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Author Topic: My D-Day has arrived...advise please  (Read 6345 times)
Royal Flush
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« Reply #15 on: September 14, 2006, 01:16:52 PM »

Paul i dunno where you came up with these numbers but they are quite amusing! Your saying 15 outs is a dog?
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M3boy
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« Reply #16 on: September 14, 2006, 02:09:07 PM »

Paul i dunno where you came up with these numbers but they are quite amusing! Your saying 15 outs is a dog?

No, I was trying to help Suzanne by saying "roughly" x3 - then later I have said just over x3 - Making 15 outs a favorite.

"Amusing" you say??

OK. Suzanne :

Odds for "hitting" your outs on the turn or river = use x 4 and take off a bit
Odds for "hitting" on the river = use x 2 and add a bit

Better James???
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M3boy
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« Reply #17 on: September 14, 2006, 02:09:48 PM »

Nice to see you are back on "perdantic" form !!

And Jane, in the "perdantic" manor of James - hitting 15 outs is actually 54.1% ;p
« Last Edit: September 14, 2006, 02:15:03 PM by M3boy » Logged
Newmanseye
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« Reply #18 on: September 14, 2006, 02:18:41 PM »

Suz if you want a good book that covers pot odds and implied odd then get "phill Gordons little green book" It takes the essentials from Sklansky, Harrington, brunson and a few others, dispensed in a handy easy to read book with insight in to the mindo of a poker pro.

As for working out your "outs"% use the rules of 2 & 4 as posted by Ginger its as close as you need to be as its rarely out by more than 1.5%.

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matt674
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« Reply #19 on: September 14, 2006, 02:24:56 PM »

And Jane, in the "perdantic" manor of James - hitting 15 outs is actually 54.1% ;p

but the 54.1% for instance when you are talking about the odds of  beating  on a  board is more than 15 outs as the  also has the opportunity to hit running 6's 7's or a 6-7 turn river.

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M3boy
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« Reply #20 on: September 14, 2006, 02:27:47 PM »

 stirthepot

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matt674
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« Reply #21 on: September 14, 2006, 02:28:37 PM »

 ;angelic;
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« Reply #22 on: September 14, 2006, 02:35:43 PM »

I am a fish so can't offer anything other than a big   thumbs up and good luck

I also know that there is a fella off the TV called tikay who has mentioned the fact their are plenty of good articles and information on various websites for free.  I prefer websites than books, not just in poker but also in everything else.  Blonde, 2+2, P5's and Cardplayer all have excellent articles for free.
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Royal Flush
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« Reply #23 on: September 14, 2006, 02:36:32 PM »

And Jane, in the "perdantic" manor of James - hitting 15 outs is actually 54.1% ;p

but the 54.1% for instance when you are talking about the odds of  beating  on a  board is more than 15 outs as the  also has the opportunity to hit running 6's 7's or a 6-7 turn river.



There we go.

All i am saying Paul is if you are going to offer someone some advice, its best to make sure you are correct!
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Sark79
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« Reply #24 on: September 14, 2006, 02:39:55 PM »

Are you two league rivals on Blue Square?   Cheesy
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M3boy
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« Reply #25 on: September 14, 2006, 02:40:41 PM »

 
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M3boy
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« Reply #26 on: September 14, 2006, 02:41:48 PM »

Are you two league rivals on Blue Square?   Cheesy

Not this time, ive sat out to give James a chance! 
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NoflopsHomer
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« Reply #27 on: September 14, 2006, 02:42:06 PM »

I thought it was roughly 4.4% per out for turn and river and 2.2% for just the turn or just the river.
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« Reply #28 on: September 14, 2006, 03:43:15 PM »

Knowing the chances of hitting on the turn and river is pretty irrelevant though, at least in the games I play, as the majority of the time you'll be facing another bet on the turn too!
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« Reply #29 on: September 14, 2006, 03:51:02 PM »

if we are all being 'perdantic', it's 'pedantic' 
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