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Author Topic: NFL 2015 season Thread  (Read 144109 times)
kukushkin88
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« Reply #675 on: November 22, 2015, 03:55:30 PM »


I think unders in the Bears/Bronco's is a very strong bet. Bronco's will be exceptionally run heavy and should be able to move it on the ground effectively, the Bears won't be able to move it against the Denver D through the air. Barring improbably large contributions from special teams and the defences this will be very low scoring imo. Under 41 at 10/11 is good, 7/2 under 30.5 also looks good with 365. I also think the Broncos will win and for the first time since Stuart explained why it is such a bad idea, I will be backing no touchdown at anything 100/1 or better. The given forecast is for the weather to be OK if cold but I've had a pretty detailed look and it looks pretty uncertain at this stage, might even be snow, which would be a bonus.

Majorly short on time for a detailed write up but I still like all of the above, I also think Green Bay will win in Minnesota, under on the points and I like Indianapolis getting 4.5 against Atlanta. I think Denver to beat Chicago is the strongest bet of the weekend, Chicago decimated by injuries. Contrary to the article on NFL.com they won't be throwing it much, they won't need to imo. Good luck all!
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arbboy
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« Reply #676 on: November 22, 2015, 09:36:51 PM »

thanks for posting kuk.  I got 5/1 under 31.5 on betfair.  Fuming is an underestimate.
« Last Edit: November 22, 2015, 09:51:56 PM by arbboy » Logged
Tal
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« Reply #677 on: November 22, 2015, 10:01:08 PM »

Rams +3
Falcons -3.5

What did I do wrong?!

Stupid game.
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« Reply #678 on: November 22, 2015, 10:27:52 PM »

Flacco out for the season.

At 3-7, do the Ravens play for a very high draft pick now?
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« Reply #679 on: November 22, 2015, 10:56:47 PM »

Flacco out for the season.

At 3-7, do the Ravens play for a very high draft pick now?

Forsett has a broken arm too, not going to be a pleasant end to the season for the Ravens!
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« Reply #680 on: November 23, 2015, 01:43:43 AM »

5-0 Kuk very impressive.  Post more.
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« Reply #681 on: November 23, 2015, 05:36:34 AM »

No doubts in mind that Arizona are the best team in the NFC right now.
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« Reply #682 on: November 23, 2015, 10:28:11 AM »

No doubts in mind that Arizona are the best team in the NFC right now.

they'd beat Carolina? would be a great game i think, very close to call
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« Reply #683 on: November 23, 2015, 11:57:12 AM »

No doubts in mind that Arizona are the best team in the NFC right now.

they'd beat Carolina? would be a great game i think, very close to call

Carolina's lack of pass rush would mean Palmer should be able to pick them apart.

Josh Norman is a truly great cb, but he can't cover all of Larry Fitz, Smokey Brown, Michael Floyd and JJ Nelson every play.

Unless Palmer suffers an injury I think Arizona goes to the SuperBowl.
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« Reply #684 on: November 23, 2015, 05:24:53 PM »

Flacco out for the season.

At 3-7, do the Ravens play for a very high draft pick now?

No, they try to win every game

Flacco tore his ACL with three plays left. Stayed on the field for the last two plays, handed it off and got it in position for the winning field goal

a really tough guy
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« Reply #685 on: November 23, 2015, 05:31:33 PM »

Flacco out for the season.

At 3-7, do the Ravens play for a very high draft pick now?

No, they try to win every game

Flacco tore his ACL with three plays left. Stayed on the field for the last two plays, handed it off and got it in position for the winning field goal

a really tough guy

is there any penalty for trying to finish badly once play offs are out the question?
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« Reply #686 on: November 23, 2015, 05:35:09 PM »

Flacco out for the season.

At 3-7, do the Ravens play for a very high draft pick now?

No, they try to win every game

Flacco tore his ACL with three plays left. Stayed on the field for the last two plays, handed it off and got it in position for the winning field goal

a really tough guy

is there any penalty for trying to finish badly once play offs are out the question?

None at all

you would think teams tank, but they don't

players are sometimes playing for new contracts, teams that have made the play offs rest players and get beat etc etc
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #687 on: November 23, 2015, 05:38:41 PM »

To the experts, do the Chiefs have any sniff?  I put a spread bet on at start of season and it was trading close to zero so I pretty much wrote it off at 1-5 with that running back injured for the year, but they have managed to claw back to 5-5 and the bet is now in the money.  Schedule looks okay.  I make money if they get to the wildcard round.   Keep open or close out as a luck escape?
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« Reply #688 on: November 23, 2015, 05:41:11 PM »

To the experts, do the Chiefs have any sniff?  I put a spread bet on at start of season and it was trading close to zero so I pretty much wrote it off at 1-5 with that running back injured for the year, but they have managed to claw back to 5-5 and the bet is now in the money.  Schedule looks okay.  I make money if they get to the wildcard round.   Keep open or close out as a luck escape?

look good for the wild card behind denver in that division. probably competing with pittsburgh, bills, jets for two wild card spots

defense playing lights out last few weeks, and if they reach the play offs they are going to be a tough out for any team

offense does just enough but they have added some playmakers in recent drafts
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TL900
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« Reply #689 on: November 23, 2015, 05:46:24 PM »

think Chiefs are an absolute lock to get a wildcard spot, keep it open imo.
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