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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16382817 times)
Doobs
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« Reply #52890 on: September 09, 2013, 03:00:12 PM »

Two of our Leger horses are still in after the latest entry stage today.

Libertarian is around 9/1 on Betfair and we have a free bet at 6/1 and a real one at 8/1.
Leading Light is around 13/2 on Betfair and we have a free bet at 10/1.

Telescope hasn't made it to the entries.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
JaffaCake
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« Reply #52891 on: September 09, 2013, 03:06:40 PM »

Excellent updates ty fellas, interesting stuff and a few decent bets ahoy
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« Reply #52892 on: September 09, 2013, 03:07:44 PM »

The William Hill offer is at Brighton today & all favourites are 2/1 shorter in the first 6.

I don't see it on my phone, but Ladbrokes have the offer.  Maybe they have got wise to me?

I have maxed out on similar bets to you by the looks of previous days, do don't know. But the offer wasn't showing up earlier in 'promotions', but now it is

I can't see it on mobile or on the PC, may be best to give it a rest with them anyway.  If you want to put some up on Ladbrokes, be my guest.  Got stuff to do.

Inevitably the favourite wins the first...

and the 2nd.  need to stop watching...
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
aaron1867
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« Reply #52893 on: September 09, 2013, 03:18:58 PM »

The William Hill offer is at Brighton today & all favourites are 2/1 shorter in the first 6.

I don't see it on my phone, but Ladbrokes have the offer.  Maybe they have got wise to me?

I have maxed out on similar bets to you by the looks of previous days, do don't know. But the offer wasn't showing up earlier in 'promotions', but now it is

I can't see it on mobile or on the PC, may be best to give it a rest with them anyway.  If you want to put some up on Ladbrokes, be my guest.  Got stuff to do.

Inevitably the favourite wins the first...

and the 2nd.  need to stop watching...

I wasn't going to reccommend anything, but I was actually thinking of recc of backing all 6 favs in the first 6. not usually this many races with shorties on in the offers

predicting another two to go in, looks a harsh day for the bookies at Brighton regardless imo
« Last Edit: September 09, 2013, 03:20:32 PM by aaron1867 » Logged
TightEnd
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« Reply #52894 on: September 09, 2013, 03:20:01 PM »

Apologies I completely missed that tikay had put two bets on the Cowboys game last night. They both lost.

Disorientation after a long drive home

Will update spreadsheet now!
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By the way, I'm leaving out today
redarmi
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« Reply #52895 on: September 09, 2013, 03:26:52 PM »

Texas A&M play Alabama this week in college football and this will be a key game for a few of our bets probably.  Overall I think we are routing for 'Bama for the Mariota and Texas A&M season wins bets.  'Bama opened a 7 point favourite which was way too light and are now 8.5 in a few places.  I can only see it going higher.
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aaron1867
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« Reply #52896 on: September 09, 2013, 03:33:41 PM »

I've been having a long and painful look at the internationals for tomorrow, several different markets as there isn't really anything that takes my eye as a win single, although Northern Ireland DID, unsure now.

However, kept a keen eye on the market and interesting little move for Lithuania at home to Liechtenstein who was 2/7 best price (in several places fwiw) are now best priced 1/4, doesn't seem much movement, but considering the lumps that needed to be on, then it probably is needed to be significant. They have also had a bit of movement in the correct score market, I was thinking of backing 5-0 & 6-0, but the 5-0 market has been moved in from a stand out from 40's to 33's in once place. I considered backing at 40's, but unsure of 33's. However there seems to be a lot more value in 6-0 & 7-0. I personally doubt it will be 7-0, but would be disgusted if we lost the bet after them somehow getting 7. I do think it's a possibility of it being 6-0, just looking at the odds, even though between the rankings, there isn't as much between the sides as you would think.

6-0 is generally priced at 50's in most places, then 100-1 with Stan James, definite value.

7-0 is priced from 100's to 150 in one place, but then 200-1 on Winner (?), value there too.

Both to me aren't 100-1 and 200-1 shots & suggest very small stakes with £3 on each.

edit - not fred stuff now, i see licheinstein playing some decent stuff according to results

lol....

Andorra/Holland

Holland to win 9-0 70's

11-0 is 150s

then 10-0 is 300's

ha
« Last Edit: September 09, 2013, 05:51:09 PM by aaron1867 » Logged
aaron1867
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« Reply #52897 on: September 09, 2013, 03:34:33 PM »

Not much difference on the Northern Ireland game, what price is good here as they have drifted slightly to 5/4
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aaron1867
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« Reply #52898 on: September 09, 2013, 03:41:04 PM »

And the third.....
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« Reply #52899 on: September 09, 2013, 03:43:17 PM »

Not much difference on the Northern Ireland game, what price is good here as they have drifted slightly to 5/4


Aaron mate, it feels like you are trying to squeeze a bet out, almost because its there. Plenty of opportunities every day, and you will know when you genuinely think you have something.

The force is strong within you, but you must control it......
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
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« Reply #52900 on: September 09, 2013, 03:43:40 PM »

Apologies I completely missed that tikay had put two bets on the Cowboys game last night. They both lost.

Disorientation after a long drive home

Will update spreadsheet now!

He had £60 on the Bengals boy to rush under 62.5 yards which won too.
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aaron1867
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« Reply #52901 on: September 09, 2013, 03:45:41 PM »

Not much difference on the Northern Ireland game, what price is good here as they have drifted slightly to 5/4


Aaron mate, it feels like you are trying to squeeze a bet out, almost because its there. Plenty of opportunities every day, and you will know when you genuinely think you have something.

The force is strong within you, but you must control it......

If I was trying to squeeze a bet, I would have bet it by now! Purely questionning price against instinct because weirdly can't price this one up at all, I am 100% happy to avoid if people don't think price is good enough, bcause simply clueless in this one, but just thought Ireland would be able to grind a win against these such 'minnows'

What is a backable price?
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horseplayer
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« Reply #52902 on: September 09, 2013, 03:56:12 PM »

Northern Ireland are a minnow as well though

Luxem are not as bad as once was the case either

If Northern Ireland touched 7/4 id be tempted but even then i would not fancy them as such
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Marky147
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« Reply #52903 on: September 09, 2013, 04:00:56 PM »

And the third.....

Hopefully the 4th...
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aaron1867
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« Reply #52904 on: September 09, 2013, 04:07:02 PM »

And the third.....

Hopefully the 4th...

not the 4th lol
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