Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit

[Graham C]

Great write ups Superwomble, good stuff yet again.

Clearly I can't stay away that long, but I am taking a more conservative approach.  Started with a lowly tenner and won some & lost some, but am taking my tenner back (matter of principle) and my current Betfair account stands at £9.92 of which I have £2.92 on the Kisa coup and £7.00 on Lillestrom DNB.   I also have £7 in my Skybet account which is on Tromso.  I doubt this will get high as Sky restrict me (thin) now and again and I may struggle to get it all on for the next bet.  When this happens I'll withdraw it and save it for a future attempt.  Maybe it's just certain markets though and we'll be ok for this.

Goal - dunno, but I have plenty of stuff that needs buying at the moment.  Probably no 1 on the list is some new pans that we need because we're having a new kitchen, which my betting clearly hasn't paid for!

Good luck all

[typhoon13]

Oh dear typhoon, did you miss this post?

Here's a tip. Look at my picks and lump on the ones I don't back. FML.

GL though!

No i did not miss the post.

Your tips on average have performed very well, they can't all win.

Rough with the Smooth etc.

[typhoon13]

Great write ups Superwomble, good stuff yet again.

Clearly I can't stay away that long, but I am taking a more conservative approach.  Started with a lowly tenner and won some & lost some, but am taking my tenner back (matter of principle) and my current Betfair account stands at £9.92 of which I have £2.92 on the Kisa coup and £7.00 on Lillestrom DNB.   I also have £7 in my Skybet account which is on Tromso.  I doubt this will get high as Sky restrict me (thin) now and again and I may struggle to get it all on for the next bet.  When this happens I'll withdraw it and save it for a future attempt.  Maybe it's just certain markets though and we'll be ok for this.

Goal - dunno, but I have plenty of stuff that needs buying at the moment.  Probably no 1 on the list is some new pans that we need because we're having a new kitchen, which my betting clearly hasn't paid for!

Good post Silo

All the best Sir

Good luck all

[superwomble]

Oh dear typhoon, did you miss this post?

Here's a tip. Look at my picks and lump on the ones I don't back. FML.

GL though!

No i did not miss the post.

Your tips on average have performed very well, they can't all win.

Rough with the Smooth etc.

Cheers for the morale boost typhoon. Prompted me to do a quick analysis of my picks.

I've posted 56 suggestions (includes some where I've posted prices both for outright and DNB). Of those I've had:

35 wins (62.5%).

18 losers (32%).

2 DNBs saved by draw.

Not a bad win percentage but of course with our method it only takes one loser to destroy our roll.

Average odds of my tips (obviously skewed a bit by the DNB inclusions, but worth it as an example) is 1.77.

£20 bullet on each of my tips instead of whole roll would have given a profit of £179 (£539 wins - £360 losers). As it is I currently have a profit of £107, so not majorly different.

However, I have bet on 29 of my tips, with 15 winners, 12 losers, 2 DNB savers.

26 I didn't bet on. 19 wins, 6 losers. 1 match abandoned.

So I do do a lot better with the ones I don't back!

[typhoon13]

Oh dear typhoon, did you miss this post?

Here's a tip. Look at my picks and lump on the ones I don't back. FML.

GL though!

No i did not miss the post.

Your tips on average have performed very well, they can't all win.

Rough with the Smooth etc.

Cheers for the morale boost typhoon. Prompted me to do a quick analysis of my picks.

I've posted 56 suggestions (includes some where I've posted prices both for outright and DNB). Of those I've had:

35 wins (62.5%).

18 losers (32%).

2 DNBs saved by draw.

Not a bad win percentage but of course with our method it only takes one loser to destroy our roll.

Average odds of my tips (obviously skewed a bit by the DNB inclusions, but worth it as an example) is 1.77.

£20 bullet on each of my tips instead of whole roll would have given a profit of £179 (£539 wins - £360 losers). As it is I currently have a profit of £107, so not majorly different.

However, I have bet on 29 of my tips, with 15 winners, 12 losers, 2 DNB savers.

26 I didn't bet on. 19 wins, 6 losers. 1 match abandoned.

So I do do a lot better with the ones I don't back!

Excellent stats those womble.

62.5% strike rate awesome

Well done

[millidonk]

Just got the quote for the guy's car I hit on Sunday.. £350, I thought my excess was £250 but it turns out its £250 voluntary + £250 compulsary. Give me a break! plus i still need money for blondebash, so have like a week to spinup £750. Fair to say I will be practicing some aggressive BRM.

[typhoon13]

Just got the quote for the guy's car I hit on Sunday.. £350, I thought my excess was £250 but it turns out its £250 voluntary + £250 compulsary. Give me a break! plus i still need money for blondebash, so have like a week to spinup £750. Fair to say I will be practicing some aggressive BRM.

Ouch

GL Spinninggggggg

[superwomble]

25 minutes in, Stabaek who haven't scored at home all season are 4-1 up. 4 EFFING 1!!!!

FML.

[Rubbish2407]

Going with the Tromso bet and have had £22 at 1.63. Good luck all.

[typhoon13]

£20 tromso 1.6

Trying to take a little cover on my double bet.

[Graham C]

25 minutes in, Stabaek who haven't scored at home all season are 4-1 up. 4 EFFING 1!!!!

FML.

Quite amazing, 5goals in 19 mins must have been exciting

On the plus side, kisa are winning

[superwomble]

Well Lillestrom was a disaster, but pleased with the Kisa spot

[Rubbish2407]

Tromso won so £35 on next bet. Got a good feeling about this one.

[Girgy85]

Could be worse could of been nipped by a short head for 600notes

[superwomble]

Think I need to start backing the ones I don't choose...!

Glad some of you got on Kisa and Tromso though. I did have small bets on them so made up for the bullet going tits on Lillestrom.