Kmac84
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« on: August 07, 2014, 05:40:36 PM » |
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Assuming player in question is above average reg who does ok online what price would we make him to win a live Glasgow donk fest?
How do our odds change depending on runners. We expect 40 but what if we get between 35 - 55?
Off top of my head in a. 40 runner field I would say something like 12/1 was a fair price.
Thoughts please ?
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tikay
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« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2014, 05:41:52 PM » |
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MUCH bigger price, imo.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
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Kmac84
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« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2014, 05:42:23 PM » |
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This is a £30 buy in and it's 6 max
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arbboy
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« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2014, 05:46:47 PM » |
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true price is probably 16-20/1 if he is decent. I wouldn't want to be laying much bigger than 12/1 if you are thinking of laying a bet. Assuming this is sub £50 buyin event. If it's bigger buy in then true price would be closer to 20-25/1
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« Last Edit: August 07, 2014, 05:51:28 PM by arbboy »
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Marky147
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« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2014, 05:50:15 PM » |
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So, it's a live turbo 
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Dubai
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« Reply #5 on: August 07, 2014, 10:07:11 PM » |
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Wanna bet myself to final table and win 3k sky highroller this week coming up- probably be 60-70 runners, only my first bullet counts. Anyone wanna quote me some prices please (6 max so final is last 6 not 9)
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Junior Senior
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« Reply #6 on: August 07, 2014, 10:12:00 PM » |
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true price is probably 16-20/1 if he is decent. I wouldn't want to be laying much bigger than 12/1 if you are thinking of laying a bet. Assuming this is sub £50 buyin event. If it's bigger buy in then true price would be closer to 20-25/1
I would say slightly higher if we are saying price is to win and doesn't include nominal chip count wins for example. More like 25/1
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tikay
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« Reply #7 on: August 07, 2014, 10:14:42 PM » |
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Wanna bet myself to final table and win 3k sky highroller this week coming up- probably be 60-70 runners, only my first bullet counts. Anyone wanna quote me some prices please (6 max so final is last 6 not 9)
I'd not bet against you, if you have your serious game head on. PS - The Final of a 6 Max is 7 handed, yes?
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
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Dubai
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« Reply #8 on: August 07, 2014, 10:28:01 PM » |
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Isn't that the "unofficial final" same as 10 when 9 handed?
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sovietsong
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« Reply #9 on: August 07, 2014, 10:34:46 PM » |
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you'll probably end a career or two...
"I played tournaments for years, but my career ended abruptly one night in August 2006, when I came up against a player called Dave Shallow...."
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In the category of Funniest Poster I nominate sovietsong. - mantis 21/12/2012
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tikay
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« Reply #10 on: August 07, 2014, 11:03:51 PM » |
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Isn't that the "unofficial final" same as 10 when 9 handed?
I guess so, yeah.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
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Doobs
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« Reply #11 on: August 08, 2014, 12:19:43 AM » |
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Wanna bet myself to final table and win 3k sky highroller this week coming up- probably be 60-70 runners, only my first bullet counts. Anyone wanna quote me some prices please (6 max so final is last 6 not 9)
Can't quote a price at the amount you'd want to bet. Would be like the 888 England Promtion. I'd be perfectly fine iso long as you don't win.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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Dubai
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« Reply #12 on: August 08, 2014, 12:34:52 AM » |
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Don't mind have 10 small bets tho- all adds up. NRNB tho obv
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claypole
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« Reply #13 on: August 08, 2014, 12:44:38 AM » |
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Don't mind have 10 small bets tho- all adds up. NRNB tho obv
Dont know why the "NRNB" made me laugh alot. Shame you're at a wedding Saturday...has potential to be a great day 
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Dubai
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« Reply #14 on: August 08, 2014, 12:54:32 AM » |
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Well it's only ever evens I play 
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