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Dubai
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« Reply #30 on: June 14, 2013, 07:15:52 PM » |
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That doesn't make it a good bet. Every bet posted in this thread are all horrendous value, some worse than others. Wasicka probably the least bad one
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Dubai
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« Reply #31 on: June 14, 2013, 07:18:00 PM » |
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Didn't see all the ladbrokes ones. They are closest to true prices but still obviously too skinny
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The Camel
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« Reply #32 on: June 14, 2013, 07:35:23 PM » |
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1000/1 Bonomo?
I'd have to have alot of money to compensate that tosser winning, but it isn't terrible.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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theprawnidentity
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« Reply #33 on: June 14, 2013, 08:01:53 PM » |
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Odds are just hillariously bad. Even if you had a 300% expected ROI you would still be needing 2500/1 or so to be about even. The mark up on 400/1 is just...... wow.
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titaniumbean
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« Reply #34 on: June 15, 2013, 01:39:40 PM » |
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it's even funnier if you compare player quality at each of the odds levels.
SHANE WARNE = JOHN EAMES BABY ahahahah
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ArtHound
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« Reply #35 on: June 15, 2013, 01:43:28 PM » |
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Andras Koroknai - 100/1.
LOL Sky.
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AndrewT
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« Reply #36 on: June 15, 2013, 03:49:24 PM » |
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1 - Get quoted at lol odds by 'bookmaker'
2 - Start staking thread using lol odds as justification for selling at 7.0 ('Ladbrokes are pretty shrewd and that's what they say I'm worth')
3 - Profit
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AndrewT
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« Reply #37 on: June 15, 2013, 03:50:47 PM » |
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it's even funnier if you compare player quality at each of the odds levels.
SHANE WARNE = JOHN EAMES BABY ahahahah
As good at poker as John Eames and shagging Liz Hurley - what a life Warney has. |
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The Squid
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« Reply #38 on: June 16, 2013, 04:15:47 AM » |
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Are these real odds or some kinda gimmick? Vaswani same price as Merson? Roland de Wolfe and Vanessa same price? This cant be real.
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SuuPRlim
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« Reply #39 on: June 16, 2013, 02:59:55 PM » |
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bookmakers have no idea how to price up this market so go ultra tight on the book, only way to avoid some sharks spotting huge mistakes and printing them
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SuuPRlim
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« Reply #40 on: June 16, 2013, 03:00:52 PM » |
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LOL at Blom 80/1. He'd get far too bored by day 2.
nah got sick respect for him now, pooooned the online 30 min level comp without the anticipated series of blow ups. kids got game. goooooo Isi In 3 years time I think Blow will be widely considered as the best all round player in the game |
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titaniumbean
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« Reply #41 on: June 16, 2013, 03:02:12 PM » |
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bookmakers have no idea how to price up this market so go ultra tight on the book, only way to avoid some sharks spotting huge mistakes and printing them
yeh but anyone whos read poker news once in the last 3 years could give relative prices that are more realistic than this utter guesswork. was quite surprised by the ladbrokes odds tbf, they are going towards nearly vaguely acceptable! |
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Doobs
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« Reply #42 on: July 07, 2013, 12:04:07 AM » |
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I was pleased with the 99/1 Negreanu, 84/1 Blom and 89/1 Ivey that I got. I was a bit disappointed I missed the early 19/1 on Blom. Even though I missed the really early prices this time, I'd really struggle to name a better value betting opportunity each year.
Will leave it to someone else to do the in running.
Cheers
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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Horneris
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« Reply #43 on: July 07, 2013, 12:36:17 AM » |
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on
Moorman
Brian Rast
Bonomo
Paul Wasicka
Johnny Lodden
Oliver Busquets
and probs some others I've forgotten. All at like 1000s
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« Last Edit: July 07, 2013, 12:38:53 AM by Horneris »
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Doobs
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« Reply #44 on: July 13, 2013, 11:28:05 PM » |
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Glad to see the back of Merson, he was the last 4 figure loser. Bets remaining
Annette Obrestad 330 £0.01 £3.29
Carlos Mortensen 270 £0.01 £2.69
300 £3.03 £905.97
Yevgeniy Timoshenko 300 £0.60 £179.40
350 £1.71 £596.79
Great value to be had every year if you get past level 1.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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Author