Single
            Derbyshire v Yorkshire Match Prices
                Derbyshire 27/20
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 35.25 GBP
    1 bet @
    15.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 15.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 35.25 GBP
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #118346 on: June 11, 2016, 02:21:36 PM »

Really enjoyed the England game.  It's great having a kicker like Farrell.  That decision at the end seemed a low percentage play to say the least!
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TightEnd
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« Reply #118347 on: June 11, 2016, 02:22:49 PM »

Really enjoyed the England game.  It's great having a kicker like Farrell.  That decision at the end seemed a low percentage play to say the least!

it was. showed great confidence in the team that they would get another crack (and they did look dynamite going forward all game) but was a high risk call. dont see many of those in international rugby
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« Reply #118348 on: June 11, 2016, 02:28:07 PM »

Front three for Albania today and their prices for top albanian scorer in the tournament

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/albania-euro-2016-specials/top-goalscorer

Up front Sadiku 7/1
Wings Lenjani  15/1 PP
Roshi 25/1 BV

Think Roshi could be worth a very small bet at that price


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McGlashan
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« Reply #118349 on: June 11, 2016, 02:28:42 PM »

NOTE: I was limited to £22.56.

Thanks for the bets, Peter. You know you can get the rest on by combining it with something else? I did a double with something very low odds that (I think/hope) is likely to happen, but the lower the second bet's odds, the lower their max will be.

Once upon a time they allowed the same stake no matter how short the second selection was. You could do double with boxers like Shiming @1/100 or AJ @1/20 who have a tap in of a fight.
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