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Author Topic: Re: Scoop 6, Saturday 3rd May  (Read 52889 times)
BigAdz
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« Reply #270 on: May 03, 2014, 01:23:47 PM »

That would be like getting a bunch of the world's best blackjack players in a room and suggesting that we never hit 16 as we want to make the game more interesting.

 The people who have invested in this that have no understanding of how the bet works or about horse racing surely deserve for their money to be used in the optimum way. To pick a few 20/1 shots to make it more fun would be mismanaging their money imo.

 


I think you may underestimate the people investing, or their level of knowledge.

I also suspect that many people invested hoping that the "brains" on here were going to make some inspired picks based on their extensive knowledge. I reckon many would have not been so inspired by optimal maths strategy that will be adopted up and down the country by many syndicates.

It may well be won by maths, but I think many were hoping to hear which horses you fancied(no one on here will ever agree with me to disagree with you, so I know no one will pipe up), Chompy fancied etc, not the best math solution.

I'm actually bigging you all up, not knocking you, because I respect your knowledge, so please don't take it the wrong way.
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Doobs
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« Reply #271 on: May 03, 2014, 01:25:50 PM »

Was going to send about now.   

Not sure why you put that up here?  That isn't what I sent out

Sorry, thought you were at Centerparcs all day and out of reach. You said you were sending to Dan first thing.

I did intend to, but kids just get in the way and was waiting on yours and Neil's response.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
arbboy
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« Reply #272 on: May 03, 2014, 01:30:54 PM »

That would be like getting a bunch of the world's best blackjack players in a room and suggesting that we never hit 16 as we want to make the game more interesting.

 The people who have invested in this that have no understanding of how the bet works or about horse racing surely deserve for their money to be used in the optimum way. To pick a few 20/1 shots to make it more fun would be mismanaging their money imo.

 


I think you may underestimate the people investing, or their level of knowledge.

I also suspect that many people invested hoping that the "brains" on here were going to make some inspired picks based on their extensive knowledge. I reckon many would have not been so inspired by optimal maths strategy that will be adopted up and down the country by many syndicates.

It may well be won by maths, but I think many were hoping to hear which horses you fancied(no one on here will ever agree with me to disagree with you, so I know no one will pipe up), Chompy fancied etc, not the best math solution.

I'm actually bigging you all up, not knocking you, because I respect your knowledge, so please don't take it the wrong way.

Adz please use your one time and admit all these rants are just huge levels and you do understand the best way to play these jackpots in order to maximise your return and not maximise your potential to be a hero.  Gambling is a maths game.  The maths punters always win over time that's why none of us can get a copper coin on with all the firms and all the feel punters keep getting accommodated because they don't win over time.
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Bad Beat
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« Reply #273 on: May 03, 2014, 01:31:15 PM »

 I quite like Talent Scout instead of Fieldgunner Kirkup unless you have a strong view. (sorry, we had that already).
« Last Edit: May 03, 2014, 01:34:55 PM by Bad Beat » Logged
DMorgan
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« Reply #274 on: May 03, 2014, 01:31:36 PM »

We are officially on

race 1   Big Baz   Rosearrow   Bold Sniper   Niceofyoutotellme   Rock Choir   Burano
race 2   Sole Power   Pearl Secret   Hot Streak   Moviesta      
race 3   Music in the rain   Fieldgunner Kirkup   Talent Scout      
race 4   Elusivity   Ajjadd   Kyleakin Lass   Pal of The Cat      
race 5   Farlow   Norse Blues   Off Art   Trail Blazer  
race 6   Kingman   Australia            


or

race 1   16   11   5   12   10   3
race 2   9   7   11   6      
race 3   1   11  3      
race 4   6   1   3   8      
race 5   12   3   4   5      
race 6   5   1    
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George2Loose
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« Reply #275 on: May 03, 2014, 01:32:50 PM »

How much is each £ worth if we scoop or is that too difficult to say?
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Tal
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« Reply #276 on: May 03, 2014, 01:33:40 PM »

Sorry I missed this, guys. Not been around this week.

Very best of luck. I'll be cheering you on as soon as I'm out Smiley
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arbboy
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« Reply #277 on: May 03, 2014, 01:34:47 PM »

How much is each £ worth if we scoop or is that too difficult to say?

impossible to say at this stage.
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theprawnidentity
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« Reply #278 on: May 03, 2014, 01:39:58 PM »

Do we get anything if only x amount of them win?  Or do we need a winner from all six to make it itm?
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Doobs
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« Reply #279 on: May 03, 2014, 01:41:26 PM »

I quite like Talent Scout instead of Fieldgunner Kirkup unless you have a strong view. (sorry, we had that already).

I put Talent Scout and another in for you and took a couple out.   Had the 4 windows on the phone, 2 kids wanting to sit on my lap thing going on.  Rejigging the perm more than that at that stage didn't appeal much.  

Think I'll hand this on to Sir Chompy if we have to do another week.  
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
millidonk
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« Reply #280 on: May 03, 2014, 01:42:17 PM »

Let's just get further than last week!
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Junior Senior
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« Reply #281 on: May 03, 2014, 01:42:20 PM »

We are officially on

race 1   Big Baz   Rosearrow   Bold Sniper   Niceofyoutotellme   Rock Choir   Burano
race 2   Sole Power   Pearl Secret   Hot Streak   Moviesta      
race 3   Music in the rain   Fieldgunner Kirkup   Talent Scout      
race 4   Elusivity   Ajjadd   Kyleakin Lass   Pal of The Cat      
race 5   Farlow   Norse Blues   Off Art   Trail Blazer  
race 6   Kingman   Australia            


or

race 1   16   11   5   12   10   3
race 2   9   7   11   6      
race 3   1   11  3      
race 4   6   1   3   8      
race 5   12   3   4   5      
race 6   5   1    

Looking at those selections i dont think we can lose.
So, as long as we get a winner from any of the selections in each race.... We scoop?
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Doobs
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« Reply #282 on: May 03, 2014, 01:44:31 PM »

How much is each £ worth if we scoop or is that too difficult to say?

impossible to say at this stage.

George

There is a running tally on the tote site.  So you can divide pool by people left to get an idea where we stand.  All assuming we get to race 2. 

Can someone link to it later, going to be tough for me.

Cheers
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
nirvana
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« Reply #283 on: May 03, 2014, 01:44:59 PM »

Thanks to those who have put their time and effort into this. Much appreciated
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sola virtus nobilitat
BigAdz
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« Reply #284 on: May 03, 2014, 01:45:47 PM »

That would be like getting a bunch of the world's best blackjack players in a room and suggesting that we never hit 16 as we want to make the game more interesting.

 The people who have invested in this that have no understanding of how the bet works or about horse racing surely deserve for their money to be used in the optimum way. To pick a few 20/1 shots to make it more fun would be mismanaging their money imo.

 


I think you may underestimate the people investing, or their level of knowledge.

I also suspect that many people invested hoping that the "brains" on here were going to make some inspired picks based on their extensive knowledge. I reckon many would have not been so inspired by optimal maths strategy that will be adopted up and down the country by many syndicates.

It may well be won by maths, but I think many were hoping to hear which horses you fancied(no one on here will ever agree with me to disagree with you, so I know no one will pipe up), Chompy fancied etc, not the best math solution.

I'm actually bigging you all up, not knocking you, because I respect your knowledge, so please don't take it the wrong way.

Adz please use your one time and admit all these rants are just huge levels and you do understand the best way to play these jackpots in order to maximise your return and not maximise your potential to be a hero.  Gambling is a maths game.  The maths punters always win over time that's why none of us can get a copper coin on with all the firms and all the feel punters keep getting accommodated because they don't win over time.


I am as ever, in a no win situation.

If we go out to an outsider in the first, I am results orientated, If we win, I am a fool, and maths guys knew.

All I know is I dont kill myself over the maths but I spend hours a day looking at form/notes/trends etc, and as a few people on here can testify, it has served me very nicely for many years or so, so I won't subscribe to the maths is be all end all of horse racing theory, sorry. Sure that helps to confirm to you I am a fool, but I can live with that. Wink
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
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