NFL 2015 season Thread

[Evilpengwinz]

The end of the Giants @ Cowboys game. How on earth is a game theory coach on the sidelines presumably not a thing?

[Ironside]

congrats but wtf the falcons?

[kinboshi]

Great live updates:

http://www.theguardian.com/sport/blog/live/2015/sep/15/jarryd-hayne-san-francisco-49ers-debut-against-minnesota-vikings

[Ironside]

Great live updates:

http://www.theguardian.com/sport/blog/live/2015/sep/15/jarryd-hayne-san-francisco-49ers-debut-against-minnesota-vikings

its live on sky sports

hayne hasnt had much game time his first touch was a fumble

[kinboshi]

Great live updates:

http://www.theguardian.com/sport/blog/live/2015/sep/15/jarryd-hayne-san-francisco-49ers-debut-against-minnesota-vikings

its live on sky sports

hayne hasnt had much game time his first touch was a fumble

You didn't read those updates then?

[Ironside]

Ok I thought I read 2 while watching the game but it was 5 am so missed it might have to go back and read from beginning

[AdamM]

I'm attempting to mug-punt my way through an second season.
Last year, having not watched NFL in around 20 years, I had one or two accumulators a week, basing my selections on very basic form and a bit of advice from friends more clued up than me.
Almost doubled my £40 starting stake by the end of the season.

Started this season in profit too.
Week 1 I had two bets on Sunday, one on the early games:
Colts to beat Bills (lost)
Dolphins to beat Redskins (won)
Panthers to beat Jaguars (won)
Seahawks to beat Rams (lost, just)
Packers to beat bears (won)

and the later games:
Bengals to beat Raiders (won)
Broncos to beat Ravens (won)
Cardinals to beat Saints (won)

£5 on each, lost the first obviously, but got £19.60 back on the second so +£9.60 for week 1.

For week 2, the games I've picked out from the early sunday fixtures are:
Panthers to beat Texans
Cardinals to beat Bears
Rams to beat redskins
Saints to beat Buccaneers
Titans to beat Browns
Chargers to beat Bengals.

Panthers, Cardinals and  Rams are all firm favourites, and although Browns are favourite to win, Titans are only marginally longer than evens. Saints are big favourites, but they lost five home games on the bounce last season, killing four bets, so I am a little twitchy about putting them in. Still, they must surely beat the Buccaneers. The only one SkyBet see significantly differently to me is that they have Bengals as firm favourites to beat Chargers. My reasoning for going for Chargers was just that they beat much more solid opposition than Bengals in the opener, but that's all. The first five pay a little under 9/1 so I have a £5 on that, and adding in Chargers makes it 24/1 so just £2 on that. Each bet obviously pays around £50. Goooooooooooo Chargers!!

No point getting on the late games this sunday because Dolphins and Ravens will be nailed on favourites to beat Jaguars and Raiders respectively, and I try to avoid betting against Cowboys as my close friend who runs the facebook group that helps me pick my bets is a big Cowboys fan. I don't like to reward his assistance by betting against his team, and I include them to win where ever possible.

[TightEnd]

Adam you don't look at the point spread coupons?

for example, and just an example, you could take the Buccs with a ten point start at the Saints at around evens this weekend

the point being that it brings bad teams into the realms of being backable

10 point or more dogs are often great value

[AdamM]

Adam you don't look at the point spread coupons?

for example, and just an example, you could take the Buccs with a ten point start at the Saints at around evens this weekend

the point being that it brings bad teams into the realms of being backable

10 point or more dogs are often great value

I know what you're saying, but no, not really. I enjoy being glued to Redzone and having 3-6 team to cheer for. Backing mostly (but not always) favourites in accumulators means that a lot of time the majority of my teams are out in front with one or two I'm waiting for to push on. I only had 4 winning weeks in the 17 week regular season. I did switch to including a few spreads in the playoffs because there's less teams to folllow, and I had a winner picking all four Div Champ winners. I think I backed Cowboys +7 against Packers, which won.

For regular season, I think I'm sticking to backing winners straight up for now.

[AdamM]

That said, throw any solid tips in as the season goes, and I'll look at including them in the bets

[Longy]

The end of the Giants @ Cowboys game. How on earth is a game theory coach on the sidelines presumably not a thing?

I have never understood, why they don't have some solid maths guy there for stuff like that. Apparantly Rashad Jennings was told not to score on 1st and 2nd down!

[Tal]

The Sunday funday acca. To win the game, unless handicap stated:

Arizona
Atlanta +2.5
Pittsburgh -5.5
Detroit
Cincinnati
St Louis

Pays 34/1, albeit only if it wins

[TightEnd]

chip kelly: offensive genius.

byron maxwell. £63m piece of toast



demarco murray. running behind a sieve

i'll settle for that, the politest smack i can muster in the circumstances


a win for my boys in a terrible game but at a huge cost. dez bryant injured was bad enough but romo out for 8 weeks is a real season changer

got to try to be in with a shot for at least a wild card when the pair of them come back.

redskins for the division anyone?

[Ironside]

redskins for the division anyone?

i was looking for the odds on that after the romo injury

what a terrible game to watch

congrats on your win

unlucky on the injury

[The Camel]

chip kelly: offensive genius.

byron maxwell. £63m piece of toast



demarco murray. running behind a sieve

i'll settle for that, the politest smack i can muster in the circumstances


a win for my boys in a terrible game but at a huge cost. dez bryant injured was bad enough but romo out for 8 weeks is a real season changer

got to try to be in with a shot for at least a wild card when the pair of them come back.

redskins for the division anyone?

Jockeys come back from a broken collar bone in about 3 weeks.

How come Romo is slated to take 2 months?