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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13500776 times)
MereNovice
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« Reply #43875 on: June 21, 2013, 04:40:22 PM »

I've put a few bets up today. Some are pretty strong. Outstanding value in the last with Paddy Power. Feel free to use them for Fred.

Thanks.
I'll be able to find them at http://www.bettingemporium.com/ . Is that right? Cheesy

Use the free bets for Viztoria (3.45) and Dashing Star (5) on the nose.  They are both top prices with Ladbrokes and BetVictor, so it doesn't matter what the order is.

The 5.35 is a better e/w race 

and pop the Betting Emporium tip on for the 5.35 please Mere

You could probably add Mister Impatience in the 17.00 to those and back it e/w. 

On

Bet365

Selections      Event      Event Date      Odds      E/W Terms      Result
1      Mister Impatience       5.00 Royal Ascot
Win and Each Way      21/06/2013      16/1      3 Places
1/4 Odds      To Run
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« Reply #43876 on: June 21, 2013, 04:45:30 PM »

Paddy Power go 16-1 Sky Lantern for the Arc

Is this at all appealing?

3Yo Filly taking on colts and older horses counts against it a lot?



Couldn't imagine her running in 12 furlong races, she has so much speed, I'd have thought she'll stay at a mile.
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« Reply #43877 on: June 21, 2013, 04:50:42 PM »

 Betfair fixed odds doing 1st four this race. These tossers must be punished.

 I have bet Dashing Star and Mister Impatience with them. Their early prices were a joke and they don't even follow the show (a bot makes them follow the exchange with a massive overound). In this case we are getting great value though.

 A second ago they were 15/1 and 13/1 (joke firm), despite both being 14/1 on the show.

 I think a decent bet is in order. This kind of ew value is not around every day.

 Dashing Star is best of two and they are 16/1.
« Last Edit: June 21, 2013, 04:54:23 PM by Bad Beat » Logged
MereNovice
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« Reply #43878 on: June 21, 2013, 04:57:57 PM »

Betfair fixed odds doing 1st four this race. These tossers must be punished.

 I have bet Dashing Star and Mister Impatience with them. Their early prices were a joke and they don't even follow the show (a bot makes them follow the exchange with a massive overound). In this case we are getting great value though.

 A second ago they were 15/1 and 13/1 (joke firm), despite both being 14/1 on the show.

 I think a decent bet is in order. This kind of ew value is not around every day.

On

Betfair

Dashing Star £20 e/w

21-Jun-13
16:54    17:00 Royal Ascot
Each Way - Dashing Star
Best odds
16/1   20.00
Open   --
21-Jun-13
16:52    17:00 Royal Ascot
Each Way - Dashing Star
Best odds
16/1   20.00
Open   --


The other horse seems to be the same price as everyone else so I have left it.
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« Reply #43879 on: June 21, 2013, 05:02:36 PM »

 Relative to Betfair prices the other one probably a better bet. 14/1 vs 16/1 win on Betfair but 7/2 four places vs 3/1 3 places on Betfair.
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« Reply #43880 on: June 21, 2013, 05:03:28 PM »

Betfair fixed odds doing 1st four this race. These tossers must be punished.

 I have bet Dashing Star and Mister Impatience with them. Their early prices were a joke and they don't even follow the show (a bot makes them follow the exchange with a massive overound). In this case we are getting great value though.

 A second ago they were 15/1 and 13/1 (joke firm), despite both being 14/1 on the show.

 I think a decent bet is in order. This kind of ew value is not around every day.

On

Betfair

Dashing Star £20 e/w

21-Jun-13
16:54    17:00 Royal Ascot
Each Way - Dashing Star
Best odds
16/1   20.00
Open   --
21-Jun-13
16:52    17:00 Royal Ascot
Each Way - Dashing Star
Best odds
16/1   20.00
Open   --


The other horse seems to be the same price as everyone else so I have left it.

Ohhhh, they appear to be paying 4 places when everyone else is paying 3 (if I have read it correctly).
Sorry, I should read your posts more carefully.
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« Reply #43881 on: June 21, 2013, 05:06:04 PM »

Following on from Tighty's Lions write up, I'm going the other way.

I fancy the Lions to win comfortably. Wales should have won two of the three tests last Summer and would have if Priestland hadn't been playing. With Sexton starting and Farrell to come on then I have no hesitation in betting them. Furthermore, Pocock being injured is a massive blow along with George Smith. Hooper may be a class act but he wouldn't be guaranteed a start with either of those two fit.

I think Halfpenny will slot home the kicks and at 10/1 with Ladbrokes will be a contender for Man of the Match.

My only concern is Cuthbert on the wing. He gets caught flat footed so often and allows at least one scoring chance a match. Digby Ioane, who will be opposite him tomorrow, will surely get a run at him and at 63/19?Huh? on Betfair for anytime try scorer is worth a tickle.

I'm having a tenner on Halfpenny and twenty on Ioane.
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« Reply #43882 on: June 21, 2013, 05:13:31 PM »

About time we had a dog bet.

Royal Romford tonight:

9.06 Trap 3 Ayamzabella  (better class than all of these, except Gaga but he's back from a layoff)  6/4 Ladbrokes  £30

9.56 Trap 1 Centurion Dolly (bit unlucky last week, plotted up in trap 1, will lead, bye bye)   9/4 Hills (massive)  £25

10.26 Trap 1 Smiler Jack  (machine round here 35.30 last December - great draw)  15/8 Hills  £25

9.24 Trap 3 Headford Caillin (final of the Maidens - only a baby Oct11 drawn in trap 3 which is a cash machine at rommers
                                      ping and lead all de way)        7/2 Fred  £15


Lee
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« Reply #43883 on: June 21, 2013, 05:15:38 PM »

About time we had a dog bet.

Royal Romford tonight:

9.06 Trap 3 Ayamzabella  (better class than all of these, except Gaga but he's back from a layoff)  6/4 Ladbrokes  £30

9.56 Trap 1 Centurion Dolly (bit unlucky last week, plotted up in trap 1, will lead, bye bye)   9/4 Hills (massive)  £25

10.26 Trap 1 Smiler Jack  (machine round here 35.30 last December - great draw)  15/8 Hills  £25

9.24 Trap 3 Headford Caillin (final of the Maidens - only a baby Oct11 drawn in trap 3 which is a cash machine at rommers
                                      ping and lead all de way)        7/2 Fred  £15


Lee

Thanks.
I know absolutely nothing about dogs so will wait for scotty2hatty (or similar) to comment.
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« Reply #43884 on: June 21, 2013, 05:21:31 PM »

About time we had a dog bet.

Royal Romford tonight:

9.06 Trap 3 Ayamzabella  (better class than all of these, except Gaga but he's back from a layoff)  6/4 Ladbrokes  £30

9.56 Trap 1 Centurion Dolly (bit unlucky last week, plotted up in trap 1, will lead, bye bye)   9/4 Hills (massive)  £25

10.26 Trap 1 Smiler Jack  (machine round here 35.30 last December - great draw)  15/8 Hills  £25

9.24 Trap 3 Headford Caillin (final of the Maidens - only a baby Oct11 drawn in trap 3 which is a cash machine at rommers
                                      ping and lead all de way)        7/2 Fred  £15


Lee

Centurion Dolly = Centurion Sandra?
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« Reply #43885 on: June 21, 2013, 05:22:49 PM »

oh yeah  Sandra  of course!
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« Reply #43886 on: June 21, 2013, 05:24:15 PM »

Anyone get paid first 4 on betfair fixed odds as per Neils reco?
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« Reply #43887 on: June 21, 2013, 05:24:30 PM »

Following on from Tighty's Lions write up, I'm going the other way.

I fancy the Lions to win comfortably. Wales should have won two of the three tests last Summer and would have if Priestland hadn't been playing. With Sexton starting and Farrell to come on then I have no hesitation in betting them. Furthermore, Pocock being injured is a massive blow along with George Smith. Hooper may be a class act but he wouldn't be guaranteed a start with either of those two fit.

I think Halfpenny will slot home the kicks and at 10/1 with Ladbrokes will be a contender for Man of the Match.

My only concern is Cuthbert on the wing. He gets caught flat footed so often and allows at least one scoring chance a match. Digby Ioane, who will be opposite him tomorrow, will surely get a run at him and at 63/19?Huh? on Betfair for anytime try scorer is worth a tickle.

I'm having a tenner on Halfpenny and twenty on Ioane.

Ioane 7/2 on Betfair exchange which is better than anywhere else.
However this is his first game back after injury so I'm a little hesitant.
http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/australia-v-lions/anytime-tryscorer
http://sports.betfair.com/?mi=100690537&ex=2&origin=SNG

Halfpenny 10/1 for MOTM with Ladbrokes which seems out of line.
We have at least one contributor with a strong opinion on MOTM markets. Smiley
http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/australia-v-lions/man-of-the-match
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« Reply #43888 on: June 21, 2013, 05:25:48 PM »

Anyone get paid first 4 on betfair fixed odds as per Neils reco?

Not yet, they have settled as a loser.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #43889 on: June 21, 2013, 05:27:33 PM »

Anyone get paid first 4 on betfair fixed odds as per Neils reco?

Smiley

I backed the wrong one but we already had a bet on Mister Impatience.

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