Tips for Tikay

[BigAdz]

Not sure if you have any more appetite for NFL sub markets but there is another good one for Saints at Seattle tomorrow at 9.35pm on Sky


The weather in Seattle this week has been bad. High winds today...

"Century Link Field had to secure goal post with tractor due to wind"

I would copy the picture, but lets keep tikay calm over his morning yoghurt and bananas

http://www.yardbarker.com/all_sports/articles/century_link_field_had_to_secure_goal_post_with_tractor_due_to_wind/15511637

and high wind forecast for tomorrow too


Seattle are the number one Pass defense in the league measured by Yards Per pass attempt by the opposing oppo

Earlier in the season when Brees went into Seattle he passed for 147 yards, only, this in a season where he finished second to Manning in passing yards across the season

Quite interesting to see him quoted to pass for circa 270 yards in worse weather against the same defense coming off a bye

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-orleans-saints-at-seattle-seahawks/total-passing-yds-drew-brees


risk, Seattle get into a big early lead, and Brees throws a lot but in reality this should be much tighter than that, and the Saints can't take too many risks away from home against a superb secondary and expect to remain in the game. So balanced offense is key in this


Shut your eyes, maxmimum bet it and I am very confident in the unders here.

Oh my word........

We need to be serious here for a moment Gents.

I have just had £110 @ 10/11 with BMU @ UNDER 265.5.

This line, clearly, will keep moving down.

The current prices are here.....


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-orleans-saints-at-seattle-seahawks/total-passing-yds-drew-brees

So I could probably get a bit more on with a couple of firms.

I'm not keen on having more than £110 with BMU though, as I need to keep that account nice & clean, I use it a lot, as it is quick, easy to navigate, often best price, & they don't restrict me on anything. 

So, is £110 enough (@ under 265.5), or ought we try & get a little more elsewhere? And the minimum line we should take is?

I feel a little brave this morning, don't forget, we have £80 on this horse to fund us for the day.



   

Im on the unders as well ..was on them last week for a max ... its a good shout..despite last week brees and saints not as good outside ..winds look around 20-25 mph and the most fearsome secondary in the league..as long as it doesn't develop into a shootout where brees is throwing bombs to get back in it (which i don't think it will as saints will def mix it up and Seattle first port of call is to pound lynch) we should have a good shout..wouldn't go much under 240 though

   more disciples 

[Rubbish2407]

Tikay, I've sent you a DM when you get five minutes.

[Kmac84]

Motherwell as short as 2/5. 

[Tal]

What effect does bye week have to seeded teams? There's a possibility of the euphoria of getting the top two seed spot and the extra week off making it harder to be at full pelt for the divisional week, against a side that's had to fight and is still in that fighting mentality.

Saints look better to my mug eyes than they were in the first half of the season. +8 seems generous to me, as I can see a tight game. We are making a lot of noise about Seattle's secondary, but New Orleans doesn't have a bad one, as Carolina saw.

Is backing a team like Seattle that has had it all its own way in the division, off a bye week, a bit of a risk? Or is that factored well enough into the price?

[The Camel]

Examiner is drifting like a rudderless barge.

9/4 now!

I thought this Chompy chap was supposed to know his onions.

[tikay]

Examiner is drifting like a rudderless barge.

9/4 now!

I thought this Chompy chap was supposed to know his onions.

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/lingfield/14:05/winner

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

Not happy at the ball stealing incident last night, but time to get that money back.

Today's big rugby game is Harlequins v Clermont. All to play for, better team away from home ( but they are French ), huge pressure, should be close and tight.

Suggest £25 under 38 points with William Hill @ 11/10.

Afternoon hector. Shocking do last night, so unlucky.

Typo in your Post - the price is 10/11, not 11/10?

FWIW, I just drove right past the Stoop, big crowd gathering, all in their silly replica shirts, but the weather is beautiful, clear blue sky, bright sunshine. Still OK for Unders @ 10/11?

No reply, & kick off imminent, so for better or worse......

£22 @ 10/11.

BET PLACED

[horseplayer]

not for thread but to my untrained n hunt eye corrin wood at 25-s with skybet for the rsa after that is massive

the general 16-s looks tempting but cant believe the 25-s will last ten minutes

[Tal]

Examiner is drifting like a rudderless barge.

9/4 now!

I thought this Chompy chap was supposed to know his onions.

Surely you've learned by now?

You don't back what people recommend. You back what tikay then bets on. Usually, they are one and the same, but this test covers the misclicks.

[JoeBeevers]

A note about McBookie. i just opened an account and my deposit kept being rejected. Here is the end of the chat:

....
 13:34:15 : Kaine: I do apologise about the delay as I am reviewing your account with our security department and revising as to why your deposits are being rejected.

 13:34:22 : joseph: ok ty

 13:34:34 : joseph: i just used the acrd somewhee else and it worked fine

 13:38:47 : Kaine: AS you were closed by traders on BetVictor we have to mirror this as we are both powered by Victor Chandler.

 13:38:57 : Kaine: this is the reason you are not bale to deposit.

 13:39:42 : joseph: so i cant have an account with McBookie?

 13:40:27 : Kaine: Unfortunately not as you will not be able to deposit your funds.

 13:40:35 : joseph: ok thank you for your time

[Rubbish2407]

PP are way out of line on Cuthbert (Alex) to score a try today in the Toulon v Blues game. Most bookies go between 9/4 and 7/2. Paddy go 11/2 which has to be bet. Suggest the £20 you saved yesterday on Peter Marshall.

[TightEnd]

What effect does bye week have to seeded teams? There's a possibility of the euphoria of getting the top two seed spot and the extra week off making it harder to be at full pelt for the divisional week, against a side that's had to fight and is still in that fighting mentality.

Saints look better to my mug eyes than they were in the first half of the season. +8 seems generous to me, as I can see a tight game. We are making a lot of noise about Seattle's secondary, but New Orleans doesn't have a bad one, as Carolina saw.

Is backing a team like Seattle that has had it all its own way in the division, off a bye week, a bit of a risk? Or is that factored well enough into the price?

Interestingly since 1978  favs of 7+ in playoffs 55% ATS.  Seat, NE, Denver apply this week, though if it is windy in seattle you'd expect it to be closer than 7+

Generally the bye week is a big advantage. the better team gets a week's rest, is at home and as we can see from the stat big favourites more often cover than not

that said, I am quite a fan of the Chargers +10 tomorrow if I can get it

[tikay]

PP are way out of line on Cuthbert (Alex) to score a try today in the Toulon v Blues game. Most bookies go between 9/4 and 7/2. Paddy go 11/2 which has to be bet. Suggest the £20 you saved yesterday on Peter Marshall.

7/2 with PP now.

They do include this, though.....


Money-Back Special - If the first try is scored by a forward, we will refund all losing try scorer bets on the match.

[Kmac84]

A note about McBookie. i just opened an account and my deposit kept being rejected. Here is the end of the chat:

....
 13:34:15 : Kaine: I do apologise about the delay as I am reviewing your account with our security department and revising as to why your deposits are being rejected.

 13:34:22 : joseph: ok ty

 13:34:34 : joseph: i just used the acrd somewhee else and it worked fine

 13:38:47 : Kaine: AS you were closed by traders on BetVictor we have to mirror this as we are both powered by Victor Chandler.

 13:38:57 : Kaine: this is the reason you are not bale to deposit.

 13:39:42 : joseph: so i cant have an account with McBookie?

 13:40:27 : Kaine: Unfortunately not as you will not be able to deposit your funds.

 13:40:35 : joseph: ok thank you for your time

Bah!  I hoped this would never happen when they got into bed with VC earlier this year.  I was actually assured that they would keep their autonomy.  

[tikay]

A note about McBookie. i just opened an account and my deposit kept being rejected. Here is the end of the chat:

....
 13:34:15 : Kaine: I do apologise about the delay as I am reviewing your account with our security department and revising as to why your deposits are being rejected.

 13:34:22 : joseph: ok ty

 13:34:34 : joseph: i just used the acrd somewhee else and it worked fine

 13:38:47 : Kaine: AS you were closed by traders on BetVictor we have to mirror this as we are both powered by Victor Chandler.

 13:38:57 : Kaine: this is the reason you are not bale to deposit.

 13:39:42 : joseph: so i cant have an account with McBookie?

 13:40:27 : Kaine: Unfortunately not as you will not be able to deposit your funds.

 13:40:35 : joseph: ok thank you for your time

To be fair, Joseph, they did at least tell you before you Deposited, so fair play to them for that. Most would not.