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Author Topic: *****OFFICIAL***** 2015 GOLF BETTING THREAD  (Read 109294 times)
horseplayer
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« Reply #450 on: October 10, 2014, 07:22:01 PM »
Mark Broadie ‏@MarkBroadie  19s19 seconds ago
Most improved short game: Yang (0.6 strokes per round), Byrd, Bae, Woodland, Garrigus, Reed, Overton, Ishikawa, Els (0.4 strokes)
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« Reply #451 on: October 10, 2014, 07:23:34 PM »
Mark Broadie ‏@MarkBroadie  38s39 seconds ago
Most improved approach shots: Harman (1.3 strokes per round), Svoboda, Garcia, Bowditch, Moore, Noh (0.6 strokes):  http://bit.ly/1neb7nO
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« Reply #452 on: October 10, 2014, 07:27:27 PM »
Mark Broadie ‏@MarkBroadie  2m2 minutes ago
Most improved fairways hit (2013 to 2014): Stefani (1.9 per round), Toms, Kuchar, Summerhays, McIlroy, Todd, Merrick, Curtis (0.9 per round)
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« Reply #453 on: October 10, 2014, 09:52:41 PM »
Quote from: Karabiner on October 08, 2014, 06:42:04 PM
Gone for Alexander Levy @70 to win and @15 top-5 in Portugal.




Cut to 54 holes.

Surely this is the week you scoop Ralph!

GL Sir!
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« Reply #454 on: October 12, 2014, 01:42:38 AM »
In The Fry's this week I had a look at a couple of longshots I slightly fancied that were both available @160 on betty on Wednesday evening so I stuck a fiver up on both @170.

The one on Ishikawa got matched, but the one on Sang-Moon Bae did not.
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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« Reply #455 on: October 12, 2014, 03:58:49 PM »
No further play in Portugal so Levy wins as 36 holes counts as a result.

Result!!! The blind squirrel finds one. Wiiiiiiiiiii
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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« Reply #456 on: October 12, 2014, 04:05:58 PM »
Quote from: Karabiner on October 12, 2014, 03:58:49 PM
No further play in Portugal so Levy wins as 36 holes counts as a result.

Result!!! The blind squirrel finds one. Wiiiiiiiiiii


Woop Woop.

N1 Ralph!!
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« Reply #457 on: October 12, 2014, 04:11:49 PM »
Oioi!!

Nice one Ralph Smiley
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« Reply #458 on: October 12, 2014, 04:41:49 PM »

Well done Ralph!
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« Reply #459 on: October 12, 2014, 04:55:50 PM »
Cheers guys, happy days are here again.

Redeemed my street cred and replenished my ailing BF balance in one fell swoop.
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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« Reply #460 on: October 12, 2014, 05:01:44 PM »
 
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cheapwetsuit
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« Reply #461 on: October 12, 2014, 05:49:53 PM »
Nice one, Ralph. Always look forward to seeing your picks. 
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« Reply #462 on: October 12, 2014, 06:07:45 PM »
Quote from: Karabiner on October 12, 2014, 03:58:49 PM
No further play in Portugal so Levy wins as 36 holes counts as a result.

Result!!! The blind squirrel finds one. Wiiiiiiiiiii

Oi Oi Oi  great work Ralph.
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« Reply #463 on: October 12, 2014, 09:38:43 PM »

Well done Ralph, with great age comes great wisdom.
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« Reply #464 on: October 13, 2014, 11:16:20 PM »


As you all know I don't use stats responsibly at all.  I've been doing the "strokes gained on the field" thing for a while and its now a very popular stat and being broken down into various aspects of play.

I'd be grateful for some feedback on this

http://sportspreadsheet.com/Summerlin_2014.html

It's basically how this week's competitors have performed on the course since 2008.  The thing I'm trying to work out is the best way to assess performances that is actually of use from a betting perspective. 

The table is ranked by the % of better than average performance, by which Charles Howell is a God, but from a betting perspective he might be at best quits with one place payout in five attempts.

I'm thinking it might be better to call a "good" performance at least one stroke better than average in the first two rounds and a half stroke better in the last two?

Anyway Spencer Levin has a great record and played ok last week so he seems like a stand out at 150-1 with bet leapyear-1
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