Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

Declaration Of War can currently be laid at 3.35.

To explain, what you'd be looking to do is lay £200 @ 3.35. Then wait for it to drift to, say, around 4, and have £150 (back) on it at that price. That way everything else wins you £50 and DOW loses you £70.

Obv if he shortens up you're gonna lose a few quid but that's the gamble. Maybe just watch this one, see what would have happened, and then try one in the near future.

If he was going to mega-kontiki he'd be sliding by now and, in this case, you'd probably need to be laying £500+ to make it worthwhile. I'd still be surprised if he doesn't drift though, especially once the Hills £50 @ 5/2 backers try to lay it back at 3.45 to pay for a bag of crisps and can of special brew.

That make sense?

After I read it 903 times, yes, well almost.

Just one question, same as before...

By "lay £200 @ 3.35", you mean for a liability of £470, yes?

If you put a lay of £200 in betfair the liability is £200  oops my bad it is on the software I use - but on the betfair interface it would be a liability of £470.

btw if you have a WH free bet you could do worse than put it on modern tutor newbury 2.40 at 13/2.  Obv a trcky race but the stable is in great form and the horse is hooded for the first time which has been a profitable stat.

Thanks, am happy to go with Modern Tutor, but the Free Bet sort of "belongs" to Doobs, so I'd welcome his view first.

Without the free bets I am making a series of ice cream bets.  

Am happy to go with doubleup's bet, as am out all day and can spend no time on it.  

Ideally we'd prefer a bigger price, but if the bet is profitable on its own, we can let that go I think.

Edit.  Price gone on modern tutor.  Need to find another.

[tikay]

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

[doubleup]

Declaration Of War can currently be laid at 3.35.

To explain, what you'd be looking to do is lay £200 @ 3.35. Then wait for it to drift to, say, around 4, and have £150 (back) on it at that price. That way everything else wins you £50 and DOW loses you £70.

Obv if he shortens up you're gonna lose a few quid but that's the gamble. Maybe just watch this one, see what would have happened, and then try one in the near future.

If he was going to mega-kontiki he'd be sliding by now and, in this case, you'd probably need to be laying £500+ to make it worthwhile. I'd still be surprised if he doesn't drift though, especially once the Hills £50 @ 5/2 backers try to lay it back at 3.45 to pay for a bag of crisps and can of special brew.

That make sense?

After I read it 903 times, yes, well almost.

Just one question, same as before...

By "lay £200 @ 3.35", you mean for a liability of £470, yes?

If you put a lay of £200 in betfair the liability is £200  oops my bad it is on the software I use - but on the betfair interface it would be a liability of £470.

btw if you have a WH free bet you could do worse than put it on modern tutor newbury 2.40 at 13/2.  Obv a trcky race but the stable is in great form and the horse is hooded for the first time which has been a profitable stat.

Thanks, am happy to go with Modern Tutor, but the Free Bet sort of "belongs" to Doobs, so I'd welcome his view first.

Without the free bets I am making a series of ice cream bets. 

Am happy to go with doubleup's bet, as am out all day and can spend no time on it. 

Ideally we'd prefer a bigger price, but if the bet is profitable on its own, we can let that go I think.

too late price is gorn...

[tikay]

Declaration Of War can currently be laid at 3.35.

To explain, what you'd be looking to do is lay £200 @ 3.35. Then wait for it to drift to, say, around 4, and have £150 (back) on it at that price. That way everything else wins you £50 and DOW loses you £70.

Obv if he shortens up you're gonna lose a few quid but that's the gamble. Maybe just watch this one, see what would have happened, and then try one in the near future.

If he was going to mega-kontiki he'd be sliding by now and, in this case, you'd probably need to be laying £500+ to make it worthwhile. I'd still be surprised if he doesn't drift though, especially once the Hills £50 @ 5/2 backers try to lay it back at 3.45 to pay for a bag of crisps and can of special brew.

That make sense?

After I read it 903 times, yes, well almost.

Just one question, same as before...

By "lay £200 @ 3.35", you mean for a liability of £470, yes?

If you put a lay of £200 in betfair the liability is £200  oops my bad it is on the software I use - but on the betfair interface it would be a liability of £470.

btw if you have a WH free bet you could do worse than put it on modern tutor newbury 2.40 at 13/2.  Obv a trcky race but the stable is in great form and the horse is hooded for the first time which has been a profitable stat.

Bugger.

Whilst I dithered, the price went from 13/2 to 5/1.

Still worth taking?

EDIT - Posts crossed.

[BigAdz]

Not sure if you placed the Lay on Dec O War, but is being backed, into 7/4 in some places.

Dont panic Mr Mainwaring!!!

[tikay]

Not sure if you placed the Lay on Dec O War, but is being backed, into 7/4 in some places.

Dont panic Mr Mainwaring!!!

In Chompy, we trust. Up to a point.

Chompy!

[doubleup]

Nah - was bigger than BF - is slightly less now

[Doobs]

Hills have got a special price, Nahki Wells to score anytime and Bradford to win in 90 mins at 3/1.  He is best 7/5 to score anytime and I guess we win more often than not if he scores.

Think it must be value, but we need tenner thread run good to take to Wembley regardless.

[outragous76]

Fred's thoughts on taking Jamie carragher to score anytime @ 4/1?

Surely if Liverpool get a penalty he will get a chance in his last game? Maybe play last 10 mins as striker?

[BigAdz]

Question of the day

Does Dobbs have an Affiliate deal with Billy Hills?!!

[tikay]

Hills have got a special price, Nahki Wells to score anytime and Bradford to win in 90 mins at 3/1.  He is best 7/5 to score anytime and I guess we win more often than not if he scores.

Think it must be value, but we need tenner thread run good to take to Wembley regardless.

Saturday is funday.

£25 @ 3/1, Wm Hills, Bradford to win, & Fred Hero Nahki Wells to score.

ON

18 May 2013 - Bradford v Northampton - Headline Offers

Tip ItNahki Wells to score and Bradford to win @ 3/1

Stake : £25.00
Estimated Returns : £100.00Transaction Reference:O/0457483/0000427/F

[tikay]

Chompyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy!

Latest prices for Declaration of War.


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/newbury/15:50/winner

[Chompy]

It's breakfast time, there's no need to be afraid...

Yes, DOW is 7/4 in ONE place. It's also 5/2 with Sid and Buttermeup. And 9/4 in several other spots. I'm not sure why he's so strong on Daq and Fair in that case.

If DOW is to drift it will be in the half-hour or so leading up to the race.

So, what you need to do is sit by the PC frantically clicking refresh non-stop like all the arbers. Wait for him to ease out to 4 and then pounce!

[tikay]

It's breakfast time, there's no need to be afraid...

Yes, DOW is 7/4 in ONE place. It's also 5/2 with Sid and Buttermeup. And 9/4 in several other spots. I'm not sure why he's so strong on Daq and Fair in that case.

If DOW is to drift it will be in the half-hour or so leading up to the race.

So, what you need to do is sit by the PC frantically clicking refresh non-stop like all the arbers. Wait for him to ease out to 4 and then pounce!

Ooh, how exciting!

Must try not to fall asleep this afternoon......

[tikay]

 

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.