kinboshi
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« Reply #75 on: April 05, 2013, 03:45:44 PM » |
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Top work Stuart. Now let's win please 
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'The meme for blind faith secures its own perpetuation by the simple unconscious expedient of discouraging rational inquiry.'
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Graham C
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« Reply #76 on: April 05, 2013, 03:49:10 PM » |
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Top work Stuart. Now let's win please  This, I could do with retiring next week if possible.
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tikay
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« Reply #77 on: April 05, 2013, 03:51:16 PM » |
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Stu,
If it helps, I can make the selections for you using my Aintree Tipster algorithm.
Just say the word.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
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Leatherman
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« Reply #78 on: April 05, 2013, 04:00:53 PM » |
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Top work Stuart. Now let's win please 
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Satellite King
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millidonk
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« Reply #79 on: April 05, 2013, 04:04:00 PM » |
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By my maths I have 1.83% of investment. $8 mill bink is like $146k that doesn't look right in ink but gogogogogo.
When we win I suggest we do a blonde trip to Gulfstream Park.
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booder
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« Reply #80 on: April 05, 2013, 04:20:39 PM » |
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When we win I suggest we do a blonde trip to Gulfstream Park.
This.
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Quote from: action man im not speculating, either, but id have been pretty peeved if i missed the thread and i ended up getting clipped, kindly accepting a lift home.
In the end, we will remember not the words of our enemies, but the silence of our friends. Martin Luther King Jr
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FUN4FRASER
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« Reply #81 on: April 05, 2013, 04:37:33 PM » |
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Good work Stu.... hey just noticed that horsey said " Hes Hollywood " too  PS we should have more of these joint sweats on UK jackpots and similar other things .
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MereNovice
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« Reply #82 on: April 05, 2013, 04:43:12 PM » |
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Top work Stuart. Now let's win please 
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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redarmi
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« Reply #83 on: April 05, 2013, 05:01:02 PM » |
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Okay guys this is the proposed permutation:
Race 8 - 2/3/6/7/8/10/11 Race 9 - 2/4/6/8/9/11 Race 10 - 3/4/5/10/12 Race 11 - 3/4/5/7/10 Race 12 - 1/2/3/4/9 Race 13 - 2/4/5/7/12/
So that is 7*6*5*5*5*5 which is 26250 lines at a total cost of $2625. This makes my share $195.
On that basis the shares (rounded so not exact) are as follows:
Karabiner - 3.81% Tikay -3.81% rfgqqabc - 1.9% Bobby1 - 11.43% Sharplea - 1.14% Bobalike - 3.81% Horsey - 1.52% TheDazzler - 3.81% Big D - 3.81% Byron Kincaid - 1.90% Booder - 1.14% Silo - 1.14% Kinboshi - 3.81% MahoganyVic - 7.61% EdGas - 7.61% marky147 - 11.43% Merenovice - 3.81% Fraser - 5.71% Leatherman - 3.81% Millidonk - 1.90%
Just a quick work on this to manage expectations. Although the pool will likely reach close to $8m today there is very unlikely to be a single winner and with our permutation there will probably be multiple winners if we win. In reality whilst we have a chance of a very good score the likeliest result is winning between our investment back (or less) if all the jollys won and something like 10-15x if we got a couple of double priced winners home. Of course there is a chance we hit the jackpot. By my back of envelope calculations we have a roughly 14% chance of winning it all and usually in these cases the best EV is all at the front of the market. Anyway I will get it on in the next couple of hours and GL us!!!!
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typhoon13
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« Reply #84 on: April 05, 2013, 05:02:52 PM » |
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Good Luck with this Gents
I wish you all the very best
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bobby1
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« Reply #85 on: April 05, 2013, 05:07:20 PM » |
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nice work Red, good luck guys.
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“The two most important days in your life are the day you are born and the day you find out why.”
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Leatherman
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« Reply #86 on: April 05, 2013, 05:08:47 PM » |
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Thanks for putting this together no matter what the outcome.. 
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Satellite King
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bobAlike
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« Reply #87 on: April 05, 2013, 05:12:34 PM » |
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Thanks for putting this together no matter what the outcome.. 
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Ah! The element of surprise
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Big_D
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« Reply #88 on: April 05, 2013, 05:13:51 PM » |
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Thanks for putting this together no matter what the outcome.. 
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Ship It!
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millidonk
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« Reply #89 on: April 05, 2013, 05:17:49 PM » |
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Thanks for putting this together if we win..  FYPs
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