Thoughts

[TL900]

Might get slated for this hand but post it anyway

Pre is bad from me I got put off 3 to 5 by OR's 18/14 20% fold to 3b 0% 4b (10 instances) over 300 hands but i should just fold or 3/5

As played, river?

PokerStars Hand #88717671766: Tournament #654020025, $100+$9 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level X (150/300) - 2012/11/04 15:40:15 WET [2012/11/04 10:40:15 ET]
Table '654020025 86' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: Broose51 (12796 in chips)
Seat 2: GraveDanger3 (1765 in chips)
Seat 3: -t1me2sh1ne- (5090 in chips)
Seat 4: Mt.Spewmore (11893 in chips)
Seat 5: Mortan23 (10639 in chips)
Seat 6: damn1229 (16464 in chips)
Seat 7: Tim Piper (12763 in chips)
Seat 8: portillo23 (7995 in chips)
Seat 9: lubos1980cz (7708 in chips)
Broose51: posts the ante 30
GraveDanger3: posts the ante 30
-t1me2sh1ne-: posts the ante 30
Mt.Spewmore: posts the ante 30
Mortan23: posts the ante 30
damn1229: posts the ante 30
Tim Piper: posts the ante 30
portillo23: posts the ante 30
lubos1980cz: posts the ante 30
Mt.Spewmore: posts small blind 150
Mortan23: posts big blind 300
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Mt.Spewmore [ ]
damn1229: folds
Tim Piper: folds
portillo23: folds
lubos1980cz: folds
Broose51: raises 318 to 618
GraveDanger3: folds
-t1me2sh1ne-: folds
Mt.Spewmore: calls 468
Mortan23: calls 318
*** FLOP *** [ ]
Mt.Spewmore: checks
Mortan23: checks
Broose51: bets 615
Mt.Spewmore: calls 615
Mortan23: calls 615
*** TURN *** [ ] []
Mt.Spewmore: checks
Mortan23: checks
Broose51: checks
*** RIVER *** [ ] []
Mt.Spewmore: bets 1725
Mortan23: raises 7651 to 9376 and is all-in
Broose51: folds
Mt.Spewmore: folds

bb is a reg playing 15/11 over 700

[LonOhRay]

[youthnkzR]

really dislike the fold otr, seems hes gonna have Q10 there alot

[Pugwashed]

really dislike the fold otr, seems hes gonna have Q10 there alot

Seems like he's gonna have QT like never. (It was BB who overcalled the flop that shoved in case you misread it)

He isn't bluffing and only shoving 22/99/JJ for value. Fold seems fine.

[youthnkzR]

really dislike the fold otr, seems hes gonna have Q10 there alot

Seems like he'd gonna have QT like never. (It was BB who overcalled the flop that shoved in case you misread it)

He isn't bluffing and only shoving 22/99/JJ for value. Fold seems fine.

Apologies, i did misread!

agree this is never a bluff and we dont really have a hand which beats much which isnt bluffing!!!

very good fold!

[muckthenuts]

Do regs get ool by t300 these days? Folding perfectly reasonable to me assuming he's gonna be straightforward and without a read he's capable of getting way ool here.

[pleno1]

trivial.

[skolsuper]

You have not been slated enough itt.

[aaron1867]

Surely you are putting him on JJ?

[action man]

i mean, if bb is bad he could have some suited deuces and play them this way maybe, dislike thoughts of 3/5 pre and think preflop is perfect. Most likely holding is 99 but if i dont know the villian there is no way i can fold here. Seeing him flip 28/29/J2ss wouldnt surprise me in the slightest, also some random take off, if i know villain or had time to OPR and he was a winner who wouldnt flick those type of hands in then id probably make the fold.

[snoopy1239]

Would have thought J-9 is a big possibility here, maybe A-2 too.

[pleno1]

id say he has j9 less than 1 in 1000 times and a2 less than 1 in 351 times.

[snoopy1239]

id say he has j9 less than 1 in 1000 times and a2 less than 1 in 351 times.

Why do you think it's unlikely he has J-9?

[mondatoo]

id say he has j9 less than 1 in 1000 times and a2 less than 1 in 351 times.

Why do you think it's unlikely he has J-9?

Would expect him to just call river.

What worse would he be hoping will call when he jams ?

I'm assuming you don't expect him to turn J9 into a bluff ever.

[Junior Senior]

He has 22. Took a few reads of the HH to piece it together as initially thought it was a snap fist pump call.  He could have JJ but expect a squeeze pre with that. Could have 99. The only hand he has you beat is Q10 but cant see him jamming river with that.