Just got back from my Thursday live game and usually I can't sleep from thinking about hands that I could have played different, but tonight, I didn't last as long (went out 18thish I think) so I'm home a bit earlier and am up thinking about those hands!
Anyway, there's only one hand from tonight that I'm thinking about and I think that I've been working out my outs incorrectly.
Blinds are 100/200. 1 caller to me and I call with
, SB calls, BB checks - pot now 800.
Flop comes
. SB bets 400, BB calls, caller folds, me to go.
Now the pot is 1600 and it's costing me 400 to stay in, so that's 4/1. I thought my only out was the Jack to make the straight so I need approx 9/1 to call, which I'm clearly not getting but.....
I have Kings and Queens too - don't I?
So are my actual (approx) outs here the 4 Jacks, 3 Kings and 3 Queens. Allowing for diamonds, (I'm sure you count a half out it it may cause a flush that you're not on), I have 3.5+2.5+3 out = 9 outs (10 if excluding flushes) rather than the 3.5/4 I've allowed for with the Jack as my only out.
So I should have called for 400? Even if a diamond comes, I'm still in with a shout of the flush myself as I held the King.
As you can guess, I folded and annoyingly the
came on the turn which would have won me the hand, but the
turning up is probably the only reason that I've realised that I've been working things out wrongly, so it's a good thing
Thankfully, it's not a situation that crops up that often but it's right isn't it, I should have called the 400.