As i am not around most of the day
Tonight's NFL
In theory this is a tough spot for the KC Chiefs
On the road at a divisional rival 4 days after a huge effort in beating the superbowl champions
However that divisional rival is the winless Raiders
the Chiefs are 7 point road favourites
Andy Reid has transitioned the 2014 Chiefs to a run-dominated team.
KC are the No. 4 unit in rushing offense, No. 3 in yards per carry (4.75), and No. 7 in rushing attempts.
The Chiefs' run game has been dominant as a unit.
Since returning from his early-season high ankle sprain, Jamaal Charles has taken on four top-nine run defenses (NYJ, SEA, SF, BUF).
He's proceeded to kill them for 415 yards and four TDs on 70 carries (5.93 YPC).
Playing here on a short week, Oakland has allowed 335 yards and two touchdowns on 83 carries (4.04 YPC) to opposing running backs over their last three games.
You'll struggle to find a warmer favourite for first touchdown scorer all season than Jamaal Charles here, and the price should be around 3/1 not the 9/2 that is out there in places
http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-at-oakland-raiders/first-touchdown-scorerthis game has a 42.5-point over-under, the third lowest of Week 12.
Its a Tursday game, which can tend to lower scores (less time to game plan) but perhaps less so in divisional games where the teams know each other well
I would be strongly tempted by the over here though. A low quote, a consensus of a low scoring game gives the opportunity
last game these two played Alex Smith threw for 287 yards and five touchdowns on 17-of-20 passing. This is a quarterback who runs an extremely conservative game plan, rarely throwing downfield too far and Oakland are poor, and injury hit, in pass defense
anyway there are a couple of pointers
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