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Poker Hand Analysis
Hotter55 FT spot
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Topic: Hotter55 FT spot (Read 5019 times)
FredW
Full Member
Offline
Posts: 207
Hotter55 FT spot
«
on:
December 09, 2013, 01:32:57 AM »
Bit of an ICM whale so thought i'd post this. Structure is as follows:
1st - $27.8k
2nd - $20.7k
3rd - $14.7k
4th - $10.1k
5th - $7.5k
No Limit Hold'em Tournament T75,000/T150,000
Buy-in: $50+$5 USD Hold'em No Limit
PokerStars
5 players
Formatted by pokercopilot.com - Mac OS X hand history analysis and tracking
Stacks:
UTG - UTG (T873,850)
CO - CO (T2,235,054)
BTN - BTN (T1,303,066)
SB - SB (T5,087,772)
BB - Hero (T1,123,258)
Preflop: (T318,750, 5 players) Hero is BB with
3 folds, SB raises to T5,069,022 (all-in), Hero ?
Logged
rfgqqabc
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5371
Re: Hotter55 FT spot
«
Reply #1 on:
December 09, 2013, 01:46:09 AM »
No way its as tight as JJandelis posted.
I think we call like 55+A9+ and KQ.
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[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
DMorgan
Hero Member
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Posts: 4440
Re: Hotter55 FT spot
«
Reply #2 on:
December 09, 2013, 01:47:17 AM »
Folds, yeah definitely not as tight as JJ, like rfgqqabc's range.
Not run any numbers but I'd venture that this is very close to 0EV call even if we know he's shoving any 2
Logged
Quote from: Karabiner on May 24, 2014, 12:47:13 PM
Is Dan awake yet?
Rexas
Hero Member
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Posts: 1963
Re: Hotter55 FT spot
«
Reply #3 on:
December 09, 2013, 01:48:58 AM »
Quote from: jjandellis on December 09, 2013, 01:44:01 AM
Fold
Call JJ+, AKs
Wish I could pop up icmizer but not got word etc for screenshots
Feel like this is ridiculously tight, way too much for my liking. Prolly getting it in here with like an ever so slightly wider range than picken, but not very much, maybe like A5ss, A8os, KJ, 55, maybe QJss
Logged
Quote from: verndog158 on June 29, 2014, 07:49:39 PM
humour is very much encouraged, however theres humour and theres not.
Quote from: cambridgealex on November 04, 2014, 05:40:09 PM
I disrepectfully agree with Matt
lucky_scrote
Hero Member
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Posts: 3525
Re: Hotter55 FT spot
«
Reply #4 on:
December 09, 2013, 01:50:15 AM »
Who is SB? If he's a winning turbo player here he should have any two cards. I'd jam 23o here.
Logged
Quote from: titaniumbean on April 05, 2013, 02:23:10 PM
<3 ENSUING
Quote from: lucky_scrote on August 04, 2014, 04:57:13 AM
stato_1 said, "banoffee pie i reckon"
stato_1 said, "this is delicious"
lucky_scrote
Hero Member
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Posts: 3525
Re: Hotter55 FT spot
«
Reply #5 on:
December 09, 2013, 01:52:32 AM »
I think it's quite close tbh, you're 4/5 but 5th is only slightly shorter than you.
Logged
Quote from: titaniumbean on April 05, 2013, 02:23:10 PM
<3 ENSUING
Quote from: lucky_scrote on August 04, 2014, 04:57:13 AM
stato_1 said, "banoffee pie i reckon"
stato_1 said, "this is delicious"
rfgqqabc
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5371
Re: Hotter55 FT spot
«
Reply #6 on:
December 09, 2013, 01:55:02 AM »
I think my range is probably too tight too fwiw.
Logged
[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
pleno1
Hero Member
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Posts: 18912
Re: Hotter55 FT spot
«
Reply #7 on:
December 09, 2013, 01:55:53 AM »
i wanna call.
Logged
Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
lucky_scrote
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3525
Re: Hotter55 FT spot
«
Reply #8 on:
December 09, 2013, 02:01:41 AM »
I just ran ICMIZER, had to put all the numbers in manually (thanks op!)
(24.7%) 55+,A2s+,A5o+,K7s+,K9o+,Q9s+,QTo+,JTs
It shows QJo as making you $482 on the call and QTo/A2s/JTs are close to break even calls. Even though 55 is at the bottom of your calling range, it still makes you $1500 on the call.
I think other factors are whether the sb is jamming ATC. He should, he makes a lot of chips doing so and even good turbo players don't call correctly. Pretty hard to make good decisions here all the time when there is so much $$ at stake and your timebank is probably low at this point. Also, if some of the other players are dreadful and their calling/jamming ranges are way off then you can make folds if it's close here.
Logged
Quote from: titaniumbean on April 05, 2013, 02:23:10 PM
<3 ENSUING
Quote from: lucky_scrote on August 04, 2014, 04:57:13 AM
stato_1 said, "banoffee pie i reckon"
stato_1 said, "this is delicious"
rfgqqabc
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5371
Re: Hotter55 FT spot
«
Reply #9 on:
December 09, 2013, 02:02:55 AM »
Quote from: lucky_scrote on December 09, 2013, 02:01:41 AM
I just ran ICMIZER, had to put all the numbers in manually (thanks op!)
(24.7%) 55+,A2s+,A5o+,K7s+,K9o+,Q9s+,QTo+,JTs
It shows QJo as making you $482 on the call and QTo/A2s/JTs are close to break even calls. Even though 55 is at the bottom of your calling range, it still makes you $1500 on the call.
I think other factors are whether the sb is jamming ATC. He should, he makes a lot of chips doing so and even good turbo players don't call correctly. Pretty hard to make good decisions here all the time when there is so much $$ at stake and your timebank is probably low at this point.
What about vs top 60/80%? If its easy to change that is.
Logged
[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
lucky_scrote
Hero Member
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Posts: 3525
Re: Hotter55 FT spot
«
Reply #10 on:
December 09, 2013, 02:05:42 AM »
Quote from: rfgqqabc on December 09, 2013, 02:02:55 AM
Quote from: lucky_scrote on December 09, 2013, 02:01:41 AM
I just ran ICMIZER, had to put all the numbers in manually (thanks op!)
(24.7%) 55+,A2s+,A5o+,K7s+,K9o+,Q9s+,QTo+,JTs
It shows QJo as making you $482 on the call and QTo/A2s/JTs are close to break even calls. Even though 55 is at the bottom of your calling range, it still makes you $1500 on the call.
I think other factors are whether the sb is jamming ATC. He should, he makes a lot of chips doing so and even good turbo players don't call correctly. Pretty hard to make good decisions here all the time when there is so much $$ at stake and your timebank is probably low at this point.
What about vs top 60/80%? If its easy to change that is.
FFS I just closed it down, went to re-open and it crashed. I'd imagine if he's only jamming 80% then you only have to fold a couple more hands, all the Qx and Jx hands will still be in his jamming range.
60% obv going to be a lot different though, you'd have to be pretty terrible to be in the SB and just jamming 60% of your range though.
Logged
Quote from: titaniumbean on April 05, 2013, 02:23:10 PM
<3 ENSUING
Quote from: lucky_scrote on August 04, 2014, 04:57:13 AM
stato_1 said, "banoffee pie i reckon"
stato_1 said, "this is delicious"
lucky_scrote
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3525
Re: Hotter55 FT spot
«
Reply #11 on:
December 09, 2013, 02:08:57 AM »
Ok got it up, changed his jamming range to 80% and it makes QJo a fold.
(17.9%) 66+,A4s+,A7o+,K9s+,KTo+,QTs+
If it's not a reg then you can maybe adjust your range slightly, but even recs and fish often understand they can jam ATC here. Less likely to be a passive fishy player with so many chips at a turbo final too.
Logged
Quote from: titaniumbean on April 05, 2013, 02:23:10 PM
<3 ENSUING
Quote from: lucky_scrote on August 04, 2014, 04:57:13 AM
stato_1 said, "banoffee pie i reckon"
stato_1 said, "this is delicious"
FredW
Full Member
Offline
Posts: 207
Re: Hotter55 FT spot
«
Reply #12 on:
December 09, 2013, 02:18:25 AM »
Had seen him jam earlier in a similar spot BvB with 95ss so assumed he was jamming almost ATC here.
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pleno1
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 18912
Re: Hotter55 FT spot
«
Reply #13 on:
December 09, 2013, 02:20:46 AM »
95s is a pretty good hand though, he may not shove t2, j3, q4 but shove 95s or 64s
Logged
Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
Oxford_HRV
Sr. Member
Offline
Posts: 644
Re: Hotter55 FT spot
«
Reply #14 on:
December 09, 2013, 02:45:19 AM »
we've gotta gamble, i'm happy calling, can be ahead a fair chunk of the time and dominating more than were dominated.
question for you guys, anyone going with T9s here? or folding?
Logged
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