Buying sh!t - Way of the Nit

[Rubbish2407]

I've just logged into my Betdaq account for the first time since 2008

I'm going to deposit a tenner and just try to spin it up on bets over a year. There's normally one or two stand out prices which are totally out of line or someone posts up some news which isn't in the public realm.

Lets see how far we can go.

[typhoon13]

Sheffield United v Notts County
Sheffield United

Odds: 21/20
Stake: 20.00
Possible Return:  41.00

[superwomble]

400 pages - congrats to everyone at Team MilliNit.

 

[superwomble]

GL guys tonight. Glad the footy is back, looking forward to getting stuck in again!

Any news on the new system Milli?

[millidonk]

GL guys tonight. Glad the footy is back, looking forward to getting stuck in again!

Any news on the new system Milli?

it truly is horrific, not at all nitty, but saying that I've had 5 step and am actually in profit.. said I was going to stop punting but I think I will have £20 a week til I stop getting paid my wages (Nov 2nd). Then it's tighten belt time. Once I'm at my lappy I will post a spread which details the "DAD"  system.

[typhoon13]

Simon, Niccccce chip stack, good luck sunday Sir

[Rubbish2407]

I've just logged into my Betdaq account for the first time since 2008

I'm going to deposit a tenner and just try to spin it up on bets over a year. There's normally one or two stand out prices which are totally out of line or someone posts up some news which isn't in the public realm.

Lets see how far we can go.

Not sure if this bet really fits the above criteria but Red has made a good case for Kalmar in the Swedish Premier. Their opponents are dire and missing players so I've gone the nitty route and had my tenner on the win at 1.55.

[superwomble]

That's proper WOTN, GL!

[horseplayer]

morning nitsters

below is a list of players i think could be worth looking out for in the early weeks of the championship. Most are new signings i hope are overpriced in the scoring markets, i have not checked the prices yet and once team news is out i will finalise 4 for a "fun" eway yankee or something

Jean-Yves Mvoto barnsley scored fairly well at oldham for a centre back
Matt Kilgallon blackburn scored more in past if he plays worth watching
brdicutt brighton have been told been instructed to go forward more this season
e ward and surman bournemouth ward fairly good for c back, surman good ratio
mark duffy doncaster good ratio for a centre back
Gary MacKenzie blackpool 2 in 7 on loan last season at blackpool main threat set pieces
drenthe reading risky but should have enough class in the championship
Whitehead middelsborough went dry at Stoke but should find more opportunity to get forward in this league
Jacques Maghoma sheff wednesday prolific last season with burton
leon barnett wigan notches the odd goal from set pieces (only one firm quoting 28-1 no thanks)
shane ferguson birmingham scored a direct free kick last season when on loan, back again should be on them all at least to start with
Djamel Abdoun forest pens? 10 in 50 for olympiacos possible penalty taker if starting

[horseplayer]

Getting the shortlist shorter

Yes (if starting)/ Maybe's
Jean-Yves Mvoto barnsley scored fairly well at oldham for a centre back 50-1 best +
bridcutt brighton have been told been instructed to go forward more this season 25-1 general ok
Gary MacKenzie blackpool 2 in 7 on loan last season at blackpool main threat set pieces 33-1 general ok
drenthe reading risky but should have enough class in the championship general price ok 14-1 skybet to big
Whitehead middelsborough went dry at Stoke but should find more opportunity to get forward in this league 25-1 best playable at that
shane ferguson birmingham scored a direct free kick last season when on loan, back again should be on them all at least to start with 18-1 best ok no more
e ward bournemouth 40-1 fair
A Surman 12-1 fair


No


Jacques Maghoma sheff wednesday prolific last season with burton no appeal at 14-1 in a game were big underdog
leon barnett wigan notches the odd goal from set pieces (only one firm quoting 28-1 no thanks)
Djamel Abdoun forest pens? 10 in 50 for olympiacos possible penalty taker if starting not been missed by market
mark duffy doncaster good ratio for a centre back 20-1 best not been missed discount



Sunday

Matt Kilgallon blackburn scored more in past if he plays worth watching 50-1 best ok at that sunday live game bigger on betfair if playing

[TightEnd]

can I add one please?

Ritchie De Laet Leicester

formation has switched to 3-5-2 and he bombs forward from right wing back

in pre-season he has often been furthest man forward, especially on the counter in away games, as he has great pace

will be priced as a full back, from where he scored a few last season

[horseplayer]

yes please tighty

a fellow leicester fan who is a good punter advised me de laet a fair few times last season

interesting

plenty of 50-1 about

[horseplayer]

Getting the shortlist shorter

Yes (if starting)/ Maybe's
Jean-Yves Mvoto barnsley scored fairly well at oldham for a centre back 50-1 best +
bridcutt brighton have been told been instructed to go forward more this season 25-1 general ok
Gary MacKenzie blackpool 2 in 7 on loan last season at blackpool main threat set pieces 33-1 general ok
drenthe reading risky but should have enough class in the championship general price ok 14-1 skybet to big
Whitehead middelsborough went dry at Stoke but should find more opportunity to get forward in this league 25-1 best playable at that
e ward bournemouth 40-1 fair



No

A Surman 12-1 fair ON BENCH
Jacques Maghoma sheff wednesday prolific last season with burton no appeal at 14-1 in a game were big underdog ON BENCH
leon barnett wigan notches the odd goal from set pieces (only one firm quoting 28-1 no thanks)
Djamel Abdoun forest pens? 10 in 50 for olympiacos possible penalty taker if starting not been missed by market
mark duffy doncaster good ratio for a centre back 20-1 best not been missed discount
shane ferguson birmingham scored a direct free kick last season when on loan, back again should be on them all at least to start with 18-1 best, discarded playing left back not left midfield



Sunday

Matt Kilgallon blackburn scored more in past if he plays worth watching 50-1 best ok at that sunday live game bigger on betfair if playing



Saturday bets all first

Dean Whitehead mboro 25-1 bet365 eway unlimited first goalscorer

Elliot Ward bournemouth 40-1

Jean-Yves Mvoto barnsley 50-1

Gary MacKenzie blackpool 33-1

Drenthe Reading 14-1 and 2+ at 40-1

Bridcutt 25-1

[horseplayer]

and the same players in anytime trebles and + with hills

Elliott Ward @ 16/1
03 Aug 2013 - Reading v Ipswich - Anytime Goalscorer
Tip It
Royston Drenthe @ 4/1
03 Aug 2013 - Middlesbrough v Leicester - Anytime Goalscorer
Tip It
Dean Whitehead @ 11/2
03 Aug 2013 - Doncaster v Blackpool - Anytime Goalscorer
Tip It
Gary MacKenzie @ 12/1
03 Aug 2013 - Barnsley v Wigan - Anytime Goalscorer
Tip It
Jean-Yves M'voto @ 16/1
03 Aug 2013 - Leeds v Brighton - Anytime Goalscorer
Tip It
Liam Bridcutt @ 7/1

[millidonk]

Oioiiii Horsie. Some great stuff in there. Love the goalscorer markets. Keep it coming plz, sure everyone on here appreciates your input. 

Watched Stevie G's testimonial then went out with the fam. Didn't have a single bet on opening day. Crazy stuff.


New "system", name isn't firmly in place but as a corporate nod to our sponsor I have provisionally gone for DTD (Doubles to Dough)

The numbers:



The rules:

£10 starting, Max 5 attempts per month
Bank half of every win straight away
Bank your whole roll on the final day of the month and start again at £10 or withdraw if you have 10 successful bets, whichever comes first..
Initial plan was to find 2 selections for a double slightly bigger than 2/1, but no harm in making them singles if we see a good price.


The selections for today:

Click to see full-size image.