Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

Hi,

Wondering if someone could give some feedback on 1 of the paddypower offers.

Tonight they have money back if hazard scores anytime on selected markets, one if these is the goalscorer market.

Just thinking Oscar 12/1 eway or Torres 10/1 eway must be a good bet as you are essentially covering all the main chelsea goalscorers with the money back offer.

Just want to understand whether the maths works here.

Each way is terrible if you expect a low scoring match.  If you can get best price plus the offer backing someone FGS with PP can't be bad.  I'd still load up Betfair to check the price wasn't too far out. 12/1 with concession is probably better than 14/1 without off the top of my head.

Just checked Betfair for you, you are better backing Oscar there than taking the offer I think. 

[Doobs]

Hi,

Wondering if someone could give some feedback on 1 of the paddypower offers.

Tonight they have money back if hazard scores anytime on selected markets, one if these is the goalscorer market.

Just thinking Oscar 12/1 eway or Torres 10/1 eway must be a good bet as you are essentially covering all the main chelsea goalscorers with the money back offer.

Just want to understand whether the maths works here.

Each way is terrible if you expect a low scoring match.  If you can get best price plus the offer backing someone FGS with PP can't be bad.  I'd still load up Betfair to check the price wasn't too far out. 12/1 with concession is probably better than 14/1 without off the top of my head.

Just checked Betfair for you, you are better backing Oscar there than taking the offer I think. 

And ofc if you take Paddy's poorer offers after a while they restrict you to 5p bets when they do their better offers.  We hear you Paddy.

[redarmi]

Hi,

Wondering if someone could give some feedback on 1 of the paddypower offers.

Tonight they have money back if hazard scores anytime on selected markets, one if these is the goalscorer market.

Just thinking Oscar 12/1 eway or Torres 10/1 eway must be a good bet as you are essentially covering all the main chelsea goalscorers with the money back offer.

Just want to understand whether the maths works here.

This game is projected to be low scoring so prob not the best way for an ew option.

Also the place part dsnt get refunded on these refund offers.

Furthermore, pp seem to have changed from money back to free bet for most of these offers now, another minus point.

Torres additionally isn't starting.

In conclusion am not a fan.

About the only thing I like about this offer is that I hugely rate hazad and it's around a 4-1 shot you'll get a refund.

If I was choosing a bet i'd personally go for zlat at the best priced 9-2, obv win only tho. (sim priced on bf)

Gl!

Would definitely back Zlatan at 9/2.  Think he should be a shade under 4/1 anyway and the offer adds value.

[exstream]

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/wwe/wrestlemania-xxx/divas-title

Often odds will change closer to the actual date of the event, favourites don't go off as favourite etc.

Oppose AJ Lee.

Reasons being, she is now engaged to Cm Punk who recently left the company on bad terms. She has been champion for 200+ days. She doesn't appear on the WWE Reality Tv Show Total Divas.

Back Niki Bella, Tamina and Naomi. £5 each!

[Omm]

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/wwe/wrestlemania-xxx/divas-title

Often odds will change closer to the actual date of the event, favourites don't go off as favourite etc.

Oppose AJ Lee.

Reasons being, she is now engaged to Cm Punk who recently left the company on bad terms. She has been champion for 200+ days. She doesn't appear on the WWE Reality Tv Show Total Divas.

Back Niki Bella, Tamina and Naomi. £5 each!

This is scripted isn't it? Do u or the bookies know the script?

[Tal]

Click to see full-size image.

[Killerkilsby]

Thanks for feedback think ill keep my nose clean and watch the game thanks all.

[BorntoBubble]

Am i missing something here.

William hill send an email out saying silviniaco conti 5/2 from 8:30am in the morning. And yet they are already 5/2 on that horse?

Great marketing that

but they do also say price boosts from 12-1 tomorrow and money back if 2nd.

goodbye another £100.

[exstream]

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/wwe/wrestlemania-xxx/divas-title

Often odds will change closer to the actual date of the event, favourites don't go off as favourite etc.

Oppose AJ Lee.

Reasons being, she is now engaged to Cm Punk who recently left the company on bad terms. She has been champion for 200+ days. She doesn't appear on the WWE Reality Tv Show Total Divas.

Back Niki Bella, Tamina and Naomi. £5 each!

This is scripted isn't it? Do u or the bookies know the script?

It is all scripted, would assume bookies are just going by popularity/where the money is. I don't know the script and nor should the bookies.
Don't see the price for AJ Lee being that short.

[arbboy]

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/wwe/wrestlemania-xxx/divas-title

Often odds will change closer to the actual date of the event, favourites don't go off as favourite etc.

Oppose AJ Lee.

Reasons being, she is now engaged to Cm Punk who recently left the company on bad terms. She has been champion for 200+ days. She doesn't appear on the WWE Reality Tv Show Total Divas.

Back Niki Bella, Tamina and Naomi. £5 each!

This is scripted isn't it? Do u or the bookies know the script?

It is all scripted, would assume bookies are just going by popularity/where the money is. I don't know the script and nor should the bookies.
Don't see the price for AJ Lee being that short.

Coral offer 2/1 the field against AJ which looks the bet to have everyone else on your side.  I assume you can't lay AJ (pardon the pun) on betfair.

from wiki about punk sounds like he is gone for a while to me. If not forever from wwe.  Can't imagine he will get many 2nd chances from management due to his style with the corporate side of the business.

At the Royal Rumble, Punk entered in at entrant #1. After having lasted until the final four, Kane, who was already eliminated earlier in the match by Punk, eliminated Punk from the outside and proceeded to chokeslam him through the announcer's table.[223] Punk did not appear on the January 27 Raw after the Rumble, nor did he appear for the SmackDown taping on Tuesday despite being advertised for the event. By Wednesday, WWE.com stopped advertising Punk for future events. The Wrestling Observer reported Punk had legitimately left the event on Monday after telling Vince McMahon that he was "going home".[224][225] On February 20, during a conference call to investors, McMahon stated that Punk was "taking a sabbatical".[226][227] On the March 3 edition of Raw, WWE acknowledged Punk's absence on television when the show started with Punk's entrance music playing, only for former manager Paul Heyman to walk out.[228] After this, Punk's future appearances on live events and merchandise were stopped. He was also replaced by Rey Mysterio in the WWE's upcoming Flintstones film and removed from the WWE Camp series, both scheduled for 2015.[229]

[ripple11]

Any fancies for the LBC Europe debate tonight?

http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/British/Clegg-v-Farage-LBC-Debate/Politics-N-1z141meZ1z0x2vcZ1z141ne/

Going to have a tenner on "trust the british people" and a few quid on Farage to "win" the debate

Both the above bets came in last week and its round 2 tonight.

Farage is 1/2 on this time, so no value, but I would expect him to win again after his first novice run last week.

If you want to buy money "Putin" is 1/12 on!

I'm going with  "485 million" at evens. Farage never really got a straight answer to his question about how many people have open acccess to the UK....so I fully expect him to again ram home this number tonight.

http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/politics

Farage wins going away.

"Putin" and "485" weighed in.

[Tal]

I'm going to start posting some dresses in a minute if this lot carries on.

[BorntoBubble]

The first two goals in the two champions league games were scored in the same minute tonight. Great fact. the 3rd one was only 4 minutes apart. What im suggesting is if there is another goal in PSG game then back a goal in Madrid game. As i think they are slightly ahead

[claypole]

Loving the fact Arboy appears a massive WWE fan...made my night

[arbboy]

Loving the fact Arboy appears a massive WWE fan...made my night

I am tbf but i haven't followed it much for the last month and didn't know Punk had left. Didn't know AJ was engaged to punk either so can't be that much of a fan!