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horseplayer
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« Reply #255 on: April 01, 2012, 05:46:58 PM » |
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frustating day
musawama is either a bit soft in the head or being lined up for a bigger prize still, travelled like a dream under carberry until appearing to not really find a lot though still appeared to be on the bridle at the line, a confusing effort especially as the horse started clear favourite.
swilly ferry never got competitive either wasnt fit or is being saved for something else (ran on well at the end)
global village was well backed and got crucified 1 furlong out might not have won but if fallon is cruising 1 out he normally goes close, unfourtantley we are unlikely to get such a big price next time
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horseplayer
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« Reply #256 on: April 01, 2012, 07:00:50 PM » |
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a couple for tommorow in the same race that will be all
redcar 4.15
2pts win ABLE MASTER 10-1 william hill
1pt win ARRYS ORSE 10-1 BET365
two interesting trainer switches and two well handicapped horses, i am quite confident one of these will be punted but more importantly it would be nice to get a winner!
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horseplayer
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« Reply #257 on: April 02, 2012, 05:12:45 PM » |
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pretty frustating again
beat the price on both (again) able master ran on very at the end but either needs a little further or didnt get the run
i have my eye on one race at southwell tommorow but need to see prices first
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horseplayer
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« Reply #258 on: April 02, 2012, 06:24:04 PM » |
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just the two bets tommorow in a very tasty looking eway race (hopefully all 8 stand)
the 3.20 at southwell is a mix of old "favourites" and what drew me to this race is the fact carnac is the overnight favourite. This horse is a consistent type around the low 50's mark and is now at a career high mark of 60, this horse has failed to follow up a win before very quickly and is a very dubious favourite, i will be very surprised if this is fav tommorow. Med Sea is a grand old stick around but also finds herself from a mark of 75!! this sweet traveller normally excels in bossing very weak class 6 fields this isnt a lot stronger but whilst i see her running well i dont think she is a good thing.
THREE WHITE SOCKS 7-1 BET365 2PTS EWAY is a younger animal that runs southwell well, no great shakes by any means but should appreciate receiving weight against these and is fairly handicapped. SHIFTING GOLD 1pt EWAY 10-1 PADDY POWER runs southwell well pretty much always and is a rarity in this race is dropping in the handicap, timeform note is becoming temperamental im not so sure just think has been in to tough recently.
This race will make or break my week but i expect the market to look very different near the off with med sea around the 2-1 mark, carnac maybe as big as 4-1/9-2 and three white socks similar. If i think this i have to play on tonights prices
gd lk all
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bobby1
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« Reply #259 on: April 03, 2012, 03:24:32 PM » |
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You would have to go a long way to see a pre race analysis as good as that Horseplayer.
diff class mate.
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“The two most important days in your life are the day you are born and the day you find out why.”
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bobby1
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« Reply #260 on: April 03, 2012, 03:29:43 PM » |
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It's not only the 1st and 2nd but the reading of the market a day before it ran that is v impressive.
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« Last Edit: April 03, 2012, 03:55:34 PM by bobby1 »
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“The two most important days in your life are the day you are born and the day you find out why.”
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Marky147
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« Reply #261 on: April 03, 2012, 03:45:56 PM » |
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WP indeed m8 glad you got paid on both excellent work!!
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Eso Kral
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« Reply #262 on: April 03, 2012, 03:52:45 PM » |
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WP watched the race without a bean on and chuffed you got a result.
Great analysis!!
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Andrew Charles Blacklock - Lived for those he loved and those he loved remember.
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Karabiner
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« Reply #263 on: April 03, 2012, 03:53:11 PM » |
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Top work horsey.
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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millidonk
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« Reply #264 on: April 03, 2012, 03:54:48 PM » |
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Top work horsey.
First lot of your's that ive not backed in a while as well. Nice analysis. |
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Snowball
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« Reply #265 on: April 03, 2012, 04:06:53 PM » |
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It's not only the 1st and 2nd but the reading of the market a day before it ran that is v impressive.
He all but said med sea would finish 3rd to, would have been a nice tricast. |
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horseplayer
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« Reply #266 on: April 03, 2012, 07:10:38 PM » |
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firstly many many thanks for the kind comments today was the day the hard work finally paid of but its only one day and this game will bite you quick enough... two people have sent me messages saying how did i no which way the market would go, the answer is i did not it was to a degree an educated guess. As somebody pointed out on another day the two animals could have tailed off but luckily they do not pay out with a furlong to go....  tommorow looks a possible no bet day i have my eye on one race at lingfield for a small bet so may update in the morning thanks again |
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typhoon13
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« Reply #267 on: April 03, 2012, 07:22:24 PM » |
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Nice one
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horseplayer
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« Reply #268 on: April 04, 2012, 12:25:12 PM » |
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my main fancy today has shrunk in price by half this morning so no bet, unlikely to be any others but will obviously post if that changes
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horseplayer
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« Reply #269 on: April 04, 2012, 07:46:54 PM » |
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7.50 DUNDALK 1PT WIN LUISANT 8-1 BETFAIR
reasoning=
ran better than it looked on comeback at curragh in a very hot sprint on a day were nothing made all
has best draw here tonight
runs track fine
berry booked one of the best around here
very well handicapped
might get an easyish lead
gd lk if anybody follows
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