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Poker Hand Analysis
Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
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Topic: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm (Read 3205 times)
TheFruitbat
Jr. Member
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Posts: 58
Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
on:
April 29, 2013, 02:46:02 AM »
50 euro weekly main event on winamax, NO reads on villain at all as basically just moved to this table and been there 1 orbit, <25 hands on him in total too so that information is irrelevant anyway.
Hero 108,833 @ 1250/2500/320... Villain 1 is BB and has 86,857
I open button to 5k with
, villain 2 (sb) playing ~140k peels and villain 1 peels the BB.
Flop -
... check/check/check
Turn -
... check/8999/call/villain 2 folds
River -
... Villain ALL IN for 72,858....
Hero?
«
Last Edit: April 29, 2013, 02:53:15 AM by TheFruitbat
»
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WotRTheChances
MinRaiseFTW, WotRTheChances, Quelles_Sont
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1012
#Team_Eureka
Re: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
Reply #1 on:
April 29, 2013, 03:05:30 AM »
Fold. It's 2x pot on river right? People are just so polarised here (esp on Winamax) and basically just always have it. Assume villain just has A7/K7/87/77 all the time here. Seems pretty heroic to call it off. You can still have all of those hands in your range too, obviously not AA/KK/88, but it seems pretty out there to think the guy would 2x pot shove here as a bluff... and all we have is an air-ball catcher.
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aaron1867
Hero Member
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Posts: 3386
Re: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
Reply #2 on:
April 29, 2013, 03:05:42 AM »
Doesn't seem that interesting or trivial, folding this every day of week
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Yian
Sr. Member
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Posts: 411
Re: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
Reply #3 on:
April 29, 2013, 04:33:29 AM »
Can't see this ever being a bluff and there's definitely no value range you beat.
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PeeJay
Full Member
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Posts: 218
Re: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
Reply #4 on:
April 29, 2013, 05:21:39 AM »
I generally don't fold on winamax because they're all so French but think this might be a spot to fold, he's given you every chance to find the fold anyway. I mean, what's he really bluffing with in reality? He could be frogging about some of the time but think its rare and would fold here a lot of the time, people don't over bet bluff enough in general tbh and is almost always weighted towards value hands.
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JGill_DTD
Hero Member
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Posts: 2404
Re: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
Reply #5 on:
April 29, 2013, 01:20:14 PM »
Agree with the above.
Could have boated the river and is jamming for value, praying someone has found the
, or maybe even has the
hoping to be called off with a hand similar to yours...
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Quote from: tomsom87 on January 10, 2014, 11:38:15 PM
Arise Sir Gill, The Oracle.
cambridgealex
Hero Member
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Posts: 14799
#lovethegame
Re: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
Reply #6 on:
April 29, 2013, 01:50:59 PM »
It is weird though because his bet on the turn is saying he has a flush, and is unlikely to be a set/two pair, whereas on the river he's saying he has a boat. Very strange jam if he has the
.
Either way it's like, lol ok, you win, nh.
Not saying this is in villains mind at all, but we don't have a hand in our range that calls this river jam ever. Except quads I guess.
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cambridgealex
Hero Member
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Posts: 14799
#lovethegame
Re: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
Reply #7 on:
April 29, 2013, 01:51:32 PM »
thoughts on cbetting flop?
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TheFruitbat
Jr. Member
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Posts: 58
Re: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
Reply #8 on:
April 29, 2013, 02:30:50 PM »
Ty for the responses. My thought process was exactly the same as you guys, which brought me to the FOLD. However, saying this I'm snapping off anything up to like 1.2x pot OTR.. (where I can still beat an oddly sized value range) but 2x pot (and ALL IN) was just like meh, fold. Saying that as well, in my head my thought process actually highlighted Alex's point of, if the villain is on the ball he will realize there is only tiny combo of hands I can actually call this bet with, so can just pile and win the pot LOTS.
So I guess it is kind of a trivial spot but when the Villain actually shows
, after I've excruciatingly wasted by full time bank then folded, it's kind of emotionally crippling and I felt violated. At least until I coolered someone hard and doubled back 10 mins later. Then I was fine.
I think I'm just always checking back the flop (unless certain reads gained) vs 2 players and these stack sizes here. If I get check raised I'm going to have to fold, which would suck balls. People (whales) love check bombing when they hit an Ace on the flop in these kind of spots too. You think c-betting would be better dude?
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pleno1
Hero Member
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Posts: 18912
Re: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
Reply #9 on:
April 29, 2013, 03:09:18 PM »
dont really see how we can fold here vs the sizings, his, especially europeans wont go for thin value with 2 pair like this on the turn, especially not this sizine and on the river will not value bet nut flushes like this.
wtf/call?
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
TheFruitbat
Jr. Member
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Posts: 58
Re: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
Reply #10 on:
April 29, 2013, 04:15:55 PM »
He won't value bet small flushes like this of course but he could easily value shove the
, knowing I can't really have a better hand, only 77 really. Easy for villain to shove a house too expecting to get a stubborn call from
,
,
. 90% of players have probably never 2x pot shoved as a bluff OTR in their entire career too? I don't think I have lol.
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pleno1
Hero Member
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Posts: 18912
Re: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
Reply #11 on:
April 29, 2013, 04:29:43 PM »
pretty sure he never bets qh like this otr.
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
TL900
Hero Member
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Posts: 2418
Re: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
Reply #12 on:
April 29, 2013, 07:16:10 PM »
trivial fold imo
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@MtSpewmore
Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
Yian
Sr. Member
Offline
Posts: 411
Re: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
Reply #13 on:
April 29, 2013, 07:25:09 PM »
Quote from: pleno1 on April 29, 2013, 04:29:43 PM
pretty sure he never bets qh like this otr.
I'm sure there's plenty of French fish that'll over value a nut flush even on a paired board. But I suppose not many of them will over bet still.
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pleno1
Hero Member
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Posts: 18912
Re: Interesting river spot with no reads...hmmmmm
«
Reply #14 on:
April 29, 2013, 07:28:42 PM »
Quote from: TL900 on April 29, 2013, 07:16:10 PM
trivial fold imo
Langley confirmed nit!
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
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