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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13520437 times)
Peter-27
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127125 on:
April 08, 2017, 02:41:53 PM »
Surprisingly, I found a number of good spots available.
Race Winner - Nico Hulkenberg
@ 500/1 with 188Bet (I've never used that bookie, but anything over 250/1 is fine). Suggest £2.50 EW (1-2 1/3). No, I've not gone crazy. The best driver on the grid in heavy rain is Nico, the price is wildly away from where it should be.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/winner
Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 18/5
with 10Bet (anything over 3/1 is fine). I'm at a loss to explain why Sergio is 10th favourite in this market .. not only should he have a good car in race trim, but he's also a safe pair of hands. Suggest £20.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/top-6-finish
Points Finish - Esteban Ocon
@ 4/1 with Hills. Same reason as above, a good car in race trim around this circuit. £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/points-finish
Not To Finish The Race - Felipe Massa
@ 9/2 with 365/Hills. The self-proclaimed worst driver in the wet, by some margin too. This should be more like 2/1. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/not-to-finish-the-race
1st Car Retirement - Haas
@ 8/1 with Hills. Romain is furious at the moment after his penalty today, I suspect we'll see him attempt to be aggressive into the first corner, increasing the likelihood of an incident. I'm expecting a bit of a pile-up tomorrow, not sure what would happen in that situation, but let's see. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-car-retirement
1st Lap Total Retirements - More Than 4
@ 20/1 with Bwin. As above, anticipating a number of incidents. 20/1 is certainly too high with new cars, new clutch procedures and a standing start on a wet track. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-lap-total-retirements
Double Points Finish - Sauber
@ 150/1 with Bwin. Sauber and McLaren are having a battle at the back to avoid being the slowest team, it's pretty close. Why on Earth is McLaren 16/1 and Sauber 150/1? This makes no logical sense. Sauber are the ones with the reliability too. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/double-points-finish
Total Safety Car Periods - 2
@ 9/2 with Bwin. The most likely scenario in my eyes, should be the favourite. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/total-safety-car-periods
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127126 on:
April 08, 2017, 02:44:43 PM »
Quote from: exstream on April 08, 2017, 02:26:33 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on April 08, 2017, 11:24:10 AM
Quote from: tikay on April 08, 2017, 11:14:47 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on April 08, 2017, 11:03:08 AM
tikay
please re-send me the pp login/password. i don't think i have it (been that long...2012?)
Have deposited, & sent you the log in details.
However, I'm wondering if I should place any PP bets for the time being. If you (Tighty) have or had a PP account which has been restricted or closed, & you use the same device to place a bet on my Account & fail to "mask it" or use a VPN, it puts up a "flag" & they might close or restrict the account again.
you are safe,i have never bet with PP. (on principal, the advertising/viral campaign nonsense which we must resist and rise up and fight against)
Good principals m8
things have reached an all time low
a) a spelling mistake
b) getting dug out on said spelling mistake by someone who struggles to write a sentence.
Marvellous
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booder
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127127 on:
April 08, 2017, 02:46:55 PM »
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Quote from: action man
im not speculating, either, but id have been pretty peeved if i missed the thread and i ended up getting clipped, kindly accepting a lift home.
In the end, we will remember not the words of our enemies, but the silence of our friends.
Martin Luther King Jr
Peter-27
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127128 on:
April 08, 2017, 02:47:59 PM »
Only one spread bet to recommend;
Buy Bottas/Raikkonen @ 3. I would have had this much higher. Not only is Valtteri quicker at the moment, but Raikkonen tends to struggle in wet conditions.
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exstream
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127129 on:
April 08, 2017, 02:48:45 PM »
Also good principles
The spelling mistake was not the all time low in that sentence lol
«
Last Edit: April 08, 2017, 02:50:50 PM by exstream
»
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Chompy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127130 on:
April 08, 2017, 03:04:43 PM »
Plenty of 1.97/1.98 to lay Freddy top 20. Please wipe the 1.9 and take this instead.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127131 on:
April 08, 2017, 03:40:24 PM »
Quote from: Chompy on April 08, 2017, 03:04:43 PM
Plenty of 1.97/1.98 to lay Freddy top 20. Please wipe the 1.9 and take this instead.
Unmatched
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Chompy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127132 on:
April 08, 2017, 03:47:58 PM »
2.06 will do, only a few quid in it.
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127133 on:
April 08, 2017, 03:48:38 PM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on April 08, 2017, 02:41:53 PM
Surprisingly, I found a number of good spots available.
Race Winner - Nico Hulkenberg
@ 500/1 with 188Bet (I've never used that bookie, but anything over 250/1 is fine). Suggest £2.50 EW (1-2 1/3). No, I've not gone crazy. The best driver on the grid in heavy rain is Nico, the price is wildly away from where it should be.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/winner
Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 18/5
with 10Bet (anything over 3/1 is fine). I'm at a loss to explain why Sergio is 10th favourite in this market .. not only should he have a good car in race trim, but he's also a safe pair of hands. Suggest £20.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/top-6-finish
Points Finish - Esteban Ocon
@ 4/1 with Hills. Same reason as above, a good car in race trim around this circuit. £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/points-finish
Not To Finish The Race - Felipe Massa
@ 9/2 with 365/Hills. The self-proclaimed worst driver in the wet, by some margin too. This should be more like 2/1. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/not-to-finish-the-race
1st Car Retirement - Haas
@ 8/1 with Hills. Romain is furious at the moment after his penalty today, I suspect we'll see him attempt to be aggressive into the first corner, increasing the likelihood of an incident. I'm expecting a bit of a pile-up tomorrow, not sure what would happen in that situation, but let's see. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-car-retirement
1st Lap Total Retirements - More Than 4
@ 20/1 with Bwin. As above, anticipating a number of incidents. 20/1 is certainly too high with new cars, new clutch procedures and a standing start on a wet track. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-lap-total-retirements
Double Points Finish - Sauber
@ 150/1 with Bwin. Sauber and McLaren are having a battle at the back to avoid being the slowest team, it's pretty close. Why on Earth is McLaren 16/1 and Sauber 150/1? This makes no logical sense. Sauber are the ones with the reliability too. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/double-points-finish
Total Safety Car Periods - 2
@ 9/2 with Bwin. The most likely scenario in my eyes, should be the favourite. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/total-safety-car-periods
Like the Hulkenberg bet. Was really hoping somebody f'd up and went a fifth first 3 again, but think we drained them enough last year.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127134 on:
April 08, 2017, 03:51:11 PM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on April 08, 2017, 02:41:53 PM
Surprisingly, I found a number of good spots available.
Race Winner - Nico Hulkenberg
@ 500/1 with 188Bet (I've never used that bookie, but anything over 250/1 is fine). Suggest £2.50 EW (1-2 1/3). No, I've not gone crazy. The best driver on the grid in heavy rain is Nico, the price is wildly away from where it should be.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/winner
Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 18/5
with 10Bet (anything over 3/1 is fine). I'm at a loss to explain why Sergio is 10th favourite in this market .. not only should he have a good car in race trim, but he's also a safe pair of hands. Suggest £20.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/top-6-finish
Points Finish - Esteban Ocon
@ 4/1 with Hills. Same reason as above, a good car in race trim around this circuit. £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/points-finish
Not To Finish The Race - Felipe Massa
@ 9/2 with 365/Hills. The self-proclaimed worst driver in the wet, by some margin too. This should be more like 2/1. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/not-to-finish-the-race
1st Car Retirement - Haas
@ 8/1 with Hills. Romain is furious at the moment after his penalty today, I suspect we'll see him attempt to be aggressive into the first corner, increasing the likelihood of an incident. I'm expecting a bit of a pile-up tomorrow, not sure what would happen in that situation, but let's see. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-car-retirement
1st Lap Total Retirements - More Than 4
@ 20/1 with Bwin. As above, anticipating a number of incidents. 20/1 is certainly too high with new cars, new clutch procedures and a standing start on a wet track. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-lap-total-retirements
Double Points Finish - Sauber
@ 150/1 with Bwin. Sauber and McLaren are having a battle at the back to avoid being the slowest team, it's pretty close. Why on Earth is McLaren 16/1 and Sauber 150/1? This makes no logical sense. Sauber are the ones with the reliability too. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/double-points-finish
Total Safety Car Periods - 2
@ 9/2 with Bwin. The most likely scenario in my eyes, should be the favourite. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/total-safety-car-periods
those i can do and have done
Hulkenberg win £2.50 e/w at 250
Perez top 6 £20 3-1
Ocon points at 4-1 £10
Massa DNF at 9/2 £10
Haas First DNF at 8-1 £5. Presume this could be a multi way dead heat if first corner accident
we need to talk stakes again Peter. how about shut your eyes and make it £10-20 minimums given the size we are these days, we can then do on here what we can restricted/non restricted? ;-)
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By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127135 on:
April 08, 2017, 03:52:44 PM »
Quote from: Chompy on April 08, 2017, 03:47:58 PM
2.06 will do, only a few quid in it.
Matched bets
Lay (Bet Against)
liability
Fred Couples 2.06 £50.00 £53.00
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By the way, I'm leaving out today
Peter-27
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Posts: 1550
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127136 on:
April 08, 2017, 04:03:48 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on April 08, 2017, 03:48:38 PM
Quote from: Peter-27 on April 08, 2017, 02:41:53 PM
Surprisingly, I found a number of good spots available.
Race Winner - Nico Hulkenberg
@ 500/1 with 188Bet (I've never used that bookie, but anything over 250/1 is fine). Suggest £2.50 EW (1-2 1/3). No, I've not gone crazy. The best driver on the grid in heavy rain is Nico, the price is wildly away from where it should be.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/winner
Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 18/5
with 10Bet (anything over 3/1 is fine). I'm at a loss to explain why Sergio is 10th favourite in this market .. not only should he have a good car in race trim, but he's also a safe pair of hands. Suggest £20.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/top-6-finish
Points Finish - Esteban Ocon
@ 4/1 with Hills. Same reason as above, a good car in race trim around this circuit. £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/points-finish
Not To Finish The Race - Felipe Massa
@ 9/2 with 365/Hills. The self-proclaimed worst driver in the wet, by some margin too. This should be more like 2/1. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/not-to-finish-the-race
1st Car Retirement - Haas
@ 8/1 with Hills. Romain is furious at the moment after his penalty today, I suspect we'll see him attempt to be aggressive into the first corner, increasing the likelihood of an incident. I'm expecting a bit of a pile-up tomorrow, not sure what would happen in that situation, but let's see. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-car-retirement
1st Lap Total Retirements - More Than 4
@ 20/1 with Bwin. As above, anticipating a number of incidents. 20/1 is certainly too high with new cars, new clutch procedures and a standing start on a wet track. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-lap-total-retirements
Double Points Finish - Sauber
@ 150/1 with Bwin. Sauber and McLaren are having a battle at the back to avoid being the slowest team, it's pretty close. Why on Earth is McLaren 16/1 and Sauber 150/1? This makes no logical sense. Sauber are the ones with the reliability too. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/double-points-finish
Total Safety Car Periods - 2
@ 9/2 with Bwin. The most likely scenario in my eyes, should be the favourite. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/total-safety-car-periods
Like the Hulkenberg bet. Was really hoping somebody f'd up and went a fifth first 3 again, but think we drained them enough last year.
Yeah, I'd looked out for it this time, usually I miss it.
Quote from: TightEnd on April 08, 2017, 03:51:11 PM
Quote from: Peter-27 on April 08, 2017, 02:41:53 PM
Surprisingly, I found a number of good spots available.
Race Winner - Nico Hulkenberg
@ 500/1 with 188Bet (I've never used that bookie, but anything over 250/1 is fine). Suggest £2.50 EW (1-2 1/3). No, I've not gone crazy. The best driver on the grid in heavy rain is Nico, the price is wildly away from where it should be.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/winner
Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 18/5
with 10Bet (anything over 3/1 is fine). I'm at a loss to explain why Sergio is 10th favourite in this market .. not only should he have a good car in race trim, but he's also a safe pair of hands. Suggest £20.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/top-6-finish
Points Finish - Esteban Ocon
@ 4/1 with Hills. Same reason as above, a good car in race trim around this circuit. £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/points-finish
Not To Finish The Race - Felipe Massa
@ 9/2 with 365/Hills. The self-proclaimed worst driver in the wet, by some margin too. This should be more like 2/1. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/not-to-finish-the-race
1st Car Retirement - Haas
@ 8/1 with Hills. Romain is furious at the moment after his penalty today, I suspect we'll see him attempt to be aggressive into the first corner, increasing the likelihood of an incident. I'm expecting a bit of a pile-up tomorrow, not sure what would happen in that situation, but let's see. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-car-retirement
1st Lap Total Retirements - More Than 4
@ 20/1 with Bwin. As above, anticipating a number of incidents. 20/1 is certainly too high with new cars, new clutch procedures and a standing start on a wet track. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-lap-total-retirements
Double Points Finish - Sauber
@ 150/1 with Bwin. Sauber and McLaren are having a battle at the back to avoid being the slowest team, it's pretty close. Why on Earth is McLaren 16/1 and Sauber 150/1? This makes no logical sense. Sauber are the ones with the reliability too. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/double-points-finish
Total Safety Car Periods - 2
@ 9/2 with Bwin. The most likely scenario in my eyes, should be the favourite. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/total-safety-car-periods
those i can do and have done
Hulkenberg win £2.50 e/w at 250
Perez top 6 £20 3-1
Ocon points at 4-1 £10
Massa DNF at 9/2 £10
Haas First DNF at 8-1 £5. Presume this could be a multi way dead heat if first corner accident
we need to talk stakes again Peter. how about shut your eyes and make it £10-20 minimums given the size we are these days, we can then do on here what we can restricted/non restricted? ;-)
Yeah, stake sizes are always a bit of a strange one for me. Even for TFT, I don't believe we have consistency on stakes sizes depending on who is suggesting the bet .. which makes sense because obviously we don't all have the same "valueship" of a set amount. £10 is a lot to some people, but absolutely nothing to others. As I've tentatively suggested before, maybe all posts should also come with the odds that we reckon the selection should have been, and then a stake size can be determined based on the value of the bet? Just a thought.
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bergeroo
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127137 on:
April 08, 2017, 04:24:15 PM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on April 08, 2017, 02:41:53 PM
Surprisingly, I found a number of good spots available.
Race Winner - Nico Hulkenberg
@ 500/1 with 188Bet (I've never used that bookie, but anything over 250/1 is fine). Suggest £2.50 EW (1-2 1/3). No, I've not gone crazy. The best driver on the grid in heavy rain is Nico, the price is wildly away from where it should be.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/winner
Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 18/5
with 10Bet (anything over 3/1 is fine). I'm at a loss to explain why Sergio is 10th favourite in this market .. not only should he have a good car in race trim, but he's also a safe pair of hands. Suggest £20.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/top-6-finish
Points Finish - Esteban Ocon
@ 4/1 with Hills. Same reason as above, a good car in race trim around this circuit. £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/points-finish
Not To Finish The Race - Felipe Massa
@ 9/2 with 365/Hills. The self-proclaimed worst driver in the wet, by some margin too. This should be more like 2/1. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/not-to-finish-the-race
1st Car Retirement - Haas
@ 8/1 with Hills. Romain is furious at the moment after his penalty today, I suspect we'll see him attempt to be aggressive into the first corner, increasing the likelihood of an incident. I'm expecting a bit of a pile-up tomorrow, not sure what would happen in that situation, but let's see. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-car-retirement
1st Lap Total Retirements - More Than 4
@ 20/1 with Bwin. As above, anticipating a number of incidents. 20/1 is certainly too high with new cars, new clutch procedures and a standing start on a wet track. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-lap-total-retirements
Double Points Finish - Sauber
@ 150/1 with Bwin. Sauber and McLaren are having a battle at the back to avoid being the slowest team, it's pretty close. Why on Earth is McLaren 16/1 and Sauber 150/1? This makes no logical sense. Sauber are the ones with the reliability too. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/double-points-finish
Total Safety Car Periods - 2
@ 9/2 with Bwin. The most likely scenario in my eyes, should be the favourite. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/total-safety-car-periods
Was limited to 50p on a basically unused Bwin account on the Sauber 150/1 bet. Tough times.
Thanks for your write up Peter.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127138 on:
April 08, 2017, 04:29:33 PM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on April 08, 2017, 04:03:48 PM
Quote from: Doobs on April 08, 2017, 03:48:38 PM
Quote from: Peter-27 on April 08, 2017, 02:41:53 PM
Surprisingly, I found a number of good spots available.
Race Winner - Nico Hulkenberg
@ 500/1 with 188Bet (I've never used that bookie, but anything over 250/1 is fine). Suggest £2.50 EW (1-2 1/3). No, I've not gone crazy. The best driver on the grid in heavy rain is Nico, the price is wildly away from where it should be.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/winner
Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 18/5
with 10Bet (anything over 3/1 is fine). I'm at a loss to explain why Sergio is 10th favourite in this market .. not only should he have a good car in race trim, but he's also a safe pair of hands. Suggest £20.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/top-6-finish
Points Finish - Esteban Ocon
@ 4/1 with Hills. Same reason as above, a good car in race trim around this circuit. £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/points-finish
Not To Finish The Race - Felipe Massa
@ 9/2 with 365/Hills. The self-proclaimed worst driver in the wet, by some margin too. This should be more like 2/1. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/not-to-finish-the-race
1st Car Retirement - Haas
@ 8/1 with Hills. Romain is furious at the moment after his penalty today, I suspect we'll see him attempt to be aggressive into the first corner, increasing the likelihood of an incident. I'm expecting a bit of a pile-up tomorrow, not sure what would happen in that situation, but let's see. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-car-retirement
1st Lap Total Retirements - More Than 4
@ 20/1 with Bwin. As above, anticipating a number of incidents. 20/1 is certainly too high with new cars, new clutch procedures and a standing start on a wet track. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-lap-total-retirements
Double Points Finish - Sauber
@ 150/1 with Bwin. Sauber and McLaren are having a battle at the back to avoid being the slowest team, it's pretty close. Why on Earth is McLaren 16/1 and Sauber 150/1? This makes no logical sense. Sauber are the ones with the reliability too. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/double-points-finish
Total Safety Car Periods - 2
@ 9/2 with Bwin. The most likely scenario in my eyes, should be the favourite. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/total-safety-car-periods
Like the Hulkenberg bet. Was really hoping somebody f'd up and went a fifth first 3 again, but think we drained them enough last year.
Yeah, I'd looked out for it this time, usually I miss it.
Quote from: TightEnd on April 08, 2017, 03:51:11 PM
Quote from: Peter-27 on April 08, 2017, 02:41:53 PM
Surprisingly, I found a number of good spots available.
Race Winner - Nico Hulkenberg
@ 500/1 with 188Bet (I've never used that bookie, but anything over 250/1 is fine). Suggest £2.50 EW (1-2 1/3). No, I've not gone crazy. The best driver on the grid in heavy rain is Nico, the price is wildly away from where it should be.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/winner
Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez @ 18/5
with 10Bet (anything over 3/1 is fine). I'm at a loss to explain why Sergio is 10th favourite in this market .. not only should he have a good car in race trim, but he's also a safe pair of hands. Suggest £20.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/top-6-finish
Points Finish - Esteban Ocon
@ 4/1 with Hills. Same reason as above, a good car in race trim around this circuit. £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/points-finish
Not To Finish The Race - Felipe Massa
@ 9/2 with 365/Hills. The self-proclaimed worst driver in the wet, by some margin too. This should be more like 2/1. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/not-to-finish-the-race
1st Car Retirement - Haas
@ 8/1 with Hills. Romain is furious at the moment after his penalty today, I suspect we'll see him attempt to be aggressive into the first corner, increasing the likelihood of an incident. I'm expecting a bit of a pile-up tomorrow, not sure what would happen in that situation, but let's see. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-car-retirement
1st Lap Total Retirements - More Than 4
@ 20/1 with Bwin. As above, anticipating a number of incidents. 20/1 is certainly too high with new cars, new clutch procedures and a standing start on a wet track. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/1st-lap-total-retirements
Double Points Finish - Sauber
@ 150/1 with Bwin. Sauber and McLaren are having a battle at the back to avoid being the slowest team, it's pretty close. Why on Earth is McLaren 16/1 and Sauber 150/1? This makes no logical sense. Sauber are the ones with the reliability too. Suggest £5.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/double-points-finish
Total Safety Car Periods - 2
@ 9/2 with Bwin. The most likely scenario in my eyes, should be the favourite. Suggest £10.
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/total-safety-car-periods
those i can do and have done
Hulkenberg win £2.50 e/w at 250
Perez top 6 £20 3-1
Ocon points at 4-1 £10
Massa DNF at 9/2 £10
Haas First DNF at 8-1 £5. Presume this could be a multi way dead heat if first corner accident
we need to talk stakes again Peter. how about shut your eyes and make it £10-20 minimums given the size we are these days, we can then do on here what we can restricted/non restricted? ;-)
Yeah, stake sizes are always a bit of a strange one for me. Even for TFT, I don't believe we have consistency on stakes sizes depending on who is suggesting the bet .. which makes sense because obviously we don't all have the same "valueship" of a set amount. £10 is a lot to some people, but absolutely nothing to others. As I've tentatively suggested before, maybe all posts should also come with the odds that we reckon the selection should have been, and then a stake size can be determined based on the value of the bet? Just a thought.
its a bit complicated because tikay will never want to stake up to "correct" amounts given the size of the notional "book" so the staking plan tends to be skewed down somewhat
even so, it doesn't matter if a suggested amount is a lot to the poster or not, £5 at 8-1 is too low for the thread's book. £40 would be great but really the Haas bet, just to choose one, could be £20 at 8-1 if i am nudging you gently couldn't it?
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BigAdz
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #127139 on:
April 08, 2017, 04:31:48 PM »
Chances of low sun at Aintree at 5.15?
That would be bad news.
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