Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

no idea

twitter and the gamble says andre rather than jordan

[a.sparrow]

Views on hazard and neymar double in tomorrow's man of the match markets?

[millidonk]

So what one are we saying gets MOTM?

Andre. Although something fishy seems to be going on. I placed my bet with 653, tried to withdraw, all looked to be working fine, then it wouldn't let me see my account history and now it has refreshed my balance to what it was before I made the withdrawl

[horseplayer]

Views on hazard and neymar double in tomorrow's man of the match markets?

these all look like account closers to me so just go careful maybe

be surprised if the firms bother much longer especially if this goes in

tbf serves them right not the hardest thing to influence

[DropTheHammer]

Andre. Although something fishy seems to be going on. I placed my bet with 653, tried to withdraw, all looked to be working fine, then it wouldn't let me see my account history and now it has refreshed my balance to what it was before I made the withdrawl

My £10 bet with them still shows as confirmed (placed at 10:50). I don't plan on withdrawing funds from anywhere until after the WC has finished and certainly not if winning any slightly-less-than-honest bets.

[a.sparrow]

Views on hazard and neymar double in tomorrow's man of the match markets?

these all look like account closers to me so just go careful maybe

be surprised if the firms bother much longer especially if this goes in

tbf serves them right not the hardest thing to influence

You're probably right, we should have followed from the first game when Neymar was backed in from 6 to around evens.  Some people must have completely cleaned up!

[Doobs]

Ascot tomorrow.

Is there somewhere we can all vote for the winners of the races?

2.30 For those with knackered Paddy Power accounts, they are going best odds on Verazano 4/1 and quarter first 3 which is a bet to nothing in that race and a little dirty.  Shops for those who want to preserve it.  I can't see it doing much harm at the stake they'll offer us and it is going to be well hidden in massive PP volume.  suggest 25 each way or whatever they let you.  Horse has good form in the US, though probably a bit behind Toranado but has the advantage of a run. 

Hills are best on Toranado, which is best for the £25 at evens  on the mobile offer. 

3.05  Betfair sportsbook are biggest on Kool Kompany.  It went over to Ireland and beat up War Envoy, which was highly rated before that defeat.  They meet again, War Envoy is 11/2, Kool Kompany 9/1.  Listen, Mr O'Brien, your horse may be the greatest ever, but we have a free bet to use and it can go here.   The price matches Betfair right now.  For those with butter me up, the horse is 10/1 right now, which beats Betfair.  Can't remember how much the free bet is (A tenner?), but can we top up to £25 with BetVictor is the 10/1 is stilll around?  The horse probably isn't as classy as a couple of others, but seems to have a really good attitude.

We already have Adaay in this race (10/1 in to 5/1).  Think Adz gave us that.  cheers

3.35  I am a mug for Shea Shea, so have used Hills mobile for that as Hills are best.  It is probably too big a price for thread, though there is a small edge there.  Think it is slightly better than Sole Power and the ground is probably better for Shea Shea.  Don't know if there is enough pace nearby, so thread should probably give it a miss.

4.25  The obvious horse for the Hills offer is Kingman, suggest £25 on the mobile at evens.

the 5.00 is a 16 runner+ handicap.  I haven't had time to look at it and am getting tired.  will try and have a look tomorrow, but is obviously good for each way shenanigans. 

I haven't ordered anythng from betting emporium yet.

[TightEnd]

the £25 betfair sportsbook free bet has to be used on the world cup

(somewhere in the small print!!)

[McGlashan]

the £25 betfair sportsbook free bet has to be used on the world cup

(somewhere in the small print!!)

Lukaku to score 2+ goals vs Algeria is 6-1, 5-1 best elsewhere.

[TightEnd]

which is a fly in the ointment

i have a bet for it

algeria top goalscorer riyad mahrez 16-1 (my man at leicester)

he starts tomorrow

he'll play top wide in a 3, skilful tricky player. free kicks, long range shots in his arsenal

they of course may play three games only, and won't take many goals to win it (although i do like them to get out the group, thats a pretty contrarian view)

he's twice the price of someone like feghouli of valencia who plays central midfield and three times the price of the assumed strikers

he shouldn't be 16-1 if he stands a shot at playing three games


with apologies to doobs, as its his free bet, but i have a 9am deadline on this one and want to get it on something tonight


Riyad Mahrez
Algeria Team Top Goalscorer
16-1
£25.00 (O)WC ENG Refund SB1FB1406
Bet Ref: O/0140260/0000043

 

[TightEnd]

the £25 betfair sportsbook free bet has to be used on the world cup

(somewhere in the small print!!)

Lukaku to score 2+ goals vs Algeria is 6-1, 5-1 best elsewhere.

happy to do this too, sorry our posts crossed

you think 5 or 6-1 is value if paying in hard cash?

[TightEnd]

Ascot tomorrow.

Is there somewhere we can all vote for the winners of the races?

2.30 For those with knackered Paddy Power accounts, they are going best odds on Verazano 4/1 and quarter first 3 which is a bet to nothing in that race and a little dirty.  Shops for those who want to preserve it.  I can't see it doing much harm at the stake they'll offer us and it is going to be well hidden in massive PP volume.  suggest 25 each way or whatever they let you.  Horse has good form in the US, though probably a bit behind Toranado but has the advantage of a run. 

Hills are best on Toranado, which is best for the £25 at evens  on the mobile offer. 

3.05  Betfair sportsbook are biggest on Kool Kompany.  It went over to Ireland and beat up War Envoy, which was highly rated before that defeat.  They meet again, War Envoy is 11/2, Kool Kompany 9/1.  Listen, Mr O'Brien, your horse may be the greatest ever, but we have a free bet to use and it can go here.   The price matches Betfair right now.  For those with butter me up, the horse is 10/1 right now, which beats Betfair.  Can't remember how much the free bet is (A tenner?), but can we top up to £25 with BetVictor is the 10/1 is stilll around?  The horse probably isn't as classy as a couple of others, but seems to have a really good attitude.

We already have Adaay in this race (10/1 in to 5/1).  Think Adz gave us that.  cheers

3.35  I am a mug for Shea Shea, so have used Hills mobile for that as Hills are best.  It is probably too big a price for thread, though there is a small edge there.  Think it is slightly better than Sole Power and the ground is probably better for Shea Shea.  Don't know if there is enough pace nearby, so thread should probably give it a miss.

4.25  The obvious horse for the Hills offer is Kingman, suggest £25 on the mobile at evens.

the 5.00 is a 16 runner+ handicap.  I haven't had time to look at it and am getting tired.  will try and have a look tomorrow, but is obviously good for each way shenanigans. 

I haven't ordered anythng from betting emporium yet.

2.30 restricted to half stakes PP

Single: Verrazano @ 4/1 e/w 1/4 1,2,3
2 lines at £12.56 per line
Total stake for this bet: £25.12
Potential returns: £87.92
No: O/23146337/0000474

Total stake: £25.12
Free bets voucher: £0.00
Total Cost: £25.12

3.05 bv

(25 e/w? i can take the place part off thread if you prefer)

 15:05 KOOL KOMPANY (EW) (Horse Racing Outright - Race) Odds: 10/1 Stake: 50.00 Possible Return:  362.50

1/4 1,2,3

[McGlashan]

the £25 betfair sportsbook free bet has to be used on the world cup

(somewhere in the small print!!)

Lukaku to score 2+ goals vs Algeria is 6-1, 5-1 best elsewhere.

happy to do this too, sorry our posts crossed

you think 5 or 6-1 is value if paying in hard cash?

No problem Tighty it was short notice and not a market I'd usually bet on.

Doobs would probably suggest a bet like yours or an established market like the WC outright.

[TightEnd]

william hill mobile

£25 each at evens

2.30 toronado

4.25 kingman

free bet if 2nd

[Doobs]

the £25 betfair sportsbook free bet has to be used on the world cup

(somewhere in the small print!!)

Lukaku to score 2+ goals vs Algeria is 6-1, 5-1 best elsewhere.

happy to do this too, sorry our posts crossed

you think 5 or 6-1 is value if paying in hard cash?

No problem Tighty it was short notice and not a market I'd usually bet on.

Doobs would probably suggest a bet like yours or an established market like the WC outright.

Yeh agree, don't think I'd bet on this market. 

Even if this World Cup suggests otherwise, scoring twice is still rare enough for an individual unless you are Messi.  Goal expectation for the whole match is less than 3.  I may be wrong, but it doesn't feel like a 6-0 game.  So to score 2, he is likely to have to score first.  That is 4/1 without him having to score a 2nd.  6 goals in 28 matches for Belgium.  Scored 2 goals once against Russia, though did it again in a friendly vs whipping boys Luxembourg.  I think he only did it twice in 31 games for Everton and 3 times in 35 for West Brom.  You can bet him not to score twice at 1/10, which feels closer to right.  I think I'd be happier laying the 6/1 than 4/1 to score first. 

Corals offer 5/2 on this, oh my.  That just looks obscene.