Tips for Tikay

[treefella]

I know you don't like horse tips Tikay,
But
 Harry the Viking around 25/1 each way.
My friend is mates with Darrol Jacob , he thinks this has a great racing weight and the horse is pretty decent too. Told us to back it last week each way .
Good luck if you have a small bet !  : )

[tikay]

Morning Mr T. Today England play New Zealand at Rugby Union in your back garden. All Blacks will win and prices for that  look right and of no interest. One price that is out of line is Stan James's 15/8 for over 47 points, but my reservation about that is I think England will be intent on keeping NZ out rather than any adventure.

However I feel we have to have a bet as it's the best rugby team in the world over here. An area that will give a good sweat and I hope be profitable is in the anytime try scorer market. NZ are so much better than anyone else because of their instant decision making, no matter who it is they all do the right thing instinctively. This means the backs do the work of the forwards at the point of impact and the forwards know this and will often find themselves in the try scoring position. In addition to this I think England's main weakness is the pack and I expect that to be targeted with lots of driving mauls in the first 60 mins. So I want to propose small bets on 3 high priced NZ forwards to get a try.

Tony Woodcock @ 10-1
Sam Whitelock  @ 11-1
Brodie Retallick @  11-1

All the above with Paddy Power £5 on each.

P.S I am starting to regret not backing 3G in the golf.

Morning h.

3G? He is tucked in nicely behind the leaders.

PS - I'm on Westwood, no bokking please!

Thanks for the Rugby Bet, we are safely on, & I'm really looking forward to watching this, though I do find it a bit brutal. Proper men, them.

Love the analysis on that Rugby bet, I'll watch it & see if it pans out that way.

We have £10 @ 10/1 Woodcock, £10 @ 11/1 Whitelock, & £10 @ 11/1 Retallick, all ANYTIME Try Scorers, all with Paddy Power.

ON


01/12/2012 Single To Win T Woodcock @ 10/1
To Score a Try in 80 min
England v New Zealand Pending £10.00   
01/12/2012 Single To Win B Retallick @ 11/1
To Score a Try in 80 min
England v New Zealand Pending £10.00   
01/12/2012 Single To Win S Whitelock @ 11/1
To Score a Try in 80 min
England v New Zealand Pending £10.00   
 

[Tal]

I have had a little EW tickle on First Lieutenant at tens.

Any insider info for us, Tikay, on Teaforthree? Is that still owned by Helen Chamberlain? (Name derived from the soccer am building which IIRC is T437)

[tikay]

I know you don't like horse tips Tikay,
But
 Harry the Viking around 25/1 each way.
My friend is mates with Darrol Jacob , he thinks this has a great racing weight and the horse is pretty decent too. Told us to back it last week each way .
Good luck if you have a small bet !  : )

I don't mind the horses if they win!

I'm not mad keen on horse "tips" to be honest, but we are doing this because as you probably know, I always try to buy action in young Chris, but he never offered any this time, & I see he is crushing in the GUKPT Grand Final, so this time I'll try & benefit from the Sire.

We have had £5 EW with Stan James @ 28/1, Harry the Viking.

ON


Newbury 15:10 : Outright Betting
EW: 1/4 1,2,3,4 Harry The Viking 28/1
Total stake £10.00
Estimated return £185.00

Full stake £ 10.00
Full Estimated return £ 185.00

[treefella]

Lol. I know the feeling

[bobby1]

hi mate,

Banzai for you, but you have to promise not to call them debacles or miss fires if they don't win. The next time you beat an NBA line by that far can you put me on too. They were really good bets and good work by the guys to find them.

Lewis averaged in the 80's, was there for the taking but our guy played just as bad. His body language was awful and the fact they would probably have been rolling about in the car park if they had been playing in the pub showed how stressed he was. Debacle hummph.

Scottish Cup today and I fancy taking a shot at some big prices in a couple of the matches, I'm super busy so will have to be brief. There is a chance of some miss matches today so I've backed the following, I will leave you to choose the stakes if you bet em.

Dundee Utd at Stranraer

Singles on Dundee Utd to win

6-0 40/1
7-0 100/1
8-0 225/1
9-0 425/1
10-0 500/1

Morton at Turriff

Singles on Morton to win

6-0 40/1
7-0 100/1
8-0 200/1
9-0 425/1
10-0 500/1

I'm guessing your first thought is wtf but there are big wins every year in some Scots cup games, these might not be added to the list but at these prices it's worth taking a shot.

Imagine how sick you would be if you were on those scores at similar prices in games like this one last season.

http://www.acadvertiser.co.uk/coatbridge-airdrie-sport/lanarkshire-football/airdrie-utd-fc/2011/11/23/airdrie-united-beat-gala-fairydean-11-0-65864-29821874/

 

[tikay]

Lol Phil, those bets on Burnett were down to Bazza, & he ran pretty bad from what I heard, so maybe "debacle" was a tad strong. Farce, maybe?

As to that NBA bet, umm, one of those things, who'd have thunk that could go so wrong?

Such is the game.

Thanks for those humongeous "Correct Scores", lol, this WILL be a proper banzai.

Will get them all on shortly, for a fiver each or similar. Stranger things have happened, but not much.

 

[bobby1]

To be proper degan and banzai we should be having 25 doubles too 

[Ant040689]

Palace are now 2.6 in a lot of places against Brighton today and I have no idea why. All I know is I got 2.2 on early doors this week and I am going to top up at 2.6 to make an overall 2.4 bet.

#solidbettingtekkers

#ignoresReasonfordriftingOdds

[TightEnd]

I believe there might be a mistake in one of the Rugby Union sub markets

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/autumn-internationals/england-v-new-zealand/highest-scoring-half

England do not have the creativity to score many tries, and won't do today, but they can defend

In the first half Dan Carter will be popping penalities over, and Owen Farrell will be doing the same. from lesser opportunities  I would think you could see 30 points in the first half eg 21-9, 18-12 type scores

Whereas in a lot of RU Internationals defences tire in second halves this is not actually the case for England, who are marshalled well and very very fit. They tend not to crumble, and tend to hang on. Both the games against Australia and South Africa did not see a late capitualtion due to defensive patterns falling apart, as might have been the case prior to professional rugby

NZ's modus operandi is to start fast, win a lot of turnover ball and attack. Carter is back in for Cruden at fly half and this releases the back line far quicker (personally my first tryscorer bets are both wings, Savea and Corey Jane)

Conditions are reasonable for running rugby, and NZ will want to put it to bed early.

If NZ take a lead of more than 10 points, England will begin eschewing kicks at goal for kicking for corners and trying to score tries, which they struggle with as they have the creativity of me in O Level Art. The trend to go for tries will not occur until the second half. After last weekend Robshaw will not be ordering Farrell to kick it with a couple of minutes to go and more than a penalty down...

In the two comparable recent games Northern Hemisphere v New Zealand on this tour, against Scotland 51 points were scored in the first half, and 22 in the second, NZ four tries in the first half, two in the second

Last weekend against Wales 23 in the first half, 20 in the second, NZ two tries first half, one second

Recommend £40 1st Half to be the higher scoring half 5/4 Ladbrokes England v NZ this afternoon

[Snowball]

Talking of Scottish Cup. I mentioned to Tij=kay yesterday that Celtic were 4/5 -2 at Home to Arbroath, quite simply that's too big.

[bobby1]

Talking of Scottish Cup. I mentioned to Tij=kay yesterday that Celtic were 4/5 -2 at Home to Arbroath, quite simply that's too big.

yes, deffo a good price that.

[Nico29]

Talking of Scottish Cup. I mentioned to Tij=kay yesterday that Celtic were 4/5 -2 at Home to Arbroath, quite simply that's too big.

Where is this price available mate?

[redarmi]

Palace are now 2.6 in a lot of places against Brighton today and I have no idea why. All I know is I got 2.2 on early doors this week and I am going to top up at 2.6 to make an overall 2.4 bet.

#solidbettingtekkers

#ignoresReasonfordriftingOdds

This does look too big to me.

[tikay]

Talking of Scottish Cup. I mentioned to Tij=kay yesterday that Celtic were 4/5 -2 at Home to Arbroath, quite simply that's too big.

Where is this price available mate?

Best price now 3/4 with Sporting Bet.