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Author Topic: Darts Betting and discussion  (Read 488516 times)
TheChipPrince
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« Reply #810 on: February 07, 2013, 11:05:01 AM »

So,

In last years Prem League, with the 7 players who are in this years (Not inc VG, Newton & Thornton) there was:

Legs: 1210
180's: 321

So the average was a 1 player hitting a 180 every 3.77 legs he played

With 2 players in each leg there was a 180 every 1.89 legs.



In this years World Champs the 10 players played:

Legs: 1051
180's: 264

So the average was a 1 player hitting a 180 every 3.98 legs he played

With 2 players in each leg there was a 180 every 1.99 legs.


So basically a 180 every other leg.


In the Prem League tonight there are 5 fixtures, each can have a maximum of 12 legs, or the min would be 5x 7-0.

So:

MAX LEGS POSSIBLE:  60
MIN LEGS POSSIBLE:  35



Basing the World aves on the max number of legs possible we would see 30 180's, but realistically we will see around 52-54 legs, assuming each game is likely to be 7-4, 7-5, 6-6 etc.

50 LEGS EXPECTS 25 180's
52 LEGS EXPECTS 26 180'S   etc etc


Based on this I've had a pretty chunky week 1 bet on:

Under 30.5 180's @ 10/11


GL all.
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TheChipPrince
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« Reply #811 on: February 07, 2013, 11:08:16 AM »

And outright most 180 bets on:

Lewis 13/2 - Consistant in both the above tables, if he qualifies for the finals night (he's about a 45% chance to do so) then he should be right up there.
Anderson 11/2 - Erractic as we know, very strange he had the worst 180's per leg average last year, but then had the best ave in the worlds just gone, cant turn down 11/2.


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TheChipPrince
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« Reply #812 on: February 07, 2013, 11:09:53 AM »

Also like Thornton but he's only about a 22% chance to qualify for finals night so just looking through the handicap market laddies have now.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #813 on: February 07, 2013, 11:15:30 AM »

So,

In last years Prem League, with the 7 players who are in this years (Not inc VG, Newton & Thornton) there was:

Legs: 1210
180's: 321

So the average was a 1 player hitting a 180 every 3.77 legs he played

With 2 players in each leg there was a 180 every 1.89 legs.



In this years World Champs the 10 players played:

Legs: 1051
180's: 264

So the average was a 1 player hitting a 180 every 3.98 legs he played

With 2 players in each leg there was a 180 every 1.99 legs.


So basically a 180 every other leg.


In the Prem League tonight there are 5 fixtures, each can have a maximum of 12 legs, or the min would be 5x 7-0.

So:

MAX LEGS POSSIBLE:  60
MIN LEGS POSSIBLE:  35



Basing the World aves on the max number of legs possible we would see 30 180's, but realistically we will see around 52-54 legs, assuming each game is likely to be 7-4, 7-5, 6-6 etc.

50 LEGS EXPECTS 25 180's
52 LEGS EXPECTS 26 180'S   etc etc


Based on this I've had a pretty chunky week 1 bet on:

Under 30.5 180's @ 10/11


GL all.

can this go on Tips4tikay please?

I'll put it on there for you, just say yeah or no
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TheChipPrince
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« Reply #814 on: February 07, 2013, 11:16:27 AM »

No problem
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tikay
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« Reply #815 on: February 07, 2013, 11:17:59 AM »

So,

In last years Prem League, with the 7 players who are in this years (Not inc VG, Newton & Thornton) there was:

Legs: 1210
180's: 321

So the average was a 1 player hitting a 180 every 3.77 legs he played

With 2 players in each leg there was a 180 every 1.89 legs.



In this years World Champs the 10 players played:

Legs: 1051
180's: 264

So the average was a 1 player hitting a 180 every 3.98 legs he played

With 2 players in each leg there was a 180 every 1.99 legs.


So basically a 180 every other leg.


In the Prem League tonight there are 5 fixtures, each can have a maximum of 12 legs, or the min would be 5x 7-0.

So:

MAX LEGS POSSIBLE:  60
MIN LEGS POSSIBLE:  35



Basing the World aves on the max number of legs possible we would see 30 180's, but realistically we will see around 52-54 legs, assuming each game is likely to be 7-4, 7-5, 6-6 etc.

50 LEGS EXPECTS 25 180's
52 LEGS EXPECTS 26 180'S   etc etc


Based on this I've had a pretty chunky week 1 bet on:

Under 30.5 180's @ 10/11


GL all.

Just one question Dwayne - where did you get that price, please? I can't see it.


http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/premier-league-weekly-specials/total-180s
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« Reply #816 on: February 07, 2013, 11:34:03 AM »

Think last of the price might have been on betfred when i checked earlier.

I'm on unders every match apart from barney v anderson and have a lolz canadian on the draws. 1 time..

Waiting for my darts correspondant to txt through my main bets..



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tikay
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« Reply #817 on: February 07, 2013, 11:37:44 AM »

Think last of the price might have been on betfred when i checked earlier.

I'm on unders every match apart from barney v anderson and have a lolz canadian on the draws. 1 time..

Waiting for my darts correspondant to txt through my main bets..





Thanks Milli.

Oddschecker are not showing any BetFred prices on that, but I went to BetFred & they still have it, Under 30.5 x 180 @ 10/11.
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TheChipPrince
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« Reply #818 on: February 07, 2013, 11:42:35 AM »

Yeah, most others u/o 28.5, so some value for sure
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« Reply #819 on: February 07, 2013, 11:44:11 AM »

Think last of the price might have been on betfred when i checked earlier.

I'm on unders every match apart from barney v anderson and have a lolz canadian on the draws. 1 time..

Waiting for my darts correspondant to txt through my main bets..





Thanks Milli.

Oddschecker are not showing any BetFred prices on that, but I went to BetFred & they still have it, Under 30.5 x 180 @ 10/11.

Nps, now its time to jump on sir.
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tikay
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« Reply #820 on: February 07, 2013, 11:48:09 AM »

Think last of the price might have been on betfred when i checked earlier.

I'm on unders every match apart from barney v anderson and have a lolz canadian on the draws. 1 time..

Waiting for my darts correspondant to txt through my main bets..





Thanks Milli.

Oddschecker are not showing any BetFred prices on that, but I went to BetFred & they still have it, Under 30.5 x 180 @ 10/11.

Nps, now its time to jump on sir.

I am on! If it appears on TfT, as I hope it will, I'll Post the bet immediately.
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« Reply #821 on: February 07, 2013, 12:05:43 PM »

Great analysis, I'm on.

Good luck us.
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« Reply #822 on: February 07, 2013, 05:23:26 PM »

I like the look of Wade tonight against Newton.
Wades bird is on.twitter saying he's been practising more tgan ever and will this being Newtons pld debut he's bound to be nervous.
13/10 to win or 5/6 dnb, might side with dnb because of the shortened format.
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« Reply #823 on: February 07, 2013, 09:25:32 PM »

Anderson is a shadow of the player he was when he made the world final.

Could easily be in the bottom 2.
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« Reply #824 on: February 07, 2013, 09:43:58 PM »

Anderson is a shadow of the player he was when he made the world final.

Could easily be in the bottom 2.

He's one of those players/sportsmen who relies on a good mental state and, when it's not going well, he can be awfully fragile.
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