Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Test series between India v Australia starts in the early hours of tomorrow morning, India strong favourites. Any love for a Aussie bashing?

India 3-0 and 4-0 are the favoured correct scores (both 3/1), even money dutched. Bet Viv go 23/20 for India -2.5, the same bet. I don't give the Aussies much of a chance, and they can fall in a heap vs spin so I went 4-0 but if you wanted to get 1 draw onside also the handicap market is an option?

There is another way to back India 4-0. India are 4/6 to win the 1st test, to only be 3/1 for 4-0 they'd have to be super short for the other 3 tests. So you could just roll the money on from one test to the next.

India's top 5 all average 40+ at home, they have 3 very good spin all-rounders and improving quicks. By contrast, 2 of the the Aussie top order (Renshaw and Handscomb) are inexperienced in the conditions. Smith Averages 40 by Warner has struggled in Asia. S.Marsh has a good record in 3 tests in Sri Lanka but blows hot and cold and is a constant injury worry. The Aussies are already fretting about the pitches, playing 1 specialist seamer is a plan they've considered here. Spin-wise, Lyon and O'Keefe are a long way off the standard of Ashwin and Jadeja.

Thoughts?

such a dry pitch in Pne, spun on the first morning

Australia won an important toss and are 184-5

[tikay]

In the Golf, with the leaders finishing on 6 under, Lexi & Hara both picked up a birdie in the closing holes to finish 4 under.



Hara Nomura - 4 under.

Lexi Thompson - 4 under.

Pornanong Phatlum - E after 17

[TightEnd]

Winter Derby, Lingfield, Saturday

There must have been a lot of money for Mutakayeff over the last few days, since its price has been hammered in from 5/2 into 11/8 at best but mostly 5/4. This Al Maktoum gelding trained by Haggas has been off the track since last September, but has gone out and won fresh before. But not on the AW, and most recently its been competing over 8f rather than 10f. In addition, he's giving 5lb to the field. The price seems far too short for me, and it perhaps presents an opportunity to back an alternative at a better price than expected.

Interestingly, Battalion was formerly trained by Haggas until 3 races ago. Jamie Osborne quickly got the horse into stride. Winning 2 of those 3 races over 10f on the Lingfield AW, the second of which was in Listed company. Both were impressive wins. Most recently, he was 3rd in a race when denied a clear run in the home straight, but looked to have lots in hand and was only beaten ~1.5L - again in Listed company. The handicapper put Battalion up 2lbs for this run, but that looks generous for a gelding that is still improving, proven on the track (4 wins in total) and distance, and getting 5lbs against a favourite that has questions to answer about the track if not the distance.

Given a ride that puts him in better position for a late run, I think Battalion at 9/2 generally available is a good bet, particularly if Willie Carson is back in the plate.

Open to other views, but happy to recommend £20 to win at 9/2

5/1 BetVictor if anyone is able to help out please

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/flat/winter-derby-stakes/winner

no problem if not, i can take 9/2 later

[tikay]

In the Golf, with the leaders finishing on 6 under, Lexi & Hara both picked up a birdie in the closing holes to finish 4 under.



Hara Nomura - 4 under.

Lexi Thompson - 4 under.

Pornanong Phatlum - E after 17

Pornapong managed to birdie the last, so is 1 under.

Not a bad start for all 3 of them.

[The Camel]

Do we no longer get e-mail alerts for PM's?

Should be - I'm still getting them, Ralph.

I don't

[verndog158]

Do we no longer get e-mail alerts for PM's?

Should be - I'm still getting them, Ralph.

I don't

Aussies are a poooooor side. Starc at 8 certainly wont be worrying us ahead of the Ashes. Id be loading up on the 4-0 India now, doubt you'll get 3/1 now though

[tikay]

Do we no longer get e-mail alerts for PM's?

Should be - I'm still getting them, Ralph.

I don't

That's a pain, I assumed as I was getting them, everyone was.

I'm afraid the software has become very wobbly of late. 

[Doobs]

Do we no longer get e-mail alerts for PM's?

Should be - I'm still getting them, Ralph.

I don't

That's a pain, I assumed as I was getting them, everyone was.

I'm afraid the software has become very wobbly of late. 

I get them, but it is to an old email address that I rarely open.

[tikay]

Do we no longer get e-mail alerts for PM's?

Should be - I'm still getting them, Ralph.

I don't

That's a pain, I assumed as I was getting them, everyone was.

I'm afraid the software has become very wobbly of late. 

I get them, but it is to an old email address that I rarely open.

Have you updated your blonde profile with your new email address?

[Karabiner]

Not receiving e-mail alerts really is a pain - any chance of getting it looked at?

I'm not sure why some people would get them and others not - maybe it depends on the sender - I hasten to add that I know nothing about under-the-bonnet matters.

[tikay]

Not receiving e-mail alerts really is a pain - any chance of getting it looked at?

I'm not sure why some people would get them and others not - maybe it depends on the sender - I hasten to add that I know nothing about under-the-bonnet matters.

It's certainly very odd that some get them, & some don't. I suspect the majority do, or we'd have heard more by now.

I was chatting with Tighty this morning, & it seems he has persuaded the Server Host to upgrade our Server. Whether that works remains to be seen. Fingers crossed.

[exstream]

A notification when you open the forum would be good. Some forums have it. I only see I have a pm when I see the 0 is a 1, and it's tiny so can go weeks without seeing it.

[arbboy]

Brutal weather in Stoke on Vegas today for the by election.  Surely helps Labour as turnout with be lower and labour get the vote out better with more foot soliders on the groud and postal votes play a bigger % of the overall % of votes?  Any thoughts?

[Karabiner]

Not receiving e-mail alerts really is a pain - any chance of getting it looked at?

I'm not sure why some people would get them and others not - maybe it depends on the sender - I hasten to add that I know nothing about under-the-bonnet matters.

It's certainly very odd that some get them, & some don't. I suspect the majority do, or we'd have heard more by now.

I was chatting with Tighty this morning, & it seems he has persuaded the Server Host to upgrade our Server. Whether that works remains to be seen. Fingers crossed.

Upon reflection it's also possible that this is related to me upgrading my PC around six months ago, as it seems that the alerts might have stopped coming then. 

[4KSuited]

Winter Derby, Lingfield, Saturday

There must have been a lot of money for Mutakayeff over the last few days, since its price has been hammered in from 5/2 into 11/8 at best but mostly 5/4. This Al Maktoum gelding trained by Haggas has been off the track since last September, but has gone out and won fresh before. But not on the AW, and most recently its been competing over 8f rather than 10f. In addition, he's giving 5lb to the field. The price seems far too short for me, and it perhaps presents an opportunity to back an alternative at a better price than expected.

Interestingly, Battalion was formerly trained by Haggas until 3 races ago. Jamie Osborne quickly got the horse into stride. Winning 2 of those 3 races over 10f on the Lingfield AW, the second of which was in Listed company. Both were impressive wins. Most recently, he was 3rd in a race when denied a clear run in the home straight, but looked to have lots in hand and was only beaten ~1.5L - again in Listed company. The handicapper put Battalion up 2lbs for this run, but that looks generous for a gelding that is still improving, proven on the track (4 wins in total) and distance, and getting 5lbs against a favourite that has questions to answer about the track if not the distance.

Given a ride that puts him in better position for a late run, I think Battalion at 9/2 generally available is a good bet, particularly if Willie Carson is back in the plate.

Open to other views, but happy to recommend £20 to win at 9/2

5/1 BetVictor if anyone is able to help out please

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/flat/winter-derby-stakes/winner

no problem if not, i can take 9/2 later

It's now 11/2 on everyday 1/4 1-3. The price drift is a worry, but since all the money is for the Fav, it's hard to see Grendisar reversing placings on the last run (in view of Battalions trouble in running), whilst Convey has no form on AW and its turf form doesn't threaten. George Baker's the jockey booking on the selection - same as last run - so Osborne has kept faith. If we want to go ew on this now, I can get us on at 11/2 NRNB.