How many races will Alonso win in 2015 -none 11/8 20
This one in particular is massively under staked, bad call from me. I guess going in to the season, McLaren were a bit of an unknown. It was possible, albeit unlikely, that once they would be massively quick when they actually finished a race - as it turns out, they are both slow and unreliable!
Talking of F1, our man, Peter, has resumed playing poker & posting Next Door, but I'm sure F1 will remain his primary focus. And spreads, obv.
F1 is always the focus
I'll post bet suggestions (and reply to the "betting maths" posts from last week) at around 8PM UK Time
ahead of the bets
with the pirelli investigation complete and remedies for monza in place....i saw this quote
Hamilton on proposed tyre-pressure increase: "We'll be out of the optimum range. More wear, less grip; it's going to be a disaster"
what impact on betting strategy does this have?
ferrari have an engine upgrade. going to change the status quo at all?
monza and spa are similar with monza even quicker. should we extrapolate spa trends to monza?
eg excessive tyre wear for perez?
eg lotus likely to go well again? (grosjean is 6/4 for top 6 having podiumvated in spa...)
The decision on what exactly the conclusions of the Pirelli investigation are is changing on an hour-by-hour basis depending on who in the FIA you talk to .. can't really take it into consideration at the moment. Either way, it won't have a huge effect on the pecking order of the teams.
Ferrari do have an engine upgrade, but Mercedes have used all of their seven remaining engine tokens (that's just the works team, not the Mercedes customers for this race). So I expect Mercedes to have an increased advantage if anything.
In general pace at Spa is paralleled (and a little more extreme) at Monza. However, the two instances you mentioned are complicated.
Perez's tyre wear was caused by running on the kerbs too much and the resultant energy through the tyre. This should be considerably less of a problem at Monza - as should tyre wear in general if we see normal air/track temperatures.
As for Lotus, it's always hard to place them. Their car is massively inconsistent as they have an extremely narrow set-up window. In other words, it's very hard to effectively set-up their car for specific race tracks, however, when they do get it right, they'll be very fast - as we saw at Spa.
I'll look at the prices now and let you know