The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged

[TightEnd]

A Brexit transition deal will be harder to reach than Britain thinks

Yet again, reality turns out to be complicated

https://www.economist.com/news/britain/21730616-yet-again-reality-turns-out-be-complicated-brexit-transition-deal-will-be-harder-reach

[TightEnd]

These two speeches show that the British political class has no clue about life after Brexit, saysstephenkb
https://t.co/PbHkOvx7pB

[TightEnd]

Suppose, just suppose, Brexit isn't a complete and utter disaster. What then?  Sunday article for IndyVoices https://t.co/harvyjaJXo

[neeko]

The sex scandal over MP’s may even overshadow brexit in today’s news, the question is how many by elections will be caused?

Can someone sweep it back under the carpet and so there will be none, 5 by elections for Tory MP’s and the govt could be over. (Other parties will be affected but probably won’t lose a seat in that by election)

What did the PM know and when, and did they deliberately hide knowledge of a criminal act, this could not have happened at a worse time for the brexit negotiations (not that they have even agreed when the next meeting is)

[TightEnd]

Net believers in ghosts & the paranormal (Yes minus No) by current party support:

CON -27
LAB -9
LD -14
UKIP +26
GRN +22
SNP -5

17th-20th Oct N=1,347 http://www.bmgresearch.co.uk/bmg-halloween-poll-third-brits-believe-ghosts-spirits-types-paranormal-activity/

[TightEnd]

DEXEU finally releases the list of 58 industry sectors for which it has done unpublished Brexit impact studies:

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Trust in ordinary people over experts by educ level. In models of leave voting this is taking up a sizeable portion of the educ effect

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

 HMRC clashes with ministers after officials claim post-Brexit customs system will take 5 years to set up;

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/4803706/hmrc-brexit-customs-system-five-years/

[TightEnd]

Tory MP: ‘Releasing Brexit impact reports would only cause distress. Like watching Air Crash Investigation while on a plane.’

[TightEnd]

another head scratcher of a quote

David Davis on the Northern Ireland border, says if Brexit means new trade tariffs: "we've got a real problem."

[TightEnd]

Brexit: Whitehall headcount to balloon by 8,000 workers

David Davis tells cabinet of ‘significant acceleration’ to get UK ready, including creation of up to 5,000 extra jobs in HMRC

(Brexit means a bigger, not a smaller state - a bitter irony for libertarians.)

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/oct/31/uk-has-spent-half-a-billion-gearing-up-for-eu-exit-says-david-davis

[TightEnd]

a well written sketch of Davis yesterday

"For sale: one Brexit, wheels falling off, loads of miles on the clock "

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/oct/31/david-davis-brexit-wheels-falling-off-loads-of-miles-on-the-clock?CMP=twt_gu

[TightEnd]

The Westminster sex pest scandal has barely begun

https://reaction.life/westminster-sex-pest-scandal-barely-begun/

[TightEnd]

Damian Green is May's no.2 and her closest cabinet ally. This could force resignation.

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/deputy-pm-damian-green-investigated-over-sleaze-claim-jhzmdz22h

[TightEnd]

On the non-release of impact studies - the Government argues that it will be “undoubtedly detrimental” to negotiation interests to publish..

 noteworthy that European institutions have already done their own impact studies - some have been published - eg here the Parliament...

Click to see full-size image.

and on a per capita basis by EU27 country, impact of different modelled Brexits by 2030:

Click to see full-size image.

he World Bank have estimated bilateral trade losses to this extent... Found here (pg19):

http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/853811484835908129/pdf/WPS7947.pdf

Click to see full-size image.

pause

Click to see full-size image.