blonde poker forum
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
June 24, 2025, 02:52:06 PM

Login with username, password and session length
Search:     Advanced search
2261827 Posts in 66597 Topics by 16984 Members
Latest Member: thomas_1
* Home Help Arcade Search Calendar Guidelines Login Register
+  blonde poker forum
|-+  Community Forums
| |-+  Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
| | |-+  Pricing A Poker Player Against Field
0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Go Down Print
Author Topic: Pricing A Poker Player Against Field  (Read 3718 times)
Kmac84
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2122


View Profile
« on: August 07, 2014, 05:40:36 PM »

Assuming player in question is above average reg who does ok online what price would we make him to win a live Glasgow donk fest?

How do our odds change depending on runners.  We expect 40 but what if we get between 35 - 55?

Off top of my head in a. 40 runner field I would say something like 12/1 was a fair price.

Thoughts please ?
Logged
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2014, 05:41:52 PM »



MUCH bigger price, imo.

Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Kmac84
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2122


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2014, 05:42:23 PM »

This is a £30 buy in and it's 6 max
Logged
arbboy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 13270


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2014, 05:46:47 PM »

true price is probably 16-20/1 if he is decent.  I wouldn't want to be laying much bigger than 12/1 if you are thinking of laying a bet.  Assuming this is sub £50 buyin event.  If it's bigger buy in then true price would be closer to 20-25/1
« Last Edit: August 07, 2014, 05:51:28 PM by arbboy » Logged
Marky147
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 22634



View Profile
« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2014, 05:50:15 PM »

So, it's a live turbo Smiley
Logged

Dubai
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 6016


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: August 07, 2014, 10:07:11 PM »

Wanna bet myself to final table and win 3k sky highroller this week coming up- probably be 60-70 runners, only my first bullet counts. Anyone wanna quote me some prices please (6 max so final is last 6 not 9)
Logged
Junior Senior
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 4628



View Profile
« Reply #6 on: August 07, 2014, 10:12:00 PM »

true price is probably 16-20/1 if he is decent.  I wouldn't want to be laying much bigger than 12/1 if you are thinking of laying a bet.  Assuming this is sub £50 buyin event.  If it's bigger buy in then true price would be closer to 20-25/1


I would say slightly higher if we are saying price is to win and doesn't include nominal chip count wins for example. More like 25/1
Logged
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #7 on: August 07, 2014, 10:14:42 PM »

Wanna bet myself to final table and win 3k sky highroller this week coming up- probably be 60-70 runners, only my first bullet counts. Anyone wanna quote me some prices please (6 max so final is last 6 not 9)

I'd not bet against you, if you have your serious game head on.

PS - The Final of a 6 Max is 7 handed, yes?
Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Dubai
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 6016


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: August 07, 2014, 10:28:01 PM »

Isn't that the "unofficial final" same as 10 when 9 handed?
Logged
sovietsong
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 8479



View Profile
« Reply #9 on: August 07, 2014, 10:34:46 PM »

you'll probably end a career or two...

"I played tournaments for years, but my career ended abruptly one night in August 2006, when I came up against a player called Dave Shallow...."
Logged

In the category of Funniest Poster I nominate sovietsong. - mantis 21/12/2012
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #10 on: August 07, 2014, 11:03:51 PM »

Isn't that the "unofficial final" same as 10 when 9 handed?

I guess so, yeah.

Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Doobs
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 16709


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: August 08, 2014, 12:19:43 AM »

Wanna bet myself to final table and win 3k sky highroller this week coming up- probably be 60-70 runners, only my first bullet counts. Anyone wanna quote me some prices please (6 max so final is last 6 not 9)

Can't quote a price at the amount you'd want to bet.  Would be like the 888 England Promtion.  I'd be perfectly fine iso long as you don't win.
Logged

Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Dubai
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 6016


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: August 08, 2014, 12:34:52 AM »

Don't mind have 10 small bets tho- all adds up. NRNB tho obv
Logged
claypole
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 4086


View Profile
« Reply #13 on: August 08, 2014, 12:44:38 AM »

Don't mind have 10 small bets tho- all adds up. NRNB tho obv

Dont know why the "NRNB" made me laugh alot.  Shame you're at a wedding Saturday...has potential to be a great day Sad
Logged
Dubai
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 6016


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: August 08, 2014, 12:54:32 AM »

Well it's only ever evens I play Smiley
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Go Up Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.123 seconds with 21 queries.