So this spot came up with 11 left of the Mini Deepstack...
BackgroundMy table is 6 handed. I've had 3 tables through the day, but only one of the players has seen me for extended time. Difficult for the other players to know (apart from one via a friend I KO'd) that I've been pretty conservative and chosen my spots. My stack has never once been under threat and I've moved from 185k to 2.6m (2.9m at peak, 2.35m coming to table).
Been at the table about 6/7 orbits. My stacks has hovered between 2.2m and 2.7m all the time.
Key hands...I check down and folded on river, showing an Ace (top pair) on a bit of a scary board. Raggy VB'd the river and I folded showing A...lots of comments about how I fold...turns out he has absolute nuts.
One hand on btn (versus Villain)...1 or 2 orbits before key hand...I raise to 135 k...he goes 300 k..I 4b to 650 k...he folds (I had KK but don't show)
I've not been involved much at all, probs have VPIP/PFR of 16/16 ie. taking the blinds from Btn/CO once an orbit...although always strong...but not shown..
I do get the impression SB/BB beginning to get p*ssed off...
VillainSeems ok, has good bet sizing and is one of only 2 or 3 players I think I really need to be wary of in final 11. That said, he seems pretty ABC.
He's lost a big pot or two and has been down to 1.3m...but just won a classic - old dude jamming nut flush draw against his top set.
He now has 3 million.
The HandBlinds 30k/60k a 10k
Folds to me on btn
I have
I make my normal raise to 135k (from 2.6 million)
SB 3 bets to 325k (from 3 million)
BB folds
Me ?
OptionsFold - pro's....get nit points for fold/show cons...do I wanna win?
Flat - pro's - pot control/position cons - so many flops I'm beat and not happy with
Jam - pro's - force better hand to fold...get weaker hand call (don't think) cons - he has a monster and spanks me
ICM?Payout considerations are:
1 £10,000
2 £5800
3 £3375
4 £2450
5 £1900
6 £1500
7 £1250
8 £1050
9 £850
10 £675
11 £675
a. Do we take ICM into consideration in a comp like this?
b. Does the villain understand ICM? (erm, do I?? lol)
RangesConsidering his image with a desire to make a measured play back at me I'm thinking he'd 3b:
a8+, KQ, 77+
Doesn't strike me as the sort to 3b super wide...
Other ThoughtsI do consider folding, as out of the 11 remaining, one is super short and 6 - 7 are v nitty and/or make lots of bet sizing/folding errors. So I'm considering the gaining nit points for my image (worked a treat on day 1) plus finding a better spot later versus 'weaker' players.
Questions1. Thoughts on range I assign to him?
2. Thoughts on my assessment of the situation?
3. Fold/Call/Raise/Jam???
4. Do we leave ICM at home for comps like this?