Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit

[Graham C]

Can you put DNB's in an acca?  Could make it more interesting.  I assume if you place a double and one is a draw with the other a win, then you get the single bet odds on the winning one.    I was thinking last night if this would be a shrewd move but can't work out if it could be plain stupid too!  Not saying we should do trebles or greater but a double with two DNB's could pay nice enough with the safety of coming out unscathed.

[millidonk]

Can you put DNB's in an acca?  Could make it more interesting.  I assume if you place a double and one is a draw with the other a win, then you get the single bet odds on the winning one.    I was thinking last night if this would be a shrewd move but can't work out if it could be plain stupid too!  Not saying we should do trebles or greater but a double with two DNB's could pay nice enough with the safety of coming out unscathed.

On normal sites you can, but BF is the abs worse. Their acca/multiple selections dramatically reduce the odds and increase their %.

I often put decent value DNBs in on my side Accas. Slippery slope though. I think as we blasted that outright double on Sunday we are getting ahead of ourselves. Singles way forward!

oh btw, Silo you are a massive degen!

[Graham C]

lol why?

PP are offering terrible odds on DNB's, Wombles 1.4's in his  write up are 1.3 on PP.  Perhaps PP watches the thread for tips.

Based on the write up, I may go for Hacken, I have to admit I prefer teams playing at home where possible.   

[superwomble]

Jeez Womble, the effort you put in with your stats in this thread is incred. I know I appreciate it and I hope others do as well. I have been told there are a couple of people who just pop in here and punt some of our selections off the fly anyway which makes me feel all warm inside as we have done pretty damn well imo.

Yea, Kiev I would be looking at -1 or something, Donetsk is a swerve at those prices, Vaslui have done us in before and Romanian footy is a bit shabby for me. Anderlecht 1/2 roll outright or full barrel on DNB looks like the winner to me, although I do really fancy them winning so could be tempted on full roll outright which his how I used to roll in the early days itt.

Cheers milligan, happy to put the work in when I can to help us out. Great if it helps others out too but they should really join us rather than staying anon!

[superwomble]

Have just noticed Anderlecht won the title with their last game. This could go either way then - they've been celebrating and don't care so much for this game as they've already won, or they want to go out on a high as champions and keep winning...

[millidonk]

Have just noticed Anderlecht won the title with their last game. This could go either way then - they've been celebrating and don't care so much for this game as they've already won, or they want to go out on a high as champions and keep winning...

Eurgh, I normally try and swerve these games. They might give some key players a rest etc. then anything can happen. Will have a little ponder.

[superwomble]

Yeah I agree, I'm tempted to go Hacken now.

[superwomble]

Morning Nits

Adrian Lewis £40 8/11 DNB potential return £69.09


Please don't say you could of got better odds with so and so, i am big time restricted to where i can go.

Also 13 miles from nearest bookie shop.

Just noticed this, GL tonight!

[Girgy85]

I can recomend backing Canterbury Bulldogs at home to Gold Coast Titans currently 1.36 on betfair. K.O 11:45am tomorrow.

[superwomble]

Hacken outright, and Andelecht or Vaslui DNB are about same odds. Hacken doesn't give us the safety net of the draw though. I think I'm leaning to one of the DNBs now...!

[Graham C]

Yeah me too, Vaslui have beat the Pandas last 3 times they played too.  Going to see if I can get 1.5 matched on the DNB for a few hours.  Will decide later on if it doesn't get matched.

[typhoon13]

I've had a look at the suggestions, here's what I reckon:

Kortrijk v Anderlecht - Anderlecht looks a very good tip here. They have won 4 of the last 6, losing once, and that was the only loss in the last 12. Kortrijk lost 4 of their last 6. Caveat though, they only lost 3 at home all season, 15 games. Anderlecht are 1.95 outright, 1.43 DNB.

Hacken v Gefle - Hacken also looks a good tip. Hacken have won 4, drawn 1, lost 2 this season, 2 wins and a loss at home. Gefle have lost 4, drawn 2, won 1, and one of each away. Hacken's GD is 16:8, Gefle's is 4:12. Hacken are 1.49 outright, 1.15 DNB.

Dynamo Kiev v Tavria - Another good pick. Kiev are unbeaten at home all season, 14 games, while Tavria have only won twice in the last 6 games. However, they have picked up a fair few wins on the road. Kiev's odds are only about 1.16 outright though.

Shakhtar Donetsk v Olexandria - Good shout again. Shaktar have won 8 in a row and are unbeaten in 13. At home they have won 12, lost 1 and drawn 1. olexandria have lost 7 of the last 11, winning 1 and drawing 4. Away they have lost 9, won 2 and drawn 3. Shaktar's odds though are only 1.04 outright.

Pandurii v FC Vaslui - Panduri have lost 5 of their last 12, winning 3. However, they have only lost 2 at home all season, 15 games. Their last 6 home games have seen 1 win and 5 draws. Vaslui have won 5 in a row, and 9 of the last 12, losing twice. Away they have won 9, lost 5 of 15 games. Their last 6 away games have seen 5 wins and 1 loss. As silo pointed put, Vaslui have the chance of Champions League football, and the title, so need to win games, while Pandurii have nothing to play for, being safe in mid-table. Vaslui are 1.96 outright, 1.4 DNB.

I agree that Helmond should be swerved today.

So it's between Anderlecht, Hacken and Vaslui. Shame the DNB odds are so low as they're much better bets for nits! I think Vaslui should be a DNB if we go for that because of the number of home draws Pandurii get. Maybe the same for Anderlecht. My first thought is a DNB for one of them.

Possibly EBN half roll bets for an outright on one of them though - odds are so close to evens.

First class effort, wd.

[superwomble]

Yeah me too, Vaslui have beat the Pandas last 3 times they played too.  Going to see if I can get 1.5 matched on the DNB for a few hours.  Will decide later on if it doesn't get matched.

How about this for a possible new option, along the lines of the EBN:

For a bet that's about evens, how about half on outright and half on DNB, as long as we can get a good DNB rate too?

For example, my bullet of £44. If I can get £22 on at 1.96, and £22 on at 1.4, a win gives me a profit of £29.62, and a draw saves me £22. The win odds are then in effect about 1.67.

[millidonk]

Yeah me too, Vaslui have beat the Pandas last 3 times they played too.  Going to see if I can get 1.5 matched on the DNB for a few hours.  Will decide later on if it doesn't get matched.

How about this for a possible new option, along the lines of the EBN:

For a bet that's about evens, how about half on outright and half on DNB, as long as we can get a good DNB rate too?

For example, my bullet of £44. If I can get £22 on at 1.96, and £22 on at 1.4, a win gives me a profit of £29.62, and a draw saves me £22. The win odds are then in effect about 1.67.

Thought whole point of EBN 1/2 roll was IF we lose we still have money left to punt instead of starting from scratch. The new way we have the draw covered but a loss is us busto competo! or am I beint too nitty?

[Graham C]

I'm not sure about that.  I have the idea on why I don't think it's correct in my head but am struggling to explain why.  I could well be wrong though.

The idea of the DNB is to get out should the bet not win.  If we're betting on both, why not just lay the other team instead?