Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Di Resta traded at 1/66 with 2 mins of Q3 to go, then it stopped raining and the 1/66 was toast

Please, no bets on the race tomorrow beyond the safety car (would be unlucky to lose that) Spa is a lottery in tricky conditions

Best race of the year for the viewer though

[tikay]

You are right Sparrow, those concessions make the difference. A +ev situation.

But Totesport price is now 5/1...,,,,,

Still +ev?

[tikay]

Amazing Maria - pillar to post!

Lovely stuff.

The ground really cut up, must be close to "soft".

[horseplayer]

York 5.00

Nap for me today is old fred selection Spirit Of The Law.  

Quickened up really impressively to win last time and is still only running off 83 here with the excellent claimer's 5lb off.  Looks on a very fair mark still, a left-handed, galloping track is exactly what he wants and has lots of form on soft ground.  These are out of form or racing in not ideal conditions apart from Sennockian Star and I'm not sure that wants soft or at testing 10f.  Think 5/1 is very fair and will be hard to beat given he is still improving.

Suggest £30 win at 5/1 or bigger

[a.sparrow]

You are right Sparrow, those concessions make the difference. A +ev situation.

But Totesport price is now 5/1...,,,,,

Still +ev?

i'd pass at 5/1, when recommended it was top price of all bookies and close to betfair price and that was the main reason for me thinking with the added value of 1/4 odds + money back offer it was decent.

[tikay]

York 5.00

Nap for me today is old fred selection Spirit Of The Law.  

Quickened up really impressively to win last time and is still only running off 83 here with the excellent claimer's 5lb off.  Looks on a very fair mark still, a left-handed, galloping track is exactly what he wants and has lots of form on soft ground.  These are out of form or racing in not ideal conditions apart from Sennockian Star and I'm not sure that wants soft or at testing 10f.  Think 5/1 is very fair and will be hard to beat given he is still improving.

Suggest £30 win at 5/1 or bigger

Thanks horsey.

We are on, and we beat 5/1.

£30 @ 11/2, Sporting Bet, Spirit of the Law, 5pm York.

Details later.

ON

[tikay]

You are right Sparrow, those concessions make the difference. A +ev situation.

But Totesport price is now 5/1...,,,,,

Still +ev?

i'd pass at 5/1, when recommended it was top price of all bookies and close to betfair price and that was the main reason for me thinking with the added value of 1/4 odds + money back offer it was decent.

Thought as much. Regrettably swerved.

Apologies for missing it, but an awkward weekend for me, time issues, non-blonde stuff.

[tikay]

You are right Sparrow, those concessions make the difference. A +ev situation.

But Totesport price is now 5/1...,,,,,

Still +ev?

i'd pass at 5/1, when recommended it was top price of all bookies and close to betfair price and that was the main reason for me thinking with the added value of 1/4 odds + money back offer it was decent.

Thought as much. Regrettably swerved.

Apologies for missing it, but an awkward weekend for me, time issues, non-blonde stuff.

11/2 now.......

[a.sparrow]

You are right Sparrow, those concessions make the difference. A +ev situation.

But Totesport price is now 5/1...,,,,,

Still +ev?

i'd pass at 5/1, when recommended it was top price of all bookies and close to betfair price and that was the main reason for me thinking with the added value of 1/4 odds + money back offer it was decent.

Thought as much. Regrettably swerved.

Apologies for missing it, but an awkward weekend for me, time issues, non-blonde stuff.

11/2 now.......

6.8 betfair. With badbeat saying it was +ev with those concessions and previously 11/2 he was indifferent, maybe go for it.  But i'm lacking confidence in pushing it for fred.

[tikay]

Have had £25 ew Mister Impatience @ 11/2 with the Totesport Offer for myself (off-thread).

If confirmed BEFORE the race, and the price is not less than 11/2, I can transfer that bet to Fred.

[tikay]

Bugger, less dither, more do. Just seen the Mr Sparrow post.

We are ON Mister Impatience as above. £25 EW @ 11/2, Totesport Offer.

ON

[Doobs]

Di Resta traded at 1/66 with 2 mins of Q3 to go, then it stopped raining and the 1/66 was toast

Please, no bets on the race tomorrow beyond the safety car (would be unlucky to lose that) Spa is a lottery in tricky conditions

Best race of the year for the viewer though

I don't think this can really hold.  People label the Grand National a lottery, but it isn't.  We could have put a line through the Ebor because of the bad conditions, but we didn't.  

If somebody is a great price we should take it, we just need to take into account the conditions when we bet.  I haven't got anything in mind yet, so you might be OK.

[horseplayer]

Have had £25 ew Mister Impatience @ 11/2 with the Totesport Offer for myself (off-thread).

If confirmed BEFORE the race, and the price is not less than 11/2, I can transfer that bet to Fred.

happy to second this

looks between the top two to me have backed it small at 6-1

[Doobs]

Bugger, less dither, more do. Just seen the Mr Sparrow post.

We are ON Mister Impatience as above. £25 EW @ 11/2, Totesport Offer.

ON

That name is so apt

[tikay]

Bugger, less dither, more do. Just seen the Mr Sparrow post.

We are ON Mister Impatience as above. £25 EW @ 11/2, Totesport Offer.

ON

That name is so apt

There ought to be a Mr Dither and a Mr Spider.